Deep-Belief Network Based Prediction Model for Power Outage in Smart Grid

Author(s):  
Abderrazak Khediri ◽  
Mohamed Ridda Laouar
Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 1929
Author(s):  
Jianzhuo Yan ◽  
Ya Gao ◽  
Yongchuan Yu ◽  
Hongxia Xu ◽  
Zongbao Xu

Recently, the quality of fresh water resources is threatened by numerous pollutants. Prediction of water quality is an important tool for controlling and reducing water pollution. By employing superior big data processing ability of deep learning it is possible to improve the accuracy of prediction. This paper proposes a method for predicting water quality based on the deep belief network (DBN) model. First, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is used to optimize the network parameters of the deep belief network, which is to extract feature vectors of water quality time series data at multiple scales. Then, combined with the least squares support vector regression (LSSVR) machine which is taken as the top prediction layer of the model, a new water quality prediction model referred to as PSO-DBN-LSSVR is put forward. The developed model is valued in terms of the mean absolute error (MAE), the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), the root mean square error (RMSE), and the coefficient of determination ( R 2 ). Results illustrate that the model proposed in this paper can accurately predict water quality parameters and better robustness of water quality parameters compared with the traditional back propagation (BP) neural network, LSSVR, the DBN neural network, and the DBN-LSSVR combined model.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 508-518
Author(s):  
Abderrazak Khediri ◽  
Mohamed Ridda Laouar ◽  
Sean B. Eom

Background: Enhancing the resiliency of electric power grids is becoming a crucial issue due to the outages that have recently occurred. One solution could be the prediction of imminent failure that is engendered by line contingency or grid disturbances. Therefore, a number of researchers have initiated investigations to generate techniques for predicting outages. However, extended blackouts can still occur due to the frailty of distribution power grids. Objective: This paper implements a proactive prediction model based on deep-belief networks to predict the imminent outages using previous historical blackouts, trigger alarms, and suggest solutions for blackouts. These actions can prevent outages, stop cascading failures and diminish the resulting economic losses. Methods: The proposed model is divided into three phases: A, B and C. The first phase (A) represents the initial segment that collects and extracts data and trains the deep belief network using the collected data. Phase B defines the Power outage threshold and determines whether the grid is in a normal state. Phase C involves detecting potential unsafe events, triggering alarms and proposing emergency action plans for restoration. Results: Different machine learning and deep learning algorithms are used in our experiments to validate our proposition, such as Random forest, Bayesian nets and others. Deep belief Networks can achieve 97.30% accuracy and 97.06% precision. Conclusion: The obtained findings demonstrate that the proposed model would be convenient for blackouts’ prediction and that the deep-belief network represents a powerful deep learning tool that can offer plausible results.


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