Prediction of Long Term Stress Rupture Data for 2124

2006 ◽  
Vol 519-521 ◽  
pp. 1041-1046 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian Wilshire ◽  
H. Burt ◽  
N.P. Lavery

The standard power law approaches widely used to describe creep and creep fracture behavior have not led to theories capable of predicting long-term data. Similarly, traditional parametric methods for property rationalization also have limited predictive capabilities. In contrast, quantifying the shapes of short-term creep curves using the q methodology introduces several physically-meaningful procedures for creep data rationalization and prediction, which allow straightforward estimation of the 100,000 hour stress rupture values for the aluminum alloy, 2124.

2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 713-722 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seen Chan Kim ◽  
Jae-Hyeok Shim ◽  
Woo-Sang Jung ◽  
Yoon Suk Choi

Author(s):  
Hideo Hiraguchi

Abstract Recently the Discrete Cosine Transform[1], [2], [3] which is a modified Fourier Transform has begun to be used to express coefficients of creep equations using the power law or the exponential law such as Bailey-Norton law[4], [5] and θ Projection[6], [7], [8], [9], [10]. In addition, the Discrete Cosine Transform has begun to be used to express a creep equation itself. We have already found that the Discrete Cosine Transform can express the temperature and stress dependence property of the coefficients of the creep equations at the same time by the two-dimensional Discrete Cosine Transform using 8 × 8 discrete signals[11]. Furthermore, we have already found that the Discrete Cosine Transform can fit measured creep strain values very well from the primary creep region to the tertiary creep region using 8 discrete signals and it can estimate creep strain values between the measured points by interpolation very well[12]. However it has not been known if the Discrete Cosine Transform can predict the long term creep curve by using the short term creep data yet. Therefore, as a next stage, we tried to estimate the long term creep curve from the short term creep data of gas turbine materials by extrapolation using the Discrete Cosine Transform. As a result, we were able to obtain a useful numerical analysis method by utilizing the Discrete Cosine Transform Coefficients and others as a new extrapolation method. It is found that this new numerical method would be able to predict the configuration of 150,000-hour creep curve by using 500-hour to 13,000-hour short term creep data.


Author(s):  
Kouichi Maruyama ◽  
Kyosuke Yoshimi

Long term creep rupture life is usually evaluated from short term data by a time-temperature parameter (TTP) method. The apparent activation energy Q for rupture life of steels sometimes changes from a high value of short term creep to a low value of long term creep. However, the conventional TTP analyses ignore the decrease in Q, resulting in the overestimation of rupture life recognized recently in advanced high Cr ferritic steels. A multi region analysis of creep rupture data is applied to a creep data set of Gr.122 steel; in the analysis a creep rupture data is divided into several data sets so that Q value is unique in each divided data set. The multi region analysis provides the best fit to the data and the lowest value of 105 h creep rupture strength among the three ways of data analysis examined. The conventional single region analysis cannot correctly represent the data points and predicts the highest strength. A half of 0.2% proof stress could not be an appropriate boundary for dividing data to be used in the multi region analysis. In the 2001 Edition of ASME Code an F average concept has been proposed as a substitution for the safety factor of 2/3 for average rupture stress. The allowable stress of Gr.122 steel may decrease significantly when the F average concept and the multi region analysis are adopted.


Author(s):  
Jaime A. Cano ◽  
Calvin M. Stewart

Abstract There exists a challenge in predicting the long-term creep of materials (3 105 hours) where 11+ years of continuous testing is required to physically collect creep data. As an alternative to physical testing, constitutive models are calibrated to short-term data (< 104 hours) and employed to extrapolate the long-term creep behavior. The Wilshire model was introduced to predict the stress-rupture and minimum-creep-strain-rate behavior of materials and the model is well-accepted due to the explicit description of stress- and temperature-dependence allowing predictions across isotherms and stress levels. There is an ongoing effort to determine how alloy form affects the long-term creep predictions of the Wilshire model. In this study, stress-rupture and minimum-creep-strain-rate predictions are generated for alloy P91 in tube, plate, and pipe form. Data is gathered from the National Institute of Materials Science (NIMS) material database for alloy P91 at multiple isotherms. Following the establish calibration method for the Wilshire model, post-audit validation is performed using short-term data from NIMS to vet the extrapolations accuracy of each form at different isotherms. The Wilshire model demonstrates successful extrapolative techniques for the stress-rupture and minimum-creep-strain-rate of tube, plate, and pipe forms across multiple isotherms. Overall the form with the highest extrapolative accuracy for both stress-rupture and minimum-creep-strain-rate is the plate and the lowest one is the pipe. Stress-rupture design maps are provided where stress and temperature are axes and rupture-time is in contour. The design maps can be applied to: (a) given the boundary conditions, determine the design life (b) given the design life, determine the acceptable range of a boundary conditions. The latter is more useful in turbomachinery design.


1994 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 159-165 ◽  
Author(s):  
B Wilshire ◽  
R W Evans

The limitations of traditional methods of providing long-term creep design data are discussed in relation to existing national and international testing standards, current parametric procedures for extrapolation of stress-rupture values and the factors affecting the high degree of scatter in conventional long-term property sets for widely-used structural steels. These deficiencies may be overcome by adopting an alternative data acquisition methodology based on the analysis of short-term high-precision constant-stress creep curves.


Author(s):  
Muneeb Ejaz ◽  
Norhaida Ab Razak ◽  
Andrew Morris ◽  
Scott Lockyer ◽  
Catrin M. Davies

P91 steels are widely used in high temperature components for power generation. Creep data is often generated through accelerated short term creep tests, for practical reasons, via increasing stress or temperature though this may alter the creep behaviour. Through normalising the creep test stress by tensile strength the Wilshire models reduce the batch to batch scatter in the creep data and enable the prediction of long term creep data from relatively short term test results. In this work it is shown that the Wilshire models fitted to uniaxial creep rupture data can be used to predict failure in both as cast and service exposed multiaxial tests. This is provided that the equivalent stress is the rupture controlling stress, as is the case for the P91 tests examined, and the tensile strength is measured as part of the test programme.


Author(s):  
Kouichi Maruyama ◽  
Nobuaki Sekido ◽  
Kyosuke Yoshimi

Predictions as to 105 hrs creep rupture strength of grade 91 steel have been made recently. The predictions should be verified by some means, since they are based on certain assumptions. A formula for predicting long-term creep rupture lives should correctly describe long-term data points used in its formulation. Otherwise the formula cannot properly predict further longer-term creep rupture lives. On the basis of this consideration, the predictions are examined with long-term creep rupture data of the steel. In the predictions three creep rupture databases were used: data of tube products of grade 91 steel reported in NIMS Creep Data Sheet (NIMS T91 database), data of T91 steel collected in Japan, and data of grade 91 steel collected by an ASME code committee. Short-term creep rupture data points were discarded by the following criteria for minimizing overestimation of the strength: selecting long-term data points with low activation energy (multi-region analysis), selecting data points crept at stresses lower than a half of proof stress (σ0.2/2 criterion), and selecting data points longer than 1000 hrs (cut-off time of 1000 hrs). In the case of NIMS T91 database, a time-temperature parameter (TTP) analysis of a dataset selected by the multi-region analysis can properly describe the long-term data points. However, the TTP analyses of datasets selected by the σ0.2/2 criterion and by the cut-off time of 1000 hrs from the same database overestimate the long-term data points. The different criteria for data selection have more substantial effects on predicted values of the strength of the steel than difference of the databases.


2007 ◽  
Vol 561-565 ◽  
pp. 2217-2220 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hassan Ghassemi Armaki ◽  
Kyosuke Yoshimi ◽  
Kouichi Maruyama ◽  
Mitsuru Yoshizawa ◽  
Masaaki Igarashi

The apparent activation energy for rupture life sometimes changes from a high value of short term creep to a low value of long term creep. This change results in overestimation of rupture life recognized recently in advanced high Cr ferritic steels. The present study examined how to detect the decrease of activation energy in 9-12 %Cr steels with tempered martensitic lath microstructure. During aging without stress hardness of the tempered martensite microstructures remains almost constant in short term, whereas it decreases with increasing time after long term exposure. The onset of hardness drop can be a good measure of the decrease of activation energy. Causes of the hardness drop and the decrease of activation energy are discussed.


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