Correlation of Borrelia burgdorferi Sensu Lato Prevalence in Questing Ixodes ricinus Ticks with Specific Abiotic Traits in the Western Palearctic
ABSTRACTThis meta-analysis of reports examining ticks throughout the Western Palearctic region indicates a distinct geographic pattern forBorrelia burgdorferisensu lato prevalence in questing nymphalIxodes ricinusticks. The greatest prevalence was reported between the 5°E and 25°E longitudes based on an analysis of 123 collection points with 37,940 nymphal tick specimens (87.43% of total nymphs; 56.35% of total ticks in the set of reports over the target area). Climatic traits, such as temperature and vegetation stress, and their seasonality correlated withBorreliaprevalence in questing ticks. The greatest prevalence was associated with mild winter, high summer, and low seasonal amplitude of temperatures within the range of the tick vector, higher vegetation indices in the May-June period, and well-connected vegetation patches below a threshold at which rates suddenly drop. Classification of the target territory using a qualitative risk index derived from the abiotic variables produced an indicator of the probability of finding infected ticks in the Western Palearctic region. No specific temporal trends were detected in the reported prevalence. The ranges of the differentB. burgdorferisensu lato genospecies showed a pattern of high biodiversity between 4°W and 20°E, partially overlapping the area of highest prevalence in ticks.Borrelia afzeliiandBorrelia gariniiare the dominant species in central Europe (east of ∼25°E), butB. gariniimay appear alone at southern latitudes andBorrelia lusitaniaeis the main indicator species for meridional territories.