scholarly journals Forecasting Short-Term Traffic Flow by Fuzzy Wavelet Neural Network with Parameters Optimized by Biogeography-Based Optimization Algorithm

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeng-Fung Chen ◽  
Shih-Kuei Lo ◽  
Quang Hung Do
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Wavelet Neural Network ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Fuzzy Wavelet Neural Network

Forecasting short-term traffic flow is a key task of intelligent transportation systems, which can influence the traveler behaviors and reduce traffic congestion, fuel consumption, and accident risks. This paper proposes a fuzzy wavelet neural network (FWNN) trained by improved biogeography-based optimization (BBO) algorithm for forecasting short-term traffic flow using past traffic data. The original BBO is enhanced by the ring topology and Powell’s method to advance the exploration capability and increase the convergence speed. Our presented approach combines the strengths of fuzzy logic, wavelet transform, neural network, and the heuristic algorithm to detect the trends and patterns of transportation data and thus has been successfully applied to transport forecasting. Other different forecasting methods, including ANN-based model, FWNN-based model, and WNN-based model, are also developed to validate the proposed approach. In order to make the comparisons across different methods, the performance evaluation is based on root-mean-squared error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and correlation coefficient (R). The performance indexes show that the FWNN model achieves lower RMSE and MAPE, as well as higherR, indicating that the FWNN model is a better predictor.

scholarly journals Deep Autoencoder Neural Networks for Short-Term Traffic Congestion Prediction of Transportation Networks

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (10) ◽  
pp. 2229 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sen Zhang ◽  
Yong Yao ◽  
Jie Hu ◽  
Yong Zhao ◽  
Shaobo Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Transportation Networks ◽  
Transportation Network ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Computation Efficiency ◽  
Congestion Prediction

Traffic congestion prediction is critical for implementing intelligent transportation systems for improving the efficiency and capacity of transportation networks. However, despite its importance, traffic congestion prediction is severely less investigated compared to traffic flow prediction, which is partially due to the severe lack of large-scale high-quality traffic congestion data and advanced algorithms. This paper proposes an accessible and general workflow to acquire large-scale traffic congestion data and to create traffic congestion datasets based on image analysis. With this workflow we create a dataset named Seattle Area Traffic Congestion Status (SATCS) based on traffic congestion map snapshots from a publicly available online traffic service provider Washington State Department of Transportation. We then propose a deep autoencoder-based neural network model with symmetrical layers for the encoder and the decoder to learn temporal correlations of a transportation network and predicting traffic congestion. Our experimental results on the SATCS dataset show that the proposed DCPN model can efficiently and effectively learn temporal relationships of congestion levels of the transportation network for traffic congestion forecasting. Our method outperforms two other state-of-the-art neural network models in prediction performance, generalization capability, and computation efficiency.

SHORT TERM TRAFFIC FLOW PREDICTION IN HETEROGENEOUS CONDITION USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK

Transport ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 30 (4) ◽  
pp. 397-405 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kranti Kumar ◽  
Manoranjan Parida ◽  
Vinod Kumar Katiyar
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Traffic Volume ◽  
Flow Data ◽  
Highway Traffic ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables

Traffic congestion is one of the main problems related to transportation in developed as well as developing countries. Traffic control systems are based on the idea to avoid traffic instabilities and to homogenize traffic flow in such a way that risk of accidents is minimized and traffic flow is maximized. There is a need to predict traffic flow data for advanced traffic management and traffic information systems, which aim to influence traveller behaviour, reducing traffic congestion and improving mobility. This study applies Artificial Neural Network for short term prediction of traffic volume using past traffic data. Besides traffic volume, speed and density, the model incorporates both time and the day of the week as input variables. Model has been validated using actual rural highway traffic flow data collected through field studies. Artificial Neural Network has produced good results in this study even though speeds of each category of vehicles were considered separately as input variables.

scholarly journals Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction of Highway Network Based on Network-Constrained Lasso and NN

2018 ◽  
Vol 160 ◽  
pp. 07003
Author(s):  
Cong Wu ◽  
Zhaozheng Chen ◽  
Xiaofei Li
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Time Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction ◽  
Highway Network

Accurate and timely traffic flow prediction is important for the successful deployment of intelligent transportation systems. Most of existing methods have not made good use of information from adjacent sections to analyse the trends of the object section. A new method for traffic flow prediction of highway network, namely network-constrained Lasso (Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) and Neural Networks, was proposed. Unlike existing methods, our approach incorporated all the spatial and temporal information available in a highway network to carry our short-term traffic flow prediction for the objective section. To capture the spatial correlation of traffic network, the Laplacian matrix was introduced to describe the highway network structure. Subsequently, a network-constrained Lasso method was applied for sparse variable selection. With the extracted historic and real-time data, the back propagation neural networks were implemented to predict traffic flow at different time intervals in future. The experimental results verified that the proposed method could achieve above 90% average accuracy in the 30-minutes speed predictions for 78 road sections.

scholarly journals Building the Traffic Flow Network with Taxi GPS Trajectories and Its Application to Identify Urban Congestion Areas for Traffic Planning

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 266
Author(s):  
Jiayu Qin ◽  
Gang Mei ◽  
Lei Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Intelligent Transportation ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Urban Traffic ◽  
Traffic Planning ◽  
Flow Network ◽  
Gps Trajectories ◽  
Congestion Problems

Traffic congestion is becoming a critical problem in urban traffic planning. Intelligent transportation systems can help expand the capacity of urban roads to alleviate traffic congestion. As a key concept in intelligent transportation systems, urban traffic networks, especially dynamic traffic networks, can serve as potential solutions for traffic congestion, based on the complex network theory. In this paper, we build a traffic flow network model to investigate traffic congestion problems through taxi GPS trajectories. Moreover, to verify the effectiveness of the traffic flow network, an actual case of identifying the congestion areas is considered. The results indicate that the traffic flow network is reliable. Finally, several key problems related to traffic flow networks are discussed. The proposed traffic flow network can provide a methodological reference for traffic planning, especially to solve traffic congestion problems.

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