CONTEXTUALITY, INCOMPATIBILITY AND BIASED INFERENCE IN A QUANTUM-LIKE FORMULATION OF COMPUTATIONAL TRUST

2014 ◽  
Vol 17 (05) ◽  
pp. 1450020 ◽  
Author(s):  
MEHRDAD ASHTIANI ◽  
MOHAMMAD ABDOLLAHI AZGOMI

Trust models play an important role in computational environments. One of the main aims of the work undertaken in this domain is to provide a model that can better describe the socio-technical nature of computational trust. It has been recently shown that quantum-like formulations in the field of human decision making can better explain the underlying nature of these types of processes. Based on this research, the aim of this paper is to propose a novel model of trust based on quantum probabilities as the underlying mathematics of quantum theory. It will be shown that by using this new mathematical framework, we will have a powerful mechanism to model the contextuality property of trust. Also, it is hypothesized that many events or evaluations in the context of trust can be and should be considered as incompatible, which is unique to the noncommutative structure of quantum probabilities. The main contribution of this paper will be that, by using the quantum Bayesian inference mechanism for belief updating in the framework of quantum theory, we propose a biased trust inference mechanism. This mechanism allows us to model the negative and positive biases that a trustor may subjectively feel toward a certain trustee candidate. It is shown that by using this bias, we can model and describe the exploration versus exploitation problem in the context of trust decision making, recency effects for recently good or bad transactions, filtering pessimistic and optimistic recommendations that may result in good-mouthing or bad-mouthing attacks, the attitude of the trustor toward risk and uncertainty in different situations and the pseudo-transitivity property of trust. Finally, we have conducted several experimental evaluations in order to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model in different scenarios.

2017 ◽  
Vol 44 (6) ◽  
pp. 393-406 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jieh-Haur Chen ◽  
Shangyao Yan ◽  
Hsing-Wei Tai ◽  
Chao-Yu Chang

This study serves as a practical model for optimizing production planning, allocation of precast component storage, and transportation sites as well as for making timely adjustments for contracted projects. To ensure that the structure of the research model is reasonable and matches actual applications, the study uses a field survey to directly observe the largest precast concrete plants in Taiwan for a period of 6 months, followed by in-depth interviews with experts involved with the planning, design, installation, and manufacturing for precast projects. The mathematical model is then established and evaluated using the data containing over 90% of national production in Taiwan. The results show that the tested corporate profits increase by an impressive 38.4% and performance is significantly increased by 97.75%. The proposed model can not only make up for oversights in human decision-making but improve the decision-making process boosting corporate competitiveness.


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 179-193
Author(s):  
Rahul Shrivastava ◽  
Prabhat Kumar ◽  
Sudhakar Tripathi

Background: The cognitive models based agents proposed in the existing patents are not able to create knowledge by themselves. They also did not have the inference mechanism to take decisions and perform planning in novel situations. Objective: This patent proposes a method to mimic the human memory process for decision making. Methods: The proposed model simulates the functionality of episodic, semantic and procedural memory along with their interaction system. The sensory information activates the activity nodes which is a binding of concept and the sensory values. These activated activity nodes are captured by the episodic memory in the form of an event node. Each activity node has some participation strength in each event depending upon its involvement among other events. Recalling of events and frequent usage of some coactive activity nodes constitute the semantic knowledge in the form of associations between the activity nodes. The model also learns the actions in context to the activity nodes by using reinforcement learning. The proposed model uses an energy-based inference mechanism for planning and decision making. Results: The proposed model is validated by deploying it in a virtual war game agent and analysing the results. The obtained results show that the proposed model is significantly associated with all the biological findings and theories related to memories. Conclusion: The implementation of this model allows humanoid and game agents to take decisions and perform planning in novel situations.


2018 ◽  
Vol 41 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Danks

AbstractThe target article uses a mathematical framework derived from Bayesian decision making to demonstrate suboptimal decision making but then attributes psychological reality to the framework components. Rahnev & Denison's (R&D) positive proposal thus risks ignoring plausible psychological theories that could implement complex perceptual decision making. We must be careful not to slide from success with an analytical tool to the reality of the tool components.


2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Scott D. Brown ◽  
Pete Cassey ◽  
Andrew Heathcote ◽  
Roger Ratcliff

2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
pp. 4041-4058
Author(s):  
Fang Liu ◽  
Xu Tan ◽  
Hui Yang ◽  
Hui Zhao

Intuitionistic fuzzy preference relations (IFPRs) have the natural ability to reflect the positive, the negative and the non-determinative judgements of decision makers. A decision making model is proposed by considering the inherent property of IFPRs in this study, where the main novelty comes with the introduction of the concept of additive approximate consistency. First, the consistency definitions of IFPRs are reviewed and the underlying ideas are analyzed. Second, by considering the allocation of the non-determinacy degree of decision makers’ opinions, the novel concept of approximate consistency for IFPRs is proposed. Then the additive approximate consistency of IFPRs is defined and the properties are studied. Third, the priorities of alternatives are derived from IFPRs with additive approximate consistency by considering the effects of the permutations of alternatives and the allocation of the non-determinacy degree. The rankings of alternatives based on real, interval and intuitionistic fuzzy weights are investigated, respectively. Finally, some comparisons are reported by carrying out numerical examples to show the novelty and advantage of the proposed model. It is found that the proposed model can offer various decision schemes due to the allocation of the non-determinacy degree of IFPRs.


2019 ◽  
Vol 63 (1) ◽  
pp. 105-116
Author(s):  
Mark W. Hamilton

Abstract The dual endings of Hosea promoted reflection on Israel’s history as the movement from destruction to restoration based on Yhwh’s gracious decision for Israel. It thus clarifies the endings of the prior sections of the book (chs. 3 and 11) by locating Israel’s future in the realm of Yhwh’s activities. The final ending (14:10) balances the theme of divine agency in 14:2–9 with the recognition of human decision-making and moral formation as aspects of history as well. The endings of Hosea thus offer a good example of metahistoriography, a text that uses non-historiographic techniques to speak of the movements of history.


2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paolo Grigolini ◽  
Bruce J. West

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