Methodology of Creep Data Analysis for Advanced High Cr Ferritic Steel

Author(s):  
Kouichi Maruyama ◽  
Kyosuke Yoshimi

Long term creep rupture life is usually evaluated from short term data by a time-temperature parameter (TTP) method. The apparent activation energy Q for rupture life of steels sometimes changes from a high value of short term creep to a low value of long term creep. However, the conventional TTP analyses ignore the decrease in Q, resulting in the overestimation of rupture life recognized recently in advanced high Cr ferritic steels. A multi region analysis of creep rupture data is applied to a creep data set of Gr.122 steel; in the analysis a creep rupture data is divided into several data sets so that Q value is unique in each divided data set. The multi region analysis provides the best fit to the data and the lowest value of 105 h creep rupture strength among the three ways of data analysis examined. The conventional single region analysis cannot correctly represent the data points and predicts the highest strength. A half of 0.2% proof stress could not be an appropriate boundary for dividing data to be used in the multi region analysis. In the 2001 Edition of ASME Code an F average concept has been proposed as a substitution for the safety factor of 2/3 for average rupture stress. The allowable stress of Gr.122 steel may decrease significantly when the F average concept and the multi region analysis are adopted.

Author(s):  
K. Maruyama ◽  
J. Nakamura ◽  
K. Yoshimi

Conventional time-temperature-parameter (TTP) methods often overestimate long-term rupture life of creep strength enhanced ferritic steels. Decrease in activation energy Q for rupture life in long-term creep is the cause of the overestimation, since the TTP methods cannot deal with the change in Q. Creep rupture data of a heat of Gr.122 steel (up to 26200h) were divided into several data sets so that Q was unique in each divided data set. Then a TTP method was applied to each divided data set for rupture life prediction. This is the procedure of multi-region analysis of creep rupture data. The predicted rupture lives have been reported in literature. Long-term rupture lives (up to 51400h) of the same heat of the steel have been published in 2013. The multi-region analysis of creep rupture life can predict properly the long-term lives reported. Stress and temperature dependences of rupture life show similar behavior among different heats. Therefore, database on results of the multi-region analyses of various heats of the steel is helpful for rupture life estimation of another heat. Paper published with permission.


2006 ◽  
Vol 129 (3) ◽  
pp. 449-453 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kouichi Maruyama ◽  
Kyosuke Yoshimi

Long-term creep rupture life is usually evaluated from short-term data by a time-temperature parameter (TTP) method. The allowable stress of Gr.122 steel listed in the ASME code has been evaluated by this method and is recognized to be overestimated. The objective of the present study is to understand the causes of the overestimation and propose appropriate methodology for avoiding the overestimation. The apparent activation energy Q for rupture life of the steel changes from a high value of short-term creep to a low value of long-term creep. However, the decrease in Q is ignored in the conventional TTP analyses, resulting in the overestimation of rupture life. A multiregion analysis of creep rupture data is employed to avoid the overestimation; in the analysis creep rupture data are divided into a couple of regions so that the Q value is unique in each divided region. The multiregion analysis provides a good fit to the data and the lowest value of 105h creep rupture strength among the three ways of data analysis examined. A half of 0.2% proof stress cannot provide an appropriate boundary for dividing data to be used in the multiregion analysis. In the 2001 edition of the ASME code an F average concept has been proposed as a substitution for the safety factor of 2∕3 for average rupture stress. The allowable stress of Gr.122 steel changes significantly depending on the allowable stress criteria as well as the methods of rupture data analysis: i.e., from 74MPato48MPa.


2014 ◽  
Vol 137 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Maruyama ◽  
J. Nakamura ◽  
K. Yoshimi

Conventional time-temperature-parameter (TTP) methods often overestimate long-term rupture life of creep strength enhanced ferritic steels. Decrease in activation energy Q for rupture life in long-term creep is the cause of the overestimation, since the TTP methods cannot deal with the change in Q. Creep rupture data of a heat of Gr.122 steel (up to 26,200 h) were divided into several data sets so that Q was unique in each divided data set. Then a TTP method was applied to each divided data set for rupture life prediction. This is the procedure of multiregion analysis of creep rupture data. The predicted rupture lives have been reported in literature. Long-term rupture lives (up to 51,400 h) of the same heat of the steel have been published in 2013. The multiregion analysis of creep rupture life can predict properly the long-term lives reported. Stress and temperature dependences of rupture life show similar behavior among different heats. Therefore, database on results of the multiregion analyses of various heats of the steel is helpful for rupture life estimation of another heat.


2006 ◽  
Vol 519-521 ◽  
pp. 1041-1046 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian Wilshire ◽  
H. Burt ◽  
N.P. Lavery

The standard power law approaches widely used to describe creep and creep fracture behavior have not led to theories capable of predicting long-term data. Similarly, traditional parametric methods for property rationalization also have limited predictive capabilities. In contrast, quantifying the shapes of short-term creep curves using the q methodology introduces several physically-meaningful procedures for creep data rationalization and prediction, which allow straightforward estimation of the 100,000 hour stress rupture values for the aluminum alloy, 2124.


Author(s):  
Christopher Ramirez ◽  
Mohammad Shafinul Haque ◽  
Calvin Maurice Stewart

It is common practice to perform accelerated creep testing (ACT) using time-temperature parameter (TTP) models. The TTP models are calibrated to creep-rupture data at high temperature and/or stress and extrapolate to lower temperature and/or stress where data is not available. The long-term creep rupture behavior (at low temperature and stress) is often not available due to the quantity, duration, and cost of testing. A limited scope of creep-rupture data is often analyzed using the TTP models. When conducting long-term extrapolation, statistical uncertainty becomes an issue. The ability of the TTP models to accurately predict creep-rupture at long life is often limited and the inherent material properties can dramatically influence creep-rupture life. Unfortunately, there is no consensus on the statistic for assessing the quality of TTP extrapolation. This study demonstrates methodology to assessing the uncertainty in creep rupture predictions for 316SS using the Larson Miller parameter. Over 2,000 creep-rupture data points are collected and digitized from the NIMS, ASM, MAPTIS, and ORNL databases; metadata such as the material’s form, thermomechanical processing, and chemical composition are recorded. Statistical uncertainty is measured using the “Z parameter”, which describes the deviation of creep-rupture data to a TTP model. The ability of the TTP models to extrapolate to long life is analyzed via exclusion of data. This is accomplished by: excluding 50% of the data, and by excluding the longest 10% of the data. It is shown that culling data in any way produces more conservative creep rupture predictions. The spread of the dataset will also affect the width of the reliability bands.


Author(s):  
Kazuhiro Kimura ◽  
Masatsugu Yaguchi

Creep rupture strength of ASME Grades 91, 92, 122 and 23 type steels were evaluated by the SHC committee in 2004 and 2005, and the Assessment Committee on Creep Data of High Chromium Steels in 2010. According to the evaluation of creep rupture strength, allowable stress of the steels was revised and weld strength reduction factor (WSRF) was established. In 2015, the creep rupture data of those steels was collected from materials producers, power plant manufacturers and institutes in Japan and a review of long-term creep rupture strength of the steels was conducted by the Assessment Committee on Creep Data of High Chromium Steels in reference to the previous evaluation. It has been confirmed with the latest dataset that re-evaluation of long-term creep rupture strength is not required for Grades 92, 122 and 23 type steels. On the other hand, lower creep rupture strength compared with the previous evaluation was recognized on the new creep rupture data of Grade 91 steels, therefore, re-evaluation of creep rupture strength was conducted on Grade 91 steels. Creep rupture strength was assessed by means of region splitting analysis method in consideration of 50% of 0.2% offset yield strength, in the same way as the previous study. According to the evaluation of long-term creep strength of the steels, allowable tensile stress was reviewed and proposed revision was concluded.


2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 713-722 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seen Chan Kim ◽  
Jae-Hyeok Shim ◽  
Woo-Sang Jung ◽  
Yoon Suk Choi

Author(s):  
Hideo Hiraguchi

Abstract Recently the Discrete Cosine Transform[1], [2], [3] which is a modified Fourier Transform has begun to be used to express coefficients of creep equations using the power law or the exponential law such as Bailey-Norton law[4], [5] and θ Projection[6], [7], [8], [9], [10]. In addition, the Discrete Cosine Transform has begun to be used to express a creep equation itself. We have already found that the Discrete Cosine Transform can express the temperature and stress dependence property of the coefficients of the creep equations at the same time by the two-dimensional Discrete Cosine Transform using 8 × 8 discrete signals[11]. Furthermore, we have already found that the Discrete Cosine Transform can fit measured creep strain values very well from the primary creep region to the tertiary creep region using 8 discrete signals and it can estimate creep strain values between the measured points by interpolation very well[12]. However it has not been known if the Discrete Cosine Transform can predict the long term creep curve by using the short term creep data yet. Therefore, as a next stage, we tried to estimate the long term creep curve from the short term creep data of gas turbine materials by extrapolation using the Discrete Cosine Transform. As a result, we were able to obtain a useful numerical analysis method by utilizing the Discrete Cosine Transform Coefficients and others as a new extrapolation method. It is found that this new numerical method would be able to predict the configuration of 150,000-hour creep curve by using 500-hour to 13,000-hour short term creep data.


Author(s):  
Kyungmok Kim

In this article, a creep–rupture model of aluminum alloys is developed using a time-dependent cohesive zone law. For long-term creep rupture, a time jump strategy is used in a cohesive zone law. Stress–rupture scatter of aluminum alloy 4032-T6 is fitted with a power law form. Then, change in the slope of a stress-rupture line is identified on a log–log scale. Implicit finite element analysis is employed with a model containing a cohesive zone. Stress–rupture curves at various given temperatures are calculated and compared with experimental ones. Results show that a proposed method allows predicting creep–rupture life of aluminum alloys.


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