scholarly journals Traffic Incident Clearance Time and Arrival Time Prediction Based on Hazard Models

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang beibei Ji ◽  
Rui Jiang ◽  
Ming Qu ◽  
Edward Chung
Keyword(s):  
Management System ◽  
Arrival Time ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Impact Factors ◽  
Incident Management ◽  
Clearance Time ◽  
Travel Time Prediction ◽  
Traffic Incident ◽  
Time Prediction ◽  
Arrival Time Prediction

Accurate prediction of incident duration is not only important information of Traffic Incident Management System, but also an effective input for travel time prediction. In this paper, the hazard based prediction models are developed for both incident clearance time and arrival time. The data are obtained from the Queensland Department of Transport and Main Roads’ STREAMS Incident Management System (SIMS) for one year ending in November 2010. The best fitting distributions are drawn for both clearance and arrival time for 3 types of incident: crash, stationary vehicle, and hazard. The results show that Gamma, Log-logistic, and Weibull are the best fit for crash, stationary vehicle, and hazard incident, respectively. The obvious impact factors are given for crash clearance time and arrival time. The quantitative influences for crash and hazard incident are presented for both clearance and arrival. The model accuracy is analyzed at the end.

Collection, Analysis, and Reporting of Kentucky Traffic Incident Management Performance

2021 ◽  
pp. 036119812110010
Author(s):  
Xu Zhang ◽  
Reginald R. Souleyrette ◽  
Eric Green ◽  
Teng Wang ◽  
Mei Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Motor Vehicle ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Incident Management ◽  
Vehicle Crashes ◽  
Clearance Time ◽  
Emergency Responders ◽  
Traffic Incident ◽  
Choropleth Maps ◽  
Traffic Incident Management ◽  
Secondary Crashes

Traffic incidents remain all too common. They negatively affect the safety of the traveling public and emergency responders and cause significant traffic delays. Congestion associated with incidents can instigate secondary crashes, exacerbating safety risks and economic costs. Traffic incident management (TIM) provides an effective approach for managing highway incidents and reducing their occurrence and impacts. The paper discusses the establishment and methods of calculation for five TIM performance measures that are used by the Kentucky Transportation Cabinet (KYTC) to improve incident response. The measures are: roadway clearance time, incident clearance time, secondary crashes, first responder vehicle crashes, and commercial motor vehicle crashes. Ongoing tracking and analysis of these metrics aid the KYTC in its efforts to comprehensively evaluate its TIM program and make continuous improvements. As part of this effort, a fully interactive TIM dashboard was developed using the Microsoft Power BI platform. Dashboard users can apply various spatial and temporal filters to identify trends at the state, district, county, and agency level. The dashboard also supports dynamic visualizations such as time-series plots and choropleth maps. With the TIM dashboard in place, KYTC personnel, as well as staff at other transportation agencies, can identify the strengths and weaknesses of their incident management strategies and revise practices accordingly.

scholarly journals Dynamic Bus Travel Time Prediction Models on Road with Multiple Bus Routes

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cong Bai ◽  
Zhong-Ren Peng ◽  
Qing-Chang Lu ◽  
Jian Sun
Keyword(s):  
Travel Time ◽  
Dynamic Model ◽  
Kalman Filtering ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Travel Times ◽  
Travel Time Prediction ◽  
Real World Data ◽  
Time Prediction ◽  
Bus Travel Time

Accurate and real-time travel time information for buses can help passengers better plan their trips and minimize waiting times. A dynamic travel time prediction model for buses addressing the cases on road with multiple bus routes is proposed in this paper, based on support vector machines (SVMs) and Kalman filtering-based algorithm. In the proposed model, the well-trained SVM model predicts the baseline bus travel times from the historical bus trip data; the Kalman filtering-based dynamic algorithm can adjust bus travel times with the latest bus operation information and the estimated baseline travel times. The performance of the proposed dynamic model is validated with the real-world data on road with multiple bus routes in Shenzhen, China. The results show that the proposed dynamic model is feasible and applicable for bus travel time prediction and has the best prediction performance among all the five models proposed in the study in terms of prediction accuracy on road with multiple bus routes.

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