Development of Guideline on Seismic Fragility Evaluation for Aged Piping

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoshihito Yamaguchi ◽  
Jinya Katsuyama ◽  
Koichi Masaki ◽  
Yinsheng Li

Abstract The seismic probabilistic risk assessment is an important methodology to evaluate the seismic safety of nuclear power plants. In this assessment, the core damage frequency is evaluated from the seismic hazard, seismic fragilities, and accident sequence. Regarding the seismic fragility evaluation, the probabilistic fracture mechanics can be applied as a useful evaluation technique for aged piping systems with crack or wall thinning due to the age-related degradation mechanisms. In this study, to advance seismic probabilistic risk assessment methodology of nuclear power plants that have been in operation for a long time, a guideline on the seismic fragility evaluation of the typical aged piping systems of nuclear power plants has been developed considering the age-related degradation mechanisms. This paper provides an outline of the guideline and several examples of seismic fragility evaluation based on the guideline and utilizing the probabilistic fracture mechanics analysis code.

Author(s):  
Yinsheng Li ◽  
Kazuya Osakabe ◽  
Genshichiro Katsumata ◽  
Jinya Katsuyama ◽  
Kunio Onizawa ◽  
...  

In recent years, cracks have been detected in piping systems of nuclear power plants. Many of them are multiple cracks in the same welded joints. Therefore, structural integrity evaluation and risk assessment considering multiple cracks and crack initiation in aged piping have become increasingly important. Probabilistic fracture mechanics (PFM) is a rational methodology in structural integrity evaluation and risk assessment of aged piping in nuclear power plants. Two PFM codes, PASCAL-SP and PRAISE-JNES, have been improved or developed in Japan for the structural integrity evaluation and risk assessment considering the age related degradation mechanisms of pipes. Although the purposes to develop these two codes are different, both have almost the same basic functions to obtain the failure probabilities of pipes. In this paper, a benchmark analysis was conducted considering multiple cracks and crack initiation, in order to confirm their reliability and applicability. Based on the numerical investigation in consideration of important influence factors such as crack number, crack location, crack distribution and crack detection probability of in-service inspection, it was concluded that the analysis results of these two codes are in good agreement.


Author(s):  
Yoshihito Yamaguchi ◽  
Jinya Katsuyama ◽  
Yinsheng Li

Several nuclear power plants in Japan have been operating for more than 30 years and cracks due to age-related degradations have been detected in some piping systems during in-service inspections. Furthermore, several of them have experienced severe earthquakes in recent years. Therefore, failure probability analysis and fragility evaluation for piping systems, taking both age-related degradations and seismic loads into consideration, has become increasingly important for the structural integrity evaluation and the seismic probabilistic risk assessment. Probabilistic fracture mechanics (PFM) is recognized as a rational methodology for failure probability analysis and fragility evaluation of aged piping, because it can take the scatters and uncertainties of influence parameters into account. In our Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA), a PFM analysis code PASCAL-SP was developed for aged piping considering age-related degradations. In this study, we improved PASCAL-SP for the fragility evaluation taking both age-related degradations and seismic loads into account. The details of the improvement of PASCAL-SP are explained and some example analysis results of failure probabilities, fragility curves and a preliminary investigation on seismic safety margin are presented in this paper.


Author(s):  
Shotaro Hayashi ◽  
Mayumi Ochi ◽  
Kiminobu Hojo ◽  
Takahisa Yamane ◽  
Wataru Nishi

The cast austenitic stainless steel (CASS) that is used for the primary loop pipes of nuclear power plants is susceptible to thermal ageing during plant operation. The Japanese JSME rules on fitness-for-service (JSME rules on FFS)[1] for nuclear power plants specify the allowable flaw depths. However, some of these allowable flaw sizes are small compared with the smallest flaw sizes, which can be detected by nondestructive testing. ASME Section XI Code Case N-838[2] recently specified the maximum tolerable flaw depths for CASS pipes determined by probabilistic fracture mechanics (PFM). In a similar way, the allowable flaw depths of CASS pipes were calculated by PFM analysis code “PREFACE”[3] which considers uncertainty of the mechanical properties of Japanese PWR CASS materials. In order to confirm the validity of PREFACE, the allowable flaw depths calculated by PREFACE were compared with the maximum tolerable flaw depths in the technical basis of Code Case N-838. As a result, although the J calculation method and the embrittlement prediction model of CASS are different, these were qualitatively consistent. In addition, the sensitivity of ferrite content to the allowable flaw depths was investigated.


Author(s):  
Robert A. Leishear

Water hammers, or fluid transients, compress flammable gasses to their autognition temperatures in piping systems to cause fires or explosions. While this statement may be true for many industrial systems, the focus of this research are reactor coolant water systems (RCW) in nuclear power plants, which generate flammable gasses during normal operations and during accident conditions, such as loss of coolant accidents (LOCA’s) or reactor meltdowns. When combustion occurs, the gas will either burn (deflagrate) or explode, depending on the system geometry and the quantity of the flammable gas and oxygen. If there is sufficient oxygen inside the pipe during the compression process, an explosion can ignite immediately. If there is insufficient oxygen to initiate combustion inside the pipe, the flammable gas can only ignite if released to air, an oxygen rich environment. This presentation considers the fundamentals of gas compression and causes of ignition in nuclear reactor systems. In addition to these ignition mechanisms, specific applications are briefly considered. Those applications include a hydrogen fire following the Three Mile Island meltdown, hydrogen explosions following Fukushima Daiichi explosions, and on-going fires and explosions in U.S nuclear power plants. Novel conclusions are presented here as follows. 1. A hydrogen fire was ignited by water hammer at Three Mile Island. 2. Hydrogen explosions were ignited by water hammer at Fukushima Daiichi. 3. Piping damages in U.S. commercial nuclear reactor systems have occurred since reactors were first built. These damages were not caused by water hammer alone, but were caused by water hammer compression of flammable hydrogen and resultant deflagration or detonation inside of the piping.


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