Adaptive experimental design for drug combinations

Author(s):  
Mijung Park ◽  
Marcel Nassar ◽  
Brian L. Evans ◽  
Haris Vikalo
2015 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 1261-1280 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong-Bin Fang ◽  
Xuerong Chen ◽  
Xin-Yan Pei ◽  
Steven Grant ◽  
Ming Tan

Drug combination is a critically important therapeutic approach for complex diseases such as cancer and HIV due to its potential for efficacy at lower, less toxic doses and the need to move new therapies rapidly into clinical trials. One of the key issues is to identify which combinations are additive, synergistic, or antagonistic. While the value of multidrug combinations has been well recognized in the cancer research community, to our best knowledge, all existing experimental studies rely on fixing the dose of one drug to reduce the dimensionality, e.g. looking at pairwise two-drug combinations, a suboptimal design. Hence, there is an urgent need to develop experimental design and analysis methods for studying multidrug combinations directly. Because the complexity of the problem increases exponentially with the number of constituent drugs, there has been little progress in the development of methods for the design and analysis of high-dimensional drug combinations. In fact, contrary to common mathematical reasoning, the case of three-drug combinations is fundamentally more difficult than two-drug combinations. Apparently, finding doses of the combination, number of combinations, and replicates needed to detect departures from additivity depends on dose–response shapes of individual constituent drugs. Thus, different classes of drugs of different dose–response shapes need to be treated as a separate case. Our application and case studies develop dose finding and sample size method for detecting departures from additivity with several common (linear and log-linear) classes of single dose–response curves. Furthermore, utilizing the geometric features of the interaction index, we propose a nonparametric model to estimate the interaction index surface by B-spine approximation and derive its asymptotic properties. Utilizing the method, we designed and analyzed a combination study of three anticancer drugs, PD184, HA14-1, and CEP3891 inhibiting myeloma H929 cell line. To our best knowledge, this is the first ever three drug combinations study performed based on the original 4D dose–response surface formed by dose ranges of three drugs.


2004 ◽  
Vol 127 (5) ◽  
pp. 1006-1013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael J. Sasena ◽  
Matthew Parkinson ◽  
Matthew P. Reed ◽  
Panos Y. Papalambros ◽  
Pierre Goovaerts

Adaptive design refers to experimental design where the next sample point is determined by information from previous experiments. This article presents a constrained optimization algorithm known as superEGO (a variant of the EGO algorithm of Schonlau, Welch, and Jones) that can create adaptive designs using kriging approximations. Our primary goal is to illustrate that superEGO is well-suited to generating adaptive designs which have many advantages over competing methods. The approach is demonstrated on a novel human-reach experiment where the selection of sampling points adapts to the individual test subject. Results indicate that superEGO is effective at satisfying the experimental objectives.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-45
Author(s):  
Lanny Zrill

Abstract Simple functional forms for utility require restrictive structural assumptions that are often contrary to observed behavior. Even so, they are widely used in applied economic research. I address this issue using a two-part adaptive experimental design to compare the predictions of a popular parametric model of decision making under risk to those of non-parametric bounds on indifference curves. Interpreting the latter as an approximate upper bound, I find the parametric model sacrifices very little in terms of predictive success. This suggests that, despite their restrictiveness, simple functional forms may nevertheless be useful representations of preferences over risky alternatives.


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