QUANTITATIVE RISK ASSESSMENT FOR COLLISIONS INVOLVING DOUBLE HULL OIL TANKERS

In recent decades, the safety of ships at sea has become a major concern of the global maritime industries. Ships are rarely subject to severe accidents during their life cycle. Collision is one of the most hazardous accidents, with potentially serious consequences such as the loss of human life, structural damage and environmental damage, especially if large tankers, LNG and/or nuclear-powered vessels are involved. This study presents a Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) for double hull oil tankers that have collided with different types of ships. The methodology used to perform the QRA is based on the International Maritime Organization’s (IMO) definition of a Formal Safety Assessment (FSA). Using probabilistic approaches, ship-ship collision scenarios are randomly selected to create a representative sample of all possible scenarios. The collision frequency is then calculated for each scenario. As this is a virtual experiment, the LS-DYNA nonlinear finite element method (NLFEM) is used to predict the structural consequences of each scenario selected. In addition, the environmental consequences are estimated by calculating the size of each scenario’s oil spill. To assess the economic consequences, the property and environmental damages are calculated in terms of monetary units. The total risk is then calculated as the sum of the resultant structural and environmental damages. Exceedance curves are established that can be used to define the collision design loads in association with various design criteria.

A NEW METHOD FOR ASSESSING THE SAFETY OF SHIPS DAMAGED BY GROUNDING

The primary aim of the present study is to propose an innovative method for assessing the safety of ships which have suffered accidental or in-service damages. Only a small number of probable scenarios for accidental or in-service damage representing all possible damage scenarios are selected using a sampling technique in which the random variables affecting the damage are probabilistically characterized. A damage index for the corresponding damage scenario is defined as a function of damage characteristics such as location and extent of the damage. The residual strength performance of a ship with the corresponding damage scenario can then be calculated by analytical or numerical methods. Once this process has been carried out for each of the damage scenarios selected, a diagram relating the residual strength performance to the damage index (abbreviated as the R-D diagram) can be established. This diagram will be very useful for a first-cut assessment of a ship’s safety immediately after it has suffered structural damage. The diagram can also be used to determine acceptance criteria for a ship’s safety against accidental or in-service damage. An applied example is shown to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed method in terms of developing a diagram between the ultimate longitudinal strength versus grounding damage index for four types of double-hull oil tankers – VLCC, Suezmax, Aframax, and Panamax.

Ship Collision Analysis of Double Hull Structures in Various Ship Types

This paper elaborates the impact characteristics of double hull structures in various ship types including bulk carrier, container ship, LNG carrier and oil tanker. Their own structural configurations, such as the strengthened topside tank in the container ship, affect the crashworthiness of double hull structures in ship collisions. Two striking bows are modeled so as to evaluate the crashworthiness of the double hull structures. The calculations are performed using LS-DYNA to assess the impact characteristics of four struck ships. The ship collision analysis also discusses the assumption of rigid bow in conventional analysis and its effect on the evaluation of side structural crashworthiness. The numerical force-displacement responses and absorbed energy-displacement curves of various ships are compared. The comparison aims to reveal the discrepancy of the crashworthiness of the four typical double hull structures. It is of importance to analyze their structural characteristics for the design of crashworthy structures.

A multiscale DEM–FEM coupled approach for the investigation of granules as crash-absorber in ship building

This paper covers a numerical analysis of a novel approach to increasing the crashworthiness of double hull ships. As proposed in Schöttelndreyer (Füllstoffe in der Konstruktion: ein Konzept zur Verstärkung vonSchiffsseitenhüllen, Technische Uni-versitt Hamburg, Hamburg, 2015), it involves the usage of granular materials in the cavity of the double hull ship. For the modeling of this problem, the discrete element method (DEM) is used for the granules while the finite element method is used for the ship’s structure. In order to account for the structural damage caused by collision, a gradient-enhanced ductile damage model is implemented. In addition to avoid locking, an enhanced strain-based formulation is used. For large-scale problems such as the one in the current study, modeling of all granules with realistic size can be computationally expensive. A two-scale model based on the work of Wellmann and Wriggers (Comput Methods Appl Mech Eng 205:46–58, 2012) is applied—and the region of significant localization is modeled with the DEM, while a continuum model is used for the other regions. The coupling of both discretization schemes is based on the Arlequin method. Numerical homogenization is used to estimate the material parameters of the continuum region with the granules. This involves the usage of meshless interpolation functions for the projection of particle displacement and stress onto a background mesh. Later, the volume-averaged stress and strain within the representative volume element is used to estimate the material parameters. At the end, the results from the combined numerical model are compared with the results from the experiments given in Woitzik and Düster (Ships Offshore Struct 1–12, 2020). This validates both the accuracy of the numerical model and the proposed idea of increasing the crashworthiness of double hull vessels with the granular materials.

Progressive Collapse Analysis of Intact and Damaged Ships under Unsymmetrical Bending

This study examined the hull girder strength of intact and damaged ships by adopting the incremental-iterative method for progressive collapse analysis, which was extended to the general case of the unsymmetrical bending of beams with an arbitrary cross-section. The sources of an unsymmetrical loading, including rotation of the loading plane and section asymmetry caused by structural damage, are described. A fast and robust procedure is presented to determine the translation and rotation of the instantaneous neutral axis at each curvature increment when applying Smith’s progressive collapse analysis method. A series of analyses were conducted on a double hull VLCC and a bulk carrier, considering various loading plane angles and damage conditions. The decrease in ultimate strength and the influences of rotation of the instantaneous neutral axis and ship heeling are discussed. The proposed method can be used for a rapid and rational assessment of the hull girder strength under adverse conditions.