Structural Reliability of a Suezmax Oil Tanker Designed According to New Common Structural Rules

2008 ◽  
Vol 130 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Guedes Soares ◽  
Joško Parunov
Keyword(s):  
Structural Reliability ◽  
International Association ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
Single Step ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Structural Rules ◽  
Term Operation ◽  
Reliability Method ◽  
Common Structural Rules

The paper aims at quantifying the changes in notional reliability levels that result from redesigning an existing suezmax tanker to comply with new Common Structural Rules (CSR) requirement for ultimate vertical bending moment capacity. The probability of structural failure is calculated using a first-order reliability method. The evaluation of the wave-induced load effects that occur during long-term operation of the ship in the seaway is carried out in accordance to International Association of Classification Societies (IACS) recommended procedure. Comparative analysis of long-term distributions of vertical wave bending moment calculated by two independent computer seakeeping codes is performed. The still-water loads are defined on the basis of a statistical analysis of loading conditions from the loading manual. The ultimate collapse bending moment of the midship cross section, which is used as the basis for the reliability formulation, is evaluated by CSR single-step procedure and by program HULLCOLL for progressive collapse analysis of ship hull-girders. The reliability assessment is performed for as-built and corroded states of the existing ship and a reinforced design configuration complying with CSR. It is shown that hull-girder failure probability of suezmax tanker reinforced according to new CSR is reduced several times. Sensitivity analysis and a parametric study are performed to investigate the variability of results to the change of parameters of pertinent random variables within their plausible ranges.

Hull-Girder Reliability of a Chemical Tanker

2009 ◽  
Vol 46 (04) ◽  
pp. 192-199
Author(s):  
Jôsko Parunov ◽  
Maro Corak ◽  
C. Guedes Soares
Keyword(s):  
International Association ◽  
Progressive Collapse ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
Single Step ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Structural Rules ◽  
Term Operation ◽  
Reliability Method ◽  
Reliability Bound ◽  
Oil Tanker

The aim of the paper is to calculate hull-girder reliability of chemical tanker according to the reliability model proposed by International Maritime Organization (IMO). The probability of hull-girder failure is calculated using a first-order reliability method for two operational profiles—one typical for oil tanker and the other one modified in order to reflect differences between oil tanker and chemical tanker. The evaluation of the wave-induced load effects that occur during long-term operation of the ship in the seaway is carried out in accordance with International Association of Classification Societies (IACS) recommended procedure. The stillwater loads are defined on the basis of a statistical analysis of loading conditions from the loading manual. The ultimate collapse bending moment of the midship cross section, which is used as the basis for the reliability formulation, is evaluated by progressive collapse analysis and by single-step procedure. The reliability analysis is performed for "as-built" ship and for "corroded" ship according to corrosion deduction thickness from new Common Structural Rules for double-hull oil tankers. It is shown that hull-girder failure probability of "as-built" chemical tanker is well above the upper reliability bound proposed by IMO, while the "corroded" ship is slightly unconservative since the reliability index is lower than IMO lower reliability bound.

Structural Reliability of a Suezmax Oil Tanker Designed According to New Joint Tanker Project Rules

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Guedes Soares ◽  
Josˇko Parunov
Keyword(s):  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Progressive Collapse ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
Single Step ◽  
Moment Capacity ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Term Operation ◽  
Reliability Method ◽  
Wave Induced

The paper aims at quantifying the changes in notional reliability levels that result from redesigning an existing suezmax tanker to comply with new Joint Tanker Project (JTP) rule requirement for ultimate vertical bending moment capacity. The probability of structural failure is calculated using a first-order reliability method. The evaluation of the wave-induced load effects that occur during long-term operation of the ship in the seaway is carried out in accordance to IACS recommended procedure. Comparative analysis of long-term distributions of vertical wave bending moment calculated by two independent computer seakeeping codes is performed. The still water loads are defined on the basis of a statistical analysis of loading conditions from the loading manual. The ultimate collapse bending moment of the midship cross section, which is used as the basis for the reliability formulation, is evaluated by JTP single-step procedure and by program HULLCOLL for progressive collapse analysis of ship hull-girders. The reliability assessment is performed for “as-built” and “corroded” states of the existing ship and a reinforced design configuration complying with new JTP rules. It is shown that hull-girder failure probability of suezmax tanker reinforced according to new JTP rules is reduced several times. Sensitivity analysis and a parametric study are performed to investigate the variability of results to the change of parameters of pertinent random variables within their plausible ranges.

Hull-Girder Reliability of an Aged Oil Tanker

2008 ◽  
Author(s):  
Josˇko Parunov ◽  
Paulo Mage ◽  
C. Guedes Soares
Keyword(s):  
Transfer Functions ◽  
International Association ◽  
Single Step ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Structural Rules ◽  
Term Operation ◽  
Strip Theory ◽  
Reliability Method ◽  
Years Of Service ◽  
Oil Tanker

The aim of the paper is to assess the hull-girder reliability of an existing single-hull oil tanker after 25 years of service using a reliability method and assumptions very similar to those proposed recently by International Maritime Organization (IMO). The evaluation of the wave-induced load effects that occur during long-term operation of the ship in the seaway is carried out in accordance with the International Association of Classification Societies (IACS)-recommended procedure, while transfer functions are calculated using the linear strip theory. The still-water loads are defined on the basis of statistical analysis of data recorded on single-hull oil tankers. The ultimate collapse bending moment of the midship cross section, which is used as the basis for the reliability formulation, is evaluated by progressive collapse analysis and by a single-step procedure according to Common Structural Rules (CSR). The reliability analysis is performed for three states of the hull: as built ship with scantlings of the new ship, CSR corroded state with net thicknesses of the structural members according to the corrosion deduction thickness proposed by CSR and survey state with scantlings according to the thickness measurements after 25 years of service. The yearly probability of structural failure is calculated using the first-order reliability method, while sensitivity analysis and a parametric study are performed to investigate the variability of the results with changes of the random variables within their plausible ranges. Results of the analysis are compared with recommended target reliability indices proposed by IMO and also with the results of the reliability assessment of the new double-hull tanker. Such comparison is possible since similar reliability methods and uncertainty models are employed. Results of the analysis may have several useful applications related to the decision-making aspects of the future of an aged oil tanker.

Structural Reliability Analysis Applied on Steel Ships for Rule Partial Safety Factors Calibration

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexis Benhamou ◽  
Quentin Derbanne ◽  
Jérôme de Lauzon
Keyword(s):  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Ultimate Strength ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
Safety Factors ◽  
Structural Rules ◽  
Structural Reliability Analysis ◽  
Reliability Method ◽  
Partial Safety Factors ◽  
Common Structural Rules

Ultimate strength assessments in current IACS Common Structural Rules (CSR) are determined by a limited number of constant partial safety factors (PSF). These coefficients are inherited from the previous Common Structural Rules for Oil Tankers, and were determined using a structural reliability analysis (SRA) based on a limited number ship. The authors decided to lead a more comprehensive structural reliability analysis to propose and discuss a new set of rule formulations. A literature review is carried out in order to determine an extensive database of virtual ships covering the whole range of existing ships with a few representative parameters. SRA is applied for ultimate strength assessment on this database. Uncertainties are modeled by a set of probability distributions applied to each characteristic quantity (still water bending moment, wave bending moment and capacity) and a Second Order Reliability Method (SORM) is used to target the ultimate capacity corresponding to a given failure probability for each ship. A set of several PSF formulations are then derived from these results using both Working Stress Design (WSD) and Load and Resistance Factor Design (LRFD) approaches. These formulations are then discussed to get an optimum between simplicity and accuracy of the results.

Evaluation of IACS Common Structural Rules in Terms of Ultimate Limit State Design and Assessment of Ship Structures

2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeom Kee Paik ◽  
Bong Ju Kim ◽  
Jung Kwan Seo
Keyword(s):  
Limit State ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
Ultimate Limit State ◽  
Stiffened Plate ◽  
Plate Structures ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Structural Rules ◽  
Out Of Plane ◽  
Common Structural Rules ◽  
Ultimate Limit

The aim of the present paper is to evaluate the ultimate limit state performance of an AFRAMAX-class hypothetical double hull oil tanker structure designed by IACS CSR (Common Structural Rules) method, compared with the same-class/type tanker structure designed by IACS pre-CSR method. The ultimate strengths of stiffened plate structures in deck and bottom parts under combined in-plane and out-of-plane actions, and hull girder against vertical bending moment, are computed for the two designs, and the resulting computations are compared. ALPS/ULSAP program is used for the ultimate limit state assessment of stiffened plate structures, while ALPS/HULL program is employed for the progressive hull collapse analysis. ANSYS nonlinear FEA method, which uses more refined technology, is also used for the same purpose. The insights and developments obtained from the present study are addressed.

Designed-Oriented Methods of Ultimate Hull Girder Strength

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enrong Qi ◽  
Weicheng Cui
Keyword(s):  
Single Step ◽  
Software System ◽  
Element Analysis ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Structural Rules ◽  
Ship Hulls ◽  
Calculation Results ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Common Structural Rules ◽  
Double Hull

Based on long-time theoretical and experimental work in authors group, assessment methods of ultimate strength of ship hulls are analyzed and improved. Nonlinear finite element analysis method (FEM), idealized structural unit method (ISUM), simplified method (SM) and analytical method (AM) are integrated into a software system of direct calculations of large tankers. Using this software system, a comparative calculation is performed on ultimate hull girder strength of a 300,000dwt double hull tanker and the calculation results are also compared with the single step procedure of Common Structural Rules for double hull tankers (JTP CSR).

Study on the Effect of Climate Change on Ship Responses Based on Nonlinear Simulations

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bingjie Guo ◽  
Odin Gramstad ◽  
Erik Vanem ◽  
Elzbieta Bitner-Gregersen
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Nonlinear Wave ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
Nonlinear Effects ◽  
Wave Model ◽  
Higher Order ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Structural Rules

Hull girder ultimate strength, which governs sagging and hogging failures, is one of the most critical failure modes for a ship hull. The Structural Reliability Analysis (SRA) methodology has been used to develop Common Structural Rules (CRS) for tankers and bulk carriers. A linear model for bending moment in extreme weather with a nonlinear correction factor has been adopted in the analysis. It is difficult to conclude on the model uncertainty associated with nonlinear effects of bending moment as, until now, there are very limited studies addressing this topic. In this paper, the nonlinear effect on ship responses will be analyzed, and the potential effect of climate change on ship responses will be investigated with the improved 3D Rankine Panel method using nonlinear wave input. The nonlinear wave input is generated by the HOSM (Higher order Spectral Method) wave model incorporating higher order nonlinear effects, including nonlinear free-wave modulation as well as higher order bound harmonics. The North Atlantic past and projected future wave climates are considered.

Study on the Effect of Climate Change on Ship Responses Based on Nonlinear Simulations

2019 ◽  
Vol 141 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bingjie Guo ◽  
Odin Gramstad ◽  
Erik Vanem ◽  
Elzbieta Bitner-Gregersen
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Nonlinear Wave ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
Nonlinear Effects ◽  
Wave Model ◽  
Higher Order ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Structural Rules

Hull girder ultimate strength governs sagging and hogging failures, which is one of the most critical failure modes for a ship hull. The structural reliability analysis methodology has been used to develop common structural rules for tankers and bulk carriers. A linear model for bending moment in extreme weather with a nonlinear correction factor has been adopted in the analysis. It is difficult to conclude on the model uncertainty associated with nonlinear effects of bending moment as, until now, there are few studies addressing this topic. In this paper, the nonlinear effect on ship responses is analyzed, and the potential effect of climate change on ship responses is investigated with the improved three-dimensional (3D) Rankine Panel method using nonlinear wave input. The nonlinear wave input is generated by the higher-order spectral method (HOSM) wave model incorporating higher-order nonlinear effects, including nonlinear free-wave modulation as well as higher-order bound harmonics. The past and projected future wave climates of selected locations in the North Atlantic and North Norwegian Sea are considered.

On the Effect of Hull Girder Flexibility on the Vertical Wave Bending Moment for Ultra Large Container Vessels

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ingrid Marie Vincent Andersen ◽  
Jørgen Juncher Jensen
Keyword(s):  
Bending Moment ◽  
Main Concern ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Numerical Predictions ◽  
Strip Theory ◽  
Reliability Method ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Large Container ◽  
The Waves ◽  
Good Agreement

Currently, a number of very large container ships are being built and more are on order, and some concerns have been expressed about the importance of the reduced hull girder stiffness to the wave-induced loads. The main concern is related to the fatigue life, but also a possible increase in the global hull girder loads as consequence of the increased hull flexibility must be considered. This is especially so as the rules of the classification societies do not explicitly account for the effect of hull flexibility on the global loads. In the present paper an analysis has been carried out for the 9,400 TEU container ship used as case-ship in the EU project TULCS (Tools for Ultra Large Container Ships). A non-linear time-domain strip theory is used for the hydrodynamic analysis of the vertical bending moment amidships in sagging and hogging conditions for a flexible and a rigid modelling of the ship. The theory takes into account non-linear radiation forces (memory effects) through the use of a set of higher order differential equations. The non-linear hydrostatic restoring forces and non-linear Froude-Krylov forces are determined accurately at the instantaneous position of the ship in the waves. Slamming forces are determined by a standard momentum formulation. The hull flexibility is modelled as a non-prismatic Timoshenko beam. Generally, good agreement with experimental results and more accurate numerical predictions has previously been obtained in a number of studies. The statistical analysis is done using the First Order Reliability Method (FORM) supplemented with Monte Carlo simulations. Furthermore, strip-theory calculations are compared to model tests in regular waves of different wave lengths using a segmented, flexible model of the case-ship and good agreement is obtained for the longest of the waves. For the shorter waves the agreement is less good. The discrepancy in the amplitudes of the bending moment can most probably be explained by an underestimation on the effect of momentum slamming in the strip-theory applied.

The Effect of Sloshing in Tanks on Motions and Hull Girder Responses of Damaged Vessels

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huirong Jia ◽  
Torgeir Moan
Keyword(s):  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
Roll Motion ◽  
Multimodal Approach ◽  
Rectangular Shape ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Structural Reliability Analysis ◽  
Oil Tankers

The structural reliability analysis of damaged vessels has up to now commonly been investigated by neglecting the effect of sloshing. This paper deals with the effect of sloshing in tanks on motions and hull girder responses of oil tankers in various damage conditions and represents a part of a study to assess the effect of sloshing on hull girder failure of damaged vessels, The flooded tanks are assumed to have a of rectangular shape and linear multimodal approach is adopted to deal with sloshing. It is concluded that even though the effect of sloshing in tanks on the roll motion of vessels can be neglected in certain damage conditions, the effect of sloshing on the horizontal bending moment cannot be neglected, especially when resonance motion occurs.

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