scholarly journals Random Parameter Negative Binomial Model of Signalized Intersections

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minho Park ◽  
Dongmin Lee ◽  
Jinwoo Jeon

Factors affecting accident frequencies at 72 signalized intersections in the Gyeonggi-Do (province) over a four-year period (2007~2010) were explored using the random parameters negative binomial model. The empirical results from the comparison with fixed parameters binomial model show that the random parameters model outperforms its fixed parameters counterpart and provides a fuller understanding of the factors which determine accident frequencies at signalized intersections. In addition, elasticity and marginal effect were estimated to gain more insight into the effects of one-percent and one-unit changes in the dependent variable from changes in the independent variables.

2020 ◽  
Vol Volume 11 ◽  
pp. 525-534
Author(s):  
Bisrat Misganew Geremew ◽  
Kassahun Alemu Gelaye ◽  
Alemakef Wagnew Melesse ◽  
Temesgen Yihunie Akalu ◽  
Adhanom Gebreegziabher Baraki

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Minho Park ◽  
Dongmin Lee

This study explored factors affecting traffic accidents in roadway segments with and without lighting systems using a random parameter negative binomial model. This study sought to make up for a shortcoming of the fixed parameter model that constrained the estimated parameters to be fixed across observations, by applying random parameters that can take into account unobserved heterogeneity. Three variables had a random parameter among nine significant variables in segments with lighting systems, while seven of the eleven significant variables in a segment without a lighting system had random parameters. The different influence of interstate highway geometrics on vehicle crashes with and without lighting systems found through this study considering unobserved heterogeneity may hopefully help reduce accident frequencies and consider installation of lighting systems on interstate highways in the future.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Xin Xu ◽  
Dongxiao Chu

Getting medical services has become more difficult and expensive in China, which led to a problem of illness not being treated and a large number of zeros in the statistics of being hospitalized for the elderly. Traditional classic models such as the Poisson model and the negative binomial model cannot fit this kind of data well. One aim of this study was to use zero-inflated and hurdle models to better solve the problem of excess zeros. Another aim was to discover the factors affecting the decision-making behavior of the elderly being hospitalized and hospitalization service utilization. Therefore, the XGBoost model was firstly introduced to rank the importance of influencing factors in this paper. It was found that the zero-inflated negative binomial model performed best. The results showed that the elderly who had enjoyed NRCM or ERBMI/URBMI were more likely to have a higher number of hospitalizations. This indicated that the high cost of hospitalization had prevented the willingness of the elderly being hospitalized, but the basic medical insurance had increased the times of their repeated hospital readmissions. Policy efforts should be made to improve the level of basic medical insurance.


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