Simulation and analysis on the ship energy efficiency operational indicator for bulk carriers by Monte Carlo simulation method

Author(s):  
Tien Anh Tran

The ship energy efficiency management is an important topic in the field of the energy management onboard and the exhaust gases emission nowadays. The advanced model plays a vital role to improve the ship energy efficiency management when considering the variable factors. The establishment of the ship energy efficiency model through energy efficiency operational indicator (EEOI) index has been conducted through Monte Carlo simulation method along with using the operation data of a bulk carrier. A bulk carrier is chosen, namely, M/V NSU JUSTICE 250,000 DWT of VINIC Shipping Transportation Company in Vietnam. This research uses the real operational data to perform a statistical methodology which calculates the various factors used to calculate EEOI. This method is supported by Matlab program through the curve fitting tool. The normal distribution estimation and the kernel density estimation method are used for the parametric curve fitting and non-parametric curve fitting, respectively. The average weather condition (wind speed and wave height) and the fouling condition of hull have been investigated and compared with the research results. The validation of the proposed methods has been conducted through the study of the external factors influencing the research results. The research result shows the optimal operational data for the fuel consumption at each certain voyage. This paper is useful for the ship-owners and the ship-operators in the field of the ship energy efficiency management.

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (10) ◽  
pp. 2885
Author(s):  
Daniel Losada ◽  
Ameena Al-Sumaiti ◽  
Sergio Rivera

This article presents the development, simulation and validation of the uncertainty cost functions for a commercial building with climate-dependent controllable loads, located in Florida, USA. For its development, statistical data on the energy consumption of the building in 2016 were used, along with the deployment of kernel density estimator to characterize its probabilistic behavior. For validation of the uncertainty cost functions, the Monte-Carlo simulation method was used to make comparisons between the analytical results and the results obtained by the method. The cost functions found differential errors of less than 1%, compared to the Monte-Carlo simulation method. With this, there is an analytical approach to the uncertainty costs of the building that can be used in the development of optimal energy dispatches, as well as a complementary method for the probabilistic characterization of the stochastic behavior of agents in the electricity sector.


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