DETRENDED CROSS-CORRELATION ANALYSIS BETWEEN MULTIVARIATE TIME SERIES

Fractals ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (04) ◽  
pp. 1850058 ◽  
Author(s):  
XUEGENG MAO ◽  
PENGJIAN SHANG

It is a crucial topic to identify the cross-correlations between time series in multivariate systems. In this paper, we extend the detrended cross-correlation analysis (DCCA) into the multivariate systems, assigned multivariate detrended cross-correlation analysis (MVDCCA). Numerical simulations of synthetic multivariate time series generated by two-exponent and mix-correlated ARFIMA processes are applied to illustrate the validity of the proposed MVDCCA. Results show that the external coupling parameter determines the strength of cross-correlation no matter that it is inter-independent or correlated among channels in a certain multivariate time series. The MVDCCA method is robust enough to detect the scale properties of time series by estimating the Hurst exponent. And we use cross-correlation coefficient to quantify the level of cross-correlations clearly. Furthermore, the MVDCCA method performs well when applied to the stock markets combining the stock daily price returns and trading volume of stock indices. By comparing results only using stock daily price returns in published literatures, we find that the higher recognizability between the pair stock indices can be observed whatever from the same regions or different regions in multivariate situations and the conclusions are more comprehensive.

2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (03) ◽  
pp. 1950014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingjing Huang ◽  
Danlei Gu

In order to obtain richer information on the cross-correlation properties between two time series, we introduce a method called multiscale multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MM-DCCA). This method is based on the Hurst surface and can be used to study the non-linear relationship between two time series. By sweeping through all the scale ranges of the multifractal structure of the complex system, it can present more information than the multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DCCA). In this paper, we use the MM-DCCA method to study the cross-correlations between two sets of artificial data and two sets of 5[Formula: see text]min high-frequency stock data from home and abroad. They are SZSE and SSEC in the Chinese market, and DJI and NASDAQ in the US market. We use Hurst surface and Hurst exponential distribution histogram to analyze the research objects and find that SSEC, SZSE and DJI, NASDAQ all show multifractal properties and long-range cross-correlations. We find that the fluctuation of the Hurst surface is related to the positive and negative of [Formula: see text], the change of scale range, the difference of national system, and the length of time series. The results show that the MM-DCCA method can give more abundant information and more detailed dynamic processes.


Fractals ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 22 (04) ◽  
pp. 1450007 ◽  
Author(s):  
YI YIN ◽  
PENGJIAN SHANG

In this paper, we employ the detrended cross-correlation analysis (DCCA) to investigate the cross-correlations between different stock markets. We report the results of cross-correlated behaviors in US, Chinese and European stock markets in period 1997–2012 by using DCCA method. The DCCA shows the cross-correlated behaviors of intra-regional and inter-regional stock markets in the short and long term which display the similarities and differences of cross-correlated behaviors simply and roughly and the persistence of cross-correlated behaviors of fluctuations. Then, because of the limitation and inapplicability of DCCA method, we propose multiscale detrended cross-correlation analysis (MSDCCA) method to avoid "a priori" selecting the ranges of scales over which two coefficients of the classical DCCA method are identified, and employ MSDCCA to reanalyze these cross-correlations to exhibit some important details such as the existence and position of minimum, maximum and bimodal distribution which are lost if the scale structure is described by two coefficients only and essential differences and similarities in the scale structures of cross-correlation of intra-regional and inter-regional markets. More statistical characteristics of cross-correlation obtained by MSDCCA method help us to understand how two different stock markets influence each other and to analyze the influence from thus two inter-regional markets on the cross-correlation in detail, thus we get a richer and more detailed knowledge of the complex evolutions of dynamics of the cross-correlations between stock markets. The application of MSDCCA is important to promote our understanding of the internal mechanisms and structures of financial markets and helps to forecast the stock indices based on our current results demonstrated the cross-correlations between stock indices. We also discuss the MSDCCA methods of secant rolling window with different sizes and, lastly, provide some relevant implications and issue.


Fractals ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 20 (03n04) ◽  
pp. 271-279 ◽  
Author(s):  
JING WANG ◽  
PENGJIAN SHANG ◽  
WEIJIE GE

We introduce a new method, multifractal cross-correlation analysis based on statistical moments (MFSMXA), to investigate the long-term cross-correlations and cross-multifractality between time series generated from complex system. Efficiency of this method is shown on multifractal series, comparing with the well-known multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MFXDFA) and multifractal detrending moving average cross-correlation analysis (MFXDMA). We further apply this method on volatility time series of DJIA and NASDAQ indices, and find some interesting results. The MFSMXA has comparative performance with MFXDMA and sometimes perform slightly better than MFXDFA. Multifractal nature exists in volatility series. In addition, we find that the cross-multifractality of volatility series is mainly due to their cross-correlations, via comparing the MFSMXA results for original series with those for shuffled series.


2003 ◽  
Vol 90 (6) ◽  
pp. 3774-3782 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kei Masani ◽  
Milos R. Popovic ◽  
Kimitaka Nakazawa ◽  
Motoki Kouzaki ◽  
Daichi Nozaki

In literature, it has been suggested that the CNS anticipates spontaneous change in body position during quiet stance and continuously modulates ankle extensor muscle activity to compensate for the change. The purpose of this study was to investigate whether velocity feedback contributes by modulating ankle extensor activities in an anticipatory fashion, facilitating effective control of quiet stance. Both theoretical analysis and experiments were carried out to investigate to what extent velocity feedback contributes to controlling quiet stance. The experiments were carried out with 16 healthy subjects who were asked to stand quietly with their eyes open or closed. During the experiments, the center of pressure (COP) displacement (COPdis), the center of mass (COM) displacement (COMdis), and COM velocity (COMvel) in the anteroposterior direction were measured. Rectified electromyograms (EMGs) were used to measure muscle activity in the right soleus muscle, the medial gastrocnemius muscle, and the lateral gastrocnemius muscle. The simulations were performed using an inverted pendulum model that described the anteroposterior kinematics and dynamics of quiet stance. In the simulations, an assumption was made that the COMdis of the body would be regulated using a proportional-derivative (PD) controller. Two different PD controllers were evaluated in these simulations: 1) a controller with the high-derivative/velocity gain (HDG) and 2) a controller with the low-derivative/velocity gain (LDG). Cross-correlation analysis was applied to investigate the relationships between time series obtained in experiments 1) COMdis and EMGs and 2) COMvel and EMGs. Identical cross-correlation analysis was applied to investigate the relationships between time series obtained in simulations 3) COMdis and ankle torque and 4) COMvel and ankle torque. The results of these analyses showed that the COMdis was positively correlated with all three EMGs and that the EMGs temporally preceded the COMdis. These findings agree with the previously published studies in which it was shown that the lateral gastrocnemius muscle is actively modulated in anticipation of the body's COM position change. The COMvel and all three EMGs were also correlated and the cross-correlation function (CCF) had two peaks: one that was positive and another that was negative. The positive peaks were statistically significant, unlike the negative ones; they were larger than the negative peaks; and their time shifts were much shorter compared with the time shifts of the negative peaks. When these results were compared with the CCF results obtained for simulated time series, it was discovered that the cross-correlation results for the HDG controller closely matched cross-correlation results for the experimental time series. On the other hand, the simulation result obtained for LDG controller did not match the experimental results. These findings suggest that the actual postural control system during quiet stance adopts a control strategy that relies notably on velocity information and that such a controller can modulate muscle activity in anticipatory manner without using a feed-forward mechanism.


Fractals ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 19 (03) ◽  
pp. 329-338 ◽  
Author(s):  
XIAOJUN ZHAO ◽  
PENGJIAN SHANG ◽  
QIUYUE JIN

Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DXA) has been developed to detect the long-range power-law cross-correlation of two simultaneous series. However, the synchronization of underlying data can not be guaranteed integrated by a variety of factors. We artificially imbed a time delay in considered series and study its influence on the multifractal cross-correlation analysis. Time delay is found to affect the multifractal characterization, where a larger time delay causes a weaker multifractality. We also propose an alternative modification on MF-DXA to make the process more robust. The logarithmic return and volatility of Chinese stock indices show cross-correlation scaling behavior and strong multifractality by MF-DXA as well as singularity spectrum analysis.


2010 ◽  
Vol 20 (10) ◽  
pp. 3323-3328 ◽  
Author(s):  
PENGJIAN SHANG ◽  
KEQIANG DONG ◽  
SANTI KAMAE

The study of diverse natural and nonstationary signals has recently become an area of active research for physicists. This is because these signals exhibit interesting dynamical properties such as scale invariance, volatility correlation, heavy tails and fractality. The focus of the present paper is on the intriguing power-law autocorrelations and cross-correlations in traffic series. Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis (DCCA) is used to study the traffic flow fluctuations. It is demonstrated that the time series, observed on the Anhua-Bridge highway in the Beijing Third Ring Road (BTRR), may exhibit power-law cross-correlations when they come from two adjacent sections or lanes. This indicates that a large increment in one traffic variable is more likely to be followed by large increment in the other traffic variable. However, for traffic time series derived from nonadjacent sections or lanes, we find that even though they are power-law autocorrelated, there is no cross-correlation between them with a unique exponent. Our results show that DCCA techniques based on Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) can be used to analyze and interpret the traffic flow.


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