Abstract
Background: To investigate whether quantitative dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) pharmacokinetic parameters can be used to predict the pathologic stages of oral tongue squamous cell carcinoma (OTSCC). Methods: For this prospective study, DCE-MRI was performed in participants with OTSCC from May 2016 to June 2017. The pharmacokinetic parameters, including K trans , K ep , V e , and V p , were derived from DCE-MRI by utilizing a two-compartment extended Tofts model and a three-dimensional volume of interest. The postoperative pathologic stage was determined in each patient based on the 8th AJCC cancer staging manual. The quantitative DCE-MRI parameters were compared between stage I-II and stage III-IV lesions. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine independent predictors of tumor stages, followed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis to evaluate the predictive performance. Results: The mean K trans , K ep and V p values were significantly lower in stage III-IV lesions compared with stage I-II lesions ( p = 0.013, 0.005 and 0.011, respectively). K ep was an independent predictor for the advanced stages as determined by univariate and multivariate logistic analysis. ROC analysis showed that K ep had the highest predictive capability, with a sensitivity of 64.3%, a specificity of 82.6%, a positive predictive value of 81.8%, a negative predictive value of 65.5%, and an accuracy of 72.5%. Conclusion: The quantitative DCE-MRI parameter K ep can be used as a biomarker for predicting pathologic stages of OTSCC.