Novelty Detection in Time Series Through Self-Organizing Networks: An Empirical Evaluation of Two Different Paradigms

Author(s):  
Leonardo Aguayo ◽  
Guilherme A. Barreto
2012 ◽  
pp. 262-282
Author(s):  
Marcelo Keese Albertini ◽  
Rodrigo Fernandes de Mello

Machine learning is a field of artificial intelligence which aims at developing techniques to automatically transfer human knowledge into analytical models. Recently, those techniques have been applied to time series with unknown dynamics and fluctuations in the established behavior patterns, such as humancomputer interaction, inspection robotics and climate change. In order to detect novelties in those time series, techniques are required to learn and update knowledge structures, adapting themselves to data tendencies. The learning and updating process should integrate and accommodate novelty events into the normal behavior model, possibly incurring the revaluation of long-term memories. This sort of application has been addressed by the proposal of incremental techniques based on unsupervised neural networks and regression techniques. Such proposals have introduced two new concepts in time-series novelty detection. The first defines the temporal novelty, which indicates the occurrence of unexpected series of events. The second measures how novel a single event is, based on the historical knowledge. However, current studies do not fully consider both concepts of detecting and quantifying temporal novelties. This motivated the proposal of the self-organizing novelty detection neural network architecture (SONDE) which incrementally learns patterns in order to represent unknown dynamics and fluctuation of established behavior. The knowledge accumulated by SONDE is employed to estimate Markov chains which model causal relationships. This architecture is applied to detect and measure temporal and nontemporal novelties. The evaluation of the proposed technique is carried out through simulations and experiments, which have presented promising results.


Author(s):  
Marcelo Keese Albertini ◽  
Rodrigo Fernandes de Mello

Machine learning is a field of artificial intelligence which aims at developing techniques to automatically transfer human knowledge into analytical models. Recently, those techniques have been applied to time series with unknown dynamics and fluctuations in the established behavior patterns, such as humancomputer interaction, inspection robotics and climate change. In order to detect novelties in those time series, techniques are required to learn and update knowledge structures, adapting themselves to data tendencies. The learning and updating process should integrate and accommodate novelty events into the normal behavior model, possibly incurring the revaluation of long-term memories. This sort of application has been addressed by the proposal of incremental techniques based on unsupervised neural networks and regression techniques. Such proposals have introduced two new concepts in time-series novelty detection. The first defines the temporal novelty, which indicates the occurrence of unexpected series of events. The second measures how novel a single event is, based on the historical knowledge. However, current studies do not fully consider both concepts of detecting and quantifying temporal novelties. This motivated the proposal of the self-organizing novelty detection neural network architecture (SONDE) which incrementally learns patterns in order to represent unknown dynamics and fluctuation of established behavior. The knowledge accumulated by SONDE is employed to estimate Markov chains which model causal relationships. This architecture is applied to detect and measure temporal and nontemporal novelties. The evaluation of the proposed technique is carried out through simulations and experiments, which have presented promising results.


2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 336-341
Author(s):  
D. V. Ivanov ◽  
D. A. Moskvin

In the article the approach and methods of ensuring the security of VANET-networks based on automated counteraction to information security threats through self-regulation of the network structure using the theory of fractal graphs is provided.


2021 ◽  
Vol 292 ◽  
pp. 116912
Author(s):  
Rong Wang Ng ◽  
Kasim Mumtaj Begam ◽  
Rajprasad Kumar Rajkumar ◽  
Yee Wan Wong ◽  
Lee Wai Chong

Author(s):  
Karan Aggarwal ◽  
Shafiq Joty ◽  
Luis Fernandez-Luque ◽  
Jaideep Srivastava

Sufficient physical activity and restful sleep play a major role in the prevention and cure of many chronic conditions. Being able to proactively screen and monitor such chronic conditions would be a big step forward for overall health. The rapid increase in the popularity of wearable devices pro-vides a significant new source, making it possible to track the user’s lifestyle real-time. In this paper, we propose a novel unsupervised representation learning technique called activ-ity2vecthat learns and “summarizes” the discrete-valued ac-tivity time-series. It learns the representations with three com-ponents: (i) the co-occurrence and magnitude of the activ-ity levels in a time-segment, (ii) neighboring context of the time-segment, and (iii) promoting subject-invariance with ad-versarial training. We evaluate our method on four disorder prediction tasks using linear classifiers. Empirical evaluation demonstrates that our proposed method scales and performs better than many strong baselines. The adversarial regime helps improve the generalizability of our representations by promoting subject invariant features. We also show that using the representations at the level of a day works the best since human activity is structured in terms of daily routines.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 8295
Author(s):  
Patricia Melin ◽  
Oscar Castillo

In this article, the evolution in both space and time of the COVID-19 pandemic is studied by utilizing a neural network with a self-organizing nature for the spatial analysis of data, and a fuzzy fractal method for capturing the temporal trends of the time series of the countries considered in this study. Self-organizing neural networks possess the capability to cluster countries in the space domain based on their similar characteristics, with respect to their COVID-19 cases. This form enables the finding of countries that have a similar behavior, and thus can benefit from utilizing the same methods in fighting the virus propagation. In order to validate the approach, publicly available datasets of COVID-19 cases worldwide have been used. In addition, a fuzzy fractal approach is utilized for the temporal analysis of the time series of the countries considered in this study. Then, a hybrid combination, using fuzzy rules, of both the self-organizing maps and the fuzzy fractal approach is proposed for efficient coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) forecasting of the countries. Relevant conclusions have emerged from this study that may be of great help in putting forward the best possible strategies in fighting the virus pandemic. Many of the existing works concerned with COVID-19 look at the problem mostly from a temporal viewpoint, which is of course relevant, but we strongly believe that the combination of both aspects of the problem is relevant for improving the forecasting ability. The main idea of this article is combining neural networks with a self-organizing nature for clustering countries with a high similarity and the fuzzy fractal approach for being able to forecast the times series. Simulation results of COVID-19 data from countries around the world show the ability of the proposed approach to first spatially cluster the countries and then to accurately predict in time the COVID-19 data for different countries with a fuzzy fractal approach.


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