A Model of Enterprise Strategic Risk Assessment: Based on the Theory of Multi-Objective Fuzzy Optimization

Author(s):  
Chan Pan ◽  
Xin Cai
2005 ◽  
Vol 80 (3) ◽  
pp. 921-939 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ed O'Donnell ◽  
Joseph J. Schultz

Many auditors use an audit methodology that requires a strategic risk assessment of their client's business model as a first step for assessing audit risks. This study examines whether the holistic perspective that auditors acquire in making a strategic risk assessment influences the extent to which they adjust account-level risk assessments when they encounter changes in accounts that are inconsistent with information about client operations. Based on halo theory from the performance evaluation literature, we hypothesize that auditors who (1) perform (do not perform) strategic assessment, and (2) develop favorable (unfavorable) strategic risk assessments, are less (more) likely to adjust account-level risk assessments for inconsistent fluctuations. Data from two laboratory experiments using experienced auditors support both hypotheses. Findings suggest that the halo effect generated during strategic assessment influences judgment by altering auditor tolerance for inconsistent fluctuations.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mitsutoshi Suzuki ◽  
Norichika Terao

Solution monitoring (SM) has been used in a nuclear reprocessing plant as an additional measure to provide assurance that the plant is operated as declared. The inline volume and density monitoring equipment with dip tubes is important for safety and safeguards purposes and is a typical example of safeguards by design (SBD). Recently safety, safeguards, and security by design (3SBD) are proposed to promote an efficient and effective generation of nuclear energy. In 3SBD, proliferation risk assessment has the potential to consider likelihood of the incidence and proliferation risk in safeguards. In this study, risk assessment methodologies for safeguards and security are discussed and several mathematical methods are presented to investigate risk notion applied to intentional acts of facility misuse in an uncertainty environment. Proliferation risk analysis with the Markov model, deterrence effect with the game model, and SBD with fuzzy optimization are shown in feasibility studies to investigate the potential application of the risk and uncertainty analyses in safeguards. It is demonstrated that the SM is an effective measurement system using risk-informed and cost-effective SBD, even though there are inherent difficulties related to the possibility of operator’s falsification.


Author(s):  
Yanwei Zhao ◽  
Ertian Hua ◽  
Guoxian Zhang ◽  
Fangshun Jin

The solving strategy of GA-Based Multi-objective Fuzzy Matter-Element optimization is put forward in this paper to the kind of characters of product optimization such as multi-objective, fuzzy nature, indeterminacy, etc. Firstly, the model of multi-objective fuzzy matter-element optimization is created in this paper, and then it defines the matter-element weightily and changes solving multi-objective optimization into solving dependent function K(x) of the single objective optimization according to the optimization criterion. In addition, modified adaptive macro genetic algorithms (MAMGA) are adopted to solve the optimization problem. It emphatically modifies crossover and mutation operator. By the comparing MAMGA with adaptive macro genetic algorithms (AMGA), not only the optimization is a little better than the latter, but also it reaches the extent to which the effective iteration generation is 62.2% of simple genetic algorithms (SGA). Lastly, three optimization methods, namely fuzzy matter-element optimization, linearity weighted method and fuzzy optimization, are also compared. It certifies that this method is feasible and valid.


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