THE IMPACTS OF THE IMF-SUPPORTED STRUCTURAL REFORM PROGRAM ON ASIAN STOCK MARKET EFFICIENCY

2012 ◽  
Vol 57 (04) ◽  
pp. 1250029
Author(s):  
TATSUYOSHI MIYAKOSHI ◽  
YOSHIHIKO TSUKUDA ◽  
JUNJI SHIMADA

We investigate the impact of the IMF-supported structural reform program in the 1997 Asian crisis on stock market efficiency using the before–after, with–without and event study approaches by applying a time-varying parameter model to eight Asian stock markets. All the supported countries, including Indonesia and Korea, but not Thailand, experienced significantly improved market efficiency after the implementation of the program, implying a positive effect of the program according to the before–after approach. Among the nonsupported countries, China, Taiwan and Malaysia did not improve efficiency (however, Hong Kong and Singapore did) after the start of the crisis, providing some evidence of a positive effect according to the with–without approach. The Thailand, Indonesia and Korean markets showed positive abnormal returns on the days or days following policy announcements in this IMF-supported program, indicating positive effects of the policy according to the event study approach. These findings suggest that the IMF program was successful during the 1997 Asian financial crisis and that it was helpful in resolving the recent global financial crisis.

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 88-106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neha Seth ◽  
A. K. Sharma

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the informational efficiency and integration simultaneously for select Asian and US stock markets while considering the impact of recent financial crisis. Design/methodology/approach – Daily stock market data from 13 world markets covering the period of ten years (from January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2010) is tested using Run test, Unit root test, GARCH(1, 1) model, Pearson correlation coefficient, Johansen’s cointegration test and Granger causality test. Findings – It is concluded that the markets under study are inefficient in weak form which creates the chances of earning abnormal returns for the investors. Furthermore, the markets are found to be correlated and integrated in long-run, which makes the international fund diversification insignificant. The degree of inefficiency, in general, is not affected by the recent financial crisis but the level of integration among stock markets is reduced with the effect of recent financial crisis. Practical implications – Individual/institutional investors, portfolio managers, corporate executives, policy makers and practitioners may draw meaningful conclusions from the findings of this type of researches while operating in stock markets. They can use such studies for the management of their existing portfolios as their portfolio management strategies may be, up to some extent, dependent upon such research work. Originality/value – The originality of the present study lies in the fact that this paper is an attempt to fill the time gap of comprehensive researches on Asian and US markets and an effort to test stock market efficiency and integration simultaneously.


2008 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 44
Author(s):  
Glauber de Castro Barbosa ◽  
Otávio Ribeiro de Medeiros

The study has the purpose of analyzing the behavior of the Brazilian stock market in order to verify the existence of market efficiency immediately after the occurrence of favorable and unfavorable events (shocks). To achieve this purpose, an event study is performed in which the return on the Brazilian stock market index (Ibovespa) is regressed against the return on the Dow Jones stock market index, which represents the New York Stock Exchange, adopted as a proxy for the world stock market index. Regression residuals appearing as outliers above +2.5% or below –2.5% were adopted to determine positive and negative events, respectively. Cumulative Abnormal Returns were computed and tested for a period of 10 days after the events. The empirical results led to the conclusion that market efficiency is not observed both after positive and negative shocks, but an overreaction behavior is observed instead. Key words: economic shocks. Market efficiency. Overreaction. Uncertain information hypothesis. Underreaction. Event study.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 195-215
Author(s):  
Pick-Soon Ling ◽  
Ruzita Abdul-Rahim ◽  
Fathin Faizah Said

Purpose This study aims to investigate Malaysian stock market efficiency from the view of Sharīʿah-compliant and conventional stocks based on the effectiveness of technical trading strategies. Design/methodology/approach This study uses unconventional trading strategies that mix buy recommendations of Bursa Malaysia analysts with sell signals generated from 10 selected technical trading strategies (simple moving average, moving average envelopes, Bollinger Bands, momentum, commodity channel index, relative strength index, stochastic, Williams percentage range, moving average convergence divergence oscillator and shooting star) that are detected using ChartNexus. The period from 1 January 2013 until 31 December 2015 produces a total sample consisting of 1,265 buy recommendations of 125 Sharīʿah-compliant stocks and 400 buy recommendations of conventional stocks. The study period is extended until 31 March 2016 to provide an ample time for detecting the sell signal especially for buy recommendations that are released towards the end of 2015. Findings The resulting Jensen’s alpha show 8 out of 10 strategies are effective in generating abnormal returns in Sharīʿah-compliant samples while only 3 out of 10 strategies are effective in conventional samples. Prominent effectiveness of technical trading strategies in Sharīʿah-compliant stocks implies clear inefficiency in that stock market segment as opposed to those of the conventional stocks. Originality/value The results based on unconventional trading strategies provide new insights of Malaysian stock market efficiency especially in Sharīʿah-compliant and conventional stocks. The paper provides more robust findings on market efficiency as firms’ equity level data were focussed together with analysts’ buy recommendations from Bursa Malaysia.


2015 ◽  
pp. 89-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thuy Nguyen Thu ◽  
Giang Dao Thi Thu ◽  
Hoang Truong Huy

This paper examines the abnormal returns in merger withdrawals in Australia, especially distinguishing the market response between private and public targets. We also study the determinants of those abnormal returns, including the method of payment and the impact of financial crisis periods. Using the event study method, we document that in the Australian context, the announced withdrawal of mergers involving private targets creates significantly negative valuation effects in comparison with the valuation effects in withdrawal of mergers involving public targets. We also find that a financial crisis period strongly affects abnormal returns of merger withdrawals. However, the method of payment does not have any impact on the abnormal returns.


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