scholarly journals Evidence-Based Cutoff Threshold Values from Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Analysis for Knee Osteoarthritis in the 50-Year-Old Korean Population: Analysis of Big Data from the National Health Insurance Sharing Service

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyunseok Jee ◽  
Hae-Dong Lee ◽  
Sae Yong Lee

We aimed to investigate the characteristics of patients with osteoarthritis (OA), using the data of all Koreans registered in the National Health Insurance Sharing Service Database (NHISS DB), and to provide ideal alternative cutoff thresholds for alleviating OA symptoms. Patients with OA (codes M17 and M17.1–M17.9 in the Korean Standard Classification of Disease and Causes of Death) were analyzed using SAS software. Optimal cutoff thresholds were determined using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The 50-year age group was the most OA pathogenic group (among 40~70 years, n=2088). All exercise types affected the change of body mass index (p<0.05) and the sex difference in blood pressure (BP) (p<0.01). All types of exercise positively affected the loss of waist circumference and the balance test (standing time on one leg in seconds) (p<0.01). The cutoff threshold for the time in seconds from standing up from a chair to walking 3 m and returning to the same chair was 8.25 (80% sensitivity and 100% specificity). By using the exercise modalities, categorized multiple variables, and the cutoff threshold, an optimal alternative exercise program can be designed for alleviating OA symptoms in the 50-year age group.

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Eun Joo Yang ◽  
Hyunseok Jee

This study investigated the characteristics of gynaecological cancers and is aimed at identifying significant risk variables using the National Health Insurance Sharing Service database to develop practical interventions for affected patients. Data regarding patients with uterine and ovarian cancer from the National Health Insurance Sharing Service database were collected and analysed using Student’s t -test, logistic regression, and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses. Student’s t -test analyses revealed that age, body mass index, blood pressure, and waist variables differed significantly among patients with uterine cancer. Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase levels were higher in patients with ovarian cancer than in patients with uterine cancer. Physical fitness function tests reflected the status of patients with cancer. Moreover, physical disability was associated with an increased incidence of ovarian cancer. Intensive exercise for 20 min more than 1 time per week must be avoided to prevent uterine cancer. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses showed that the optimal cutoff value for one-leg standing time, a prognostic and preventive factor in ovarian cancer, was 9.50 s (sensitivity, 94.9%; specificity, 96.9%). Controlling significant variables for each gynaecological cancer type in an individualised and optimised manner is recommended, including by maintenance of an adjusted exercise-centred lifestyle.


2019 ◽  
Vol 30 (7-8) ◽  
pp. 221-228
Author(s):  
Shahab Hajibandeh ◽  
Shahin Hajibandeh ◽  
Nicholas Hobbs ◽  
Jigar Shah ◽  
Matthew Harris ◽  
...  

Aims To investigate whether an intraperitoneal contamination index (ICI) derived from combined preoperative levels of C-reactive protein, lactate, neutrophils, lymphocytes and albumin could predict the extent of intraperitoneal contamination in patients with acute abdominal pathology. Methods Patients aged over 18 who underwent emergency laparotomy for acute abdominal pathology between January 2014 and October 2018 were randomly divided into primary and validation cohorts. The proposed intraperitoneal contamination index was calculated for each patient in each cohort. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to determine discrimination of the index and cut-off values of preoperative intraperitoneal contamination index that could predict the extent of intraperitoneal contamination. Results Overall, 468 patients were included in this study; 234 in the primary cohort and 234 in the validation cohort. The analyses identified intraperitoneal contamination index of 24.77 and 24.32 as cut-off values for purulent contamination in the primary cohort (area under the curve (AUC): 0.73, P < 0.0001; sensitivity: 84%, specificity: 60%) and validation cohort (AUC: 0.83, P < 0.0001; sensitivity: 91%, specificity: 69%), respectively. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis also identified intraperitoneal contamination index of 33.70 and 33.41 as cut-off values for feculent contamination in the primary cohort (AUC: 0.78, P < 0.0001; sensitivity: 87%, specificity: 64%) and validation cohort (AUC: 0.79, P < 0.0001; sensitivity: 86%, specificity: 73%), respectively. Conclusions As a predictive measure which is derived purely from biomarkers, intraperitoneal contamination index may be accurate enough to predict the extent of intraperitoneal contamination in patients with acute abdominal pathology and to facilitate decision-making together with clinical and radiological findings.


2020 ◽  
pp. 263208432097225
Author(s):  
Ruwanthi Kolamunnage-Dona ◽  
Adina Najwa Kamarudin

The performance of a biomarker is defined by how well the biomarker is capable to distinguish between healthy and diseased individuals. This assessment is usually based on the baseline value of the biomarker; the value at the earliest time point of the patient follow-up, and quantified by ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve analysis. However, the observed baseline value is often subjected to measurement error due to imperfect laboratory conditions and limited machine precision. Failing to adjust for measurement error may underestimate the true performance of the biomarker, and in a direct comparison, useful biomarkers could be overlooked. We develop a novel approach to account for measurement error when calculating the performance of the baseline biomarker value for future survival outcomes. We adopt a joint longitudinal and survival data modelling formulation and use the available longitudinally repeated values of the biomarker to make adjustment of the measurement error in time-dependent ROC curve analysis. Our simulation study shows that the proposed measurement error-adjusted estimator is more efficient for evaluating the performance of the biomarker than estimators ignoring the measurement error. The proposed method is illustrated using Mayo Clinic primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) study.


2005 ◽  
Vol 95 (6) ◽  
pp. 679-691 ◽  
Author(s):  
William W. Turechek ◽  
Wayne F. Wilcox

Apple scab (Venturia inaequalis) is a perennial threat to apple production in temperate climates throughout the world. In the eastern United States, apple scab is managed almost exclusively through the regular application of fungicides. Management of the primary phase of disease is focused on preventing infection by ascospores. Management of secondary cycles of infection is largely dependent on how well primary infections were controlled. In this study, we used receiver operating characteristic curve analysis to evaluate how well mid-season assessments of the incidence of apple scab on cluster leaves, clusters (i.e., the whorl of cluster leaves), or immature fruit can serve as predictors of apple scab on harvested fruit (harvest scab) and whether these mid-season assessments of scab could be used reliably to manage scab under various damage thresholds. Results showed that assessment of scab on immature fruit was superior at predicting harvest scab than were assessments made on clusters or cluster leaves at all damage thresholds evaluated. A management action threshold of 7% scab incidence on immature fruit was identified by Youden's index as the optimal action threshold to prevent harvest scab incidence from exceeding 5%. Action thresholds could be higher or lower than 7% when economic assumptions were factored in to the decision process. The utility of such a predictor is discussed.


1995 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 488-493 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raymond W. Sweeney ◽  
Robert H. Whitlock ◽  
Carol L. Buckley ◽  
Pam A. Spencer

The performance of a commercially available ELISA for detection of antibodies to Mycobacterium paratuberculosis was evaluated using sera from 1,146 cows. Samples were from uninfected cattle, infected subclinical cattle shedding low numbers of organism in feces, subclinical heavy shedders, clinical cases, and randomly selected cattle in a slaughterhouse survey for paratuberculosis. The overall sensitivity of the test, using the manufacturer's recommended cutoff was 45% ± 4.8%, and the specificity was 99% ± 0.9%. The ELISA result was significantly correlated with the number of colonies of M. paratuberculosis detected by fecal culturing. The sensitivity of the test was highest for clinical cases of paratuberculosis (87% ± 8.4%), and lowest for subclinical, light-shedding cattle (15% ± 6.6%). Changing the cutoff point did not improve performance of the test. Evaluating ELISA results with a kinetics-based method reduced plate-to-plate variation in results but did not improve performance of the test based on receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis.


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