Refinement of Ischemic Stroke Risk in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and CHA2DS2-VASc Score of 1

2014 ◽  
Vol 37 (11) ◽  
pp. 1442-1447 ◽  
Author(s):  
DUO HUANG ◽  
LUO ANGUO ◽  
WEN-SHENG YUE ◽  
LIXUE YIN ◽  
HUNG-FAT TSE ◽  
...  
Author(s):  
Christopher Wallenhorst ◽  
Carlos Martinez ◽  
Ben FREEDMAN

Background: It is uncertain whether stroke risk of asymptomatic ambulatory atrial fibrillation (AA-AF) incidentally-detected in primary care is comparable with other clinical AF presentations in primary care or hospital. Methods: The stoke risk of 22,035 patients with incident non-valvular AF from the UK primary care Clinical Practice Research Datalink with linkage to hospitalization and mortality data, was compared to 23,605 controls without AF (age and sex-matched 5:1 to 5,409 AA-AF patients). Incident AF included 5,913 with symptomatic ambulatory AF (SA-AF); 4,989 with Primary and 5,724 with non-Primary Hospital AF discharge diagnosis (PH-AF and Non-PH-AF); and 5,409 with AA-AF. Ischemic stroke adjusted subhazard ratios (aSHR) within 3 years of AA-AF were compared with SA-AF, PH-AF, Non-PH-AF and controls, accounting for mortality as competing risk and adjusted for ischemic stroke risk factors. Results: There were 1026 ischemic strokes in 49,544 person-years in patients with incident AF (crude incidence rate 2.1 ischemic strokes/100 person-years). Ischemic stroke aSHR over 3 years showed no differences between AA-AF, and SA-AF, PH-AF and nonPH-AF groups (aSHR 0.87-1.01 vs AA-AF). All AF groups showed a significantly higher aSHR compared to controls. (subhazard rate ratio 0.40 [0.34 - 0.47]. Conclusion: Ischemic stroke risk in patients with AA-AF incidentally-detected in primary care is far from benign, and not less than incident AF presenting clinically in general practice or hospital. This provides justification for identification of previously undetected AF, e.g. by opportunistic screening, and subsequent stroke prevention with thromboprophylaxis, to reduce the approximately 10% of ischemic strokes related to unrecognized AF.


2017 ◽  
Vol 37 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong Seok Lee

Background: Oral anticoagulants known as a novel oral anticoagulant have been used for the management of non -valvular atrial fibrillation. There was no enough study regarding the efficacy and safety of three major new oral anticoagulants. We assessed major three oral anticoagulants in terms of major bleeding complication and stroke prevention by meta-analyses studies comparing those drugs. Method: Relevant studies were identified through electronic literature searches of MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane library, and clinicaltrials.gov (from inception to February 24, 2016). RevMan and ITC software were used for direct comparisons, respectively. Results: Apixaban (N=6020), versus dabigatran(N=12038), apixaban versus rivaroxaban(N=8503) and rivaroxaban versus dabigatran were analyzed directly. There was significantly higher major bleeding risks in apixaban compared to dabigatran (both 110mg and 150mg) after adjusting baseline bleeding risk (Relative risk 3.41, 95% confidence interval(2.61 to 4.47) in 110mg, (5.62, 4.83 to 6.54) in 150mg. Intracranial bleeding risk in apixaban was significantly higher than in dabigatran (10.5, 6.10 to18.01). However, apixaban had less GI bleeding risk compared to dabigatran (0.80 , 0.65 to 0.98) and also had less ischemic stroke risk (0.31,0.22 to 0.42). Rivaroxaban showed higher major bleeding risk than dabigatran 110mg (2.34 , 1.81 to 3.03), however, Rivaroxaban had less bleeding risk compared to dabigatran 150mg (0.41, 0.35 to 0.46). Dabigatran 110mg and 150mg had less GI bleeding risk compared to rivaroxaban (0.31 , 0.24 to 0.39) and (0.23,0.17 to 0.29) respectively. Ischemic stroke risk was also decreased in dabigatran110mg (0.46, 0.38 to 0.57). and 150mg (0.66 ,0.52 to 0.83). Conclusion: Observed oral anticoagulants were associated with various complications. Overall, apixaban had higher intracranial bleeding risk than dabigatran. The highest GI bleeding risk in rivaroxaban compared to apixaban and dabigatran. Ischemic stroke risk was the highest in dabigatran. In conclusion, we may use those oral anticoagulant based on risks rates, however, a larger study with longer follow-up is needed to corroborate findings.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
W Sun ◽  
B Freedman ◽  
C Martinez ◽  
C Wallenhorst ◽  
B.P.Y Yan

Abstract Aims To determine risk of ischemic stroke in patients with single timepoint screen-detected atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods Cohort of 11,972 consecutive patients aged ≥65 years attending medical outpatient clinics in Hong Kong underwent AF screening using a handheld single-lead ECG (AliveCor) from Dec 2014 to Dec 2017 (NCT02409654). Repeated screening was performed in patients who had >1 clinic visit during the study period. Cohort was divided into 4 exposure groups: (i) new AF detected by initial screening (S1-AF); (ii) new AF detected by subsequent screening or clinically diagnosed during follow up (FU-AF); (iii) known AF and (iv) no initial or subsequent FU-AF (no AF). Exposure in the FU-AF group was handled as a time-dependent variable. All AF exposure groups were further stratified by oral anticoagulant (OAC) use at the end of FU. Cumulative incidence of ischemic stroke was compared between groups during a median FU period of 2.3 (IQR=1.7–3.3) years, using Fine and Gray regression accounting for death as competing risk and using no AF as reference. Results Of 11,972 subjects enrolled, 2,236 (18.7%) had known AF and 9,736 (81.3%) underwent 13,571 screening events during the study period. The yield of newly diagnosed AF on initial screening was 2.3% (n=223/9,736), with 71 new AF detected by subsequent screening. During FU, 2.3% (221/9,442) screen-negative patients were diagnosed with AF clinically. Compared to no AF, S1-AF without OAC had the highest ischemic stroke risk (subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR)=2.79; 1.47–5.27), then FU-AF without OAC (SHR=2.66; 1.21–5.82) and known AF without OAC (SHR=1.97; 1.50–2.57). All AF groups taking OAC had similar risk of ischemic stroke as no AF. Conclusion This is the first study to report the prognosis of AF detected by single timepoint screening. The prognosis is not benign. Both risks of stroke and benefits from anticoagulation therapy were similar between screen-detected and known AF. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


Author(s):  
N. V. Aksyutina ◽  
V. A. Shulman ◽  
S. Yu. Nikulina ◽  
B. V. Nazarov ◽  
V. N. Maksimov ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Wen Sun ◽  
Ben FREEDMAN ◽  
Carlos Martinez ◽  
Christopher Wallenhorst ◽  
Bryan Yan

ABSTRACT Objective: We evaluated stroke risk in patients with single timepoint screen-detected atrial fibrillation (AF) and the effect of oral anticoagulants (OAC). Methods: Consecutive patients aged ≥65 years attending medical outpatient clinics were prospectively enrolled for AF-screening using handheld single-lead ECG (AliveCor) from 12/2014 to 12/2017 (NCT02409654). Repeated screening was performed in patients with >1 visit during this period. Three cohorts were formed, screen-detected AF, clinically-diagnosed AF and no AF. Ischemic stroke risk was estimated using adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratios (aSHR) from multivariate regression and no AF as reference, and stratified according to OAC use. Results: Of 11,972 subjects enrolled, 2,238 (18.7%) had clinically-diagnosed AF at study enrollment. The yield of screen-detected AF on initial screening was 2.3% (n=223/9,734). AF was clinically-diagnosed during follow-up in 2.3% (n=216/9,440) and during subsequent screening in 71 initially screen-negative patients. Compared to no AF, patients with screen-detected AF without OAC treatment had the highest stroke risk (aSHR 2.63; 95% confidence interval 1.46-4.72), while aSHR for clinically-diagnosed AF without OAC use was 2.01 (1.54-2.62). Among screen-detected AF the risk of stroke was significantly less with OAC (no strokes in 196 person-years) compared with those not given OAC (12 strokes in 429 person-years), p=0.01. Conclusion: The prognosis of single timepoint ECG screen-detected AF is not benign. The risk of stroke is high enough to warrant OAC use, and reduced by OAC. Keywords: atrial fibrillation, screening, ischemic stroke


Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (7) ◽  
pp. 918
Author(s):  
Ghina Chairina ◽  
Kohzoh Yoshino ◽  
Ken Kiyono ◽  
Eiichi Watanabe

It has been recognized that heart rate variability (HRV), defined as the fluctuation of ventricular response intervals in atrial fibrillation (AFib) patients, is not completely random, and its nonlinear characteristics, such as multiscale entropy (MSE), contain clinically significant information. We investigated the relationship between ischemic stroke risk and HRV with a large number of stroke-naïve AFib patients (628 patients), focusing on those who had never developed an ischemic/hemorrhagic stroke before the heart rate measurement. The CHA2DS2−VASc score was calculated from the baseline clinical characteristics, while the HRV analysis was made from the recording of morning, afternoon, and evening. Subsequently, we performed Kaplan–Meier method and cumulative incidence function with mortality as a competing risk to estimate the survival time function. We found that patients with sample entropy (SE(s)) ≥ 0.68 at 210 s had a significantly higher risk of an ischemic stroke occurrence in the morning recording. Meanwhile, the afternoon recording showed that those with SE(s) ≥ 0.76 at 240 s and SE(s) ≥ 0.78 at 270 s had a significantly lower risk of ischemic stroke occurrence. Therefore, SE(s) at 210 s (morning) and 240 s ≤ s ≤ 270 s (afternoon) demonstrated a statistically significant predictive value for ischemic stroke in stroke-naïve AFib patients.


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