The Future of Coral Reefs

Science ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 334 (6062) ◽  
pp. 1494-1495 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. Hoegh-Guldberg ◽  
J. C. Ortiz ◽  
S. Dove
Keyword(s):  
2010 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 233-240 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tracy D. Ainsworth ◽  
Rebecca Vega Thurber ◽  
Ruth D. Gates
Keyword(s):  

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard J. Matear ◽  
Andrew Lenton

Abstract. Carbon-climate feedbacks have the potential to significantly impact the future climate by altering atmospheric CO2 concentrations (Zaehle et al., 2010). By modifying the future atmospheric CO2 concentrations, the carbon-climate feedbacks will also influence the future trajectory for ocean acidification. Here, we use the CO2 emissions scenarios from 4 Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) with an Earth System Model to project the future trajectories of ocean acidification with the inclusion of carbon-climate feedbacks. We show that simulated carbon-climate feedbacks can significantly impact the onset of under-saturated aragonite conditions in the Southern and Arctic Oceans, the suitable habitat for tropical coral and the deepwater saturation states. Under higher emission scenarios (RCP8.5 and RCP6.0), the carbon-climate feedbacks advance the onset of under-saturation conditions and the reduction in suitable coral reef habitat by a decade or more. The impact of the carbon-climate feedback is most significant for the medium (RCP4.5) and low emission (RCP2.6) scenarios. For RCP4.5 scenario by 2100, the carbon-climate feedbacks nearly double the area of surface water under-saturated respect to aragonite and reduce by 50 % the surface water suitable for coral reefs. For RCP2.6 scenario by 2100, the carbon-climate feedbacks reduce the area suitable for coral reefs by 40 % and increase the area of under-saturated surface water by 20 %. The high sensitivity of the impact of ocean acidification to the carbon-climate feedbacks in the low to medium emissions scenarios is important because our recent commitments to reduce CO2 emissions are trying to move us on to such an emissions scenario. The study highlights the need to better characterise the carbon-climate feedbacks to ensure we do not excessively stress the oceans by under-estimating the future impact of ocean acidification.


Science ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 334 (6062) ◽  
pp. 1495-1496 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. M. Pandolfi ◽  
S. R. Connolly ◽  
D. J. Marshall ◽  
A. L. Cohen
Keyword(s):  

2001 ◽  
Vol 98 (10) ◽  
pp. 5419-5425 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Knowlton
Keyword(s):  

2000 ◽  
Vol 90 (2) ◽  
pp. 426-437 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joan A. Kleypas ◽  
Robert W. Buddemeier ◽  
Jean-Pierre Gattuso
Keyword(s):  

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (8) ◽  
pp. 4302-4315 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marji Puotinen ◽  
Edwin Drost ◽  
Ryan Lowe ◽  
Martial Depczynski ◽  
Ben Radford ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 20-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Irus Braverman

Reef-building corals are increasingly exposed to warming ocean temperatures. Their immediate response to this rise in temperature is to expel their symbiotic algae and turn white, or bleach. It is mainly for these reasons that corals have been perceived by scientists as both a sign and a measure of the imminent catastrophe facing life in the oceans and, subsequently, on earth. To measure coral decline across space and time, coral scientists have come up with maps, indexes, and color-coded representations. Yet they soon realized that what they regard as today’s healthy reef is, in fact, yesterday’s depleted reef. This problem, referred to as the shifting baselines syndrome, renders most comparisons across time difficult and frustrates the ability to predict the future. The problem is exacerbated in the context of oceans, and further yet in the context of coral reefs, because of the lack of reliable historical records. In fact, many of the coral scientists I have interviewed perceive shifting baselines as one of the key challenges facing coral conservation scientists and managers in their attempts to accurately calculate coral decline—a project that is typically deemed necessary for effective management policies and restoration practices. My article will critically explore the application of, and the assumptions behind, the shifting baselines concept in the context of reef coral science. Specifically, I will draw on interviews with coral scientists to describe the practices and devices embedded in the creation of baselines for corals and, finally, I will explore how certain scientists are challenging the conceptions of nature and time that underlie their operations.


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