scholarly journals A Combined Deep Learning Method with Attention-Based LSTM Model for Short-Term Traffic Speed Forecasting

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pan Wu ◽  
Zilin Huang ◽  
Yuzhuang Pian ◽  
Lunhui Xu ◽  
Jinlong Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Data Preprocessing ◽  
Prediction Performance ◽  
Attention Mechanism ◽  
Learning Method ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Prediction Module ◽  
Speed Prediction ◽  
Traffic Speed

Short-term traffic speed prediction is a promising research topic in intelligent transportation systems (ITSs), which also plays an important role in the real-time decision-making of traffic control and guidance systems. However, the urban traffic speed has strong temporal, spatial correlation and the characteristic of complex nonlinearity and randomness, which makes it challenging to accurately and efficiently forecast short-term traffic speeds. We investigate the relevant literature and found that although most methods can achieve good prediction performance with the complete sample data, when there is a certain missing rate in the database, it is difficult to maintain accuracy with these methods. Recent studies have shown that deep learning methods, especially long short-term memory (LSTM) models, have good results in short-term traffic flow prediction. Furthermore, the attention mechanism can properly assign weights to distinguish the importance of traffic time sequences, thereby further improving the computational efficiency of the prediction model. Therefore, we propose a framework for short-term traffic speed prediction, including data preprocessing module and short-term traffic prediction module. In the data preprocessing module, the missing traffic data are repaired to provide a complete dataset for subsequent prediction. In the prediction module, a combined deep learning method that is an attention-based LSTM (ATT-LSTM) model for predicting short-term traffic speed on urban roads is proposed. The proposed framework was applied to the urban road network in Nanshan District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, China, with a 30-day traffic speed dataset (floating car data) used as the experimental sample. Results show that the proposed method outperforms other deep learning algorithms (such as recurrent neural network (RNN) and convolutional neural network (CNN)) in terms of both calculating efficiency and prediction accuracy. The attention mechanism can significantly reduce the error of the LSTM model (up to 12.4%) and improves the prediction performance.

Rainfall-integrated traffic speed prediction using deep learning method

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 531-536 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuhan Jia ◽  
Jianping Wu ◽  
Moshe Ben-Akiva ◽  
Ravi Seshadri ◽  
Yiman Du
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Learning Method ◽  
Speed Prediction ◽  
Traffic Speed

scholarly journals Short-Term Speed Prediction Using Remote Microwave Sensor Data: Machine Learning versus Statistical Model

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Han Jiang ◽  
Yajie Zou ◽  
Shen Zhang ◽  
Jinjun Tang ◽  
Yinhai Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Statistical Models ◽  
Prediction Performance ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Beijing City ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Time Step ◽  
Speed Prediction

Recently, a number of short-term speed prediction approaches have been developed, in which most algorithms are based on machine learning and statistical theory. This paper examined the multistep ahead prediction performance of eight different models using the 2-minute travel speed data collected from three Remote Traffic Microwave Sensors located on a southbound segment of 4th ring road in Beijing City. Specifically, we consider five machine learning methods: Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN), nonlinear autoregressive model with exogenous inputs neural network (NARXNN), support vector machine with radial basis function as kernel function (SVM-RBF), Support Vector Machine with Linear Function (SVM-LIN), and Multilinear Regression (MLR) as candidate. Three statistical models are also selected: Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Vector Autoregression (VAR), and Space-Time (ST) model. From the prediction results, we find the following meaningful results: (1) the prediction accuracy of speed deteriorates as the prediction time steps increase for all models; (2) the BPNN, NARXNN, and SVM-RBF can clearly outperform two traditional statistical models: ARIMA and VAR; (3) the prediction performance of ANN is superior to that of SVM and MLR; (4) as time step increases, the ST model can consistently provide the lowest MAE comparing with ARIMA and VAR.

scholarly journals Deep Learning Enhanced Solar Energy Forecasting with AI-Driven IoT

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Hangxia Zhou ◽  
Qian Liu ◽  
Ke Yan ◽  
Yang Du
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Energy Generation ◽  
Attention Mechanism ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Short-term photovoltaic (PV) energy generation forecasting models are important, stabilizing the power integration between the PV and the smart grid for artificial intelligence- (AI-) driven internet of things (IoT) modeling of smart cities. With the recent development of AI and IoT technologies, it is possible for deep learning techniques to achieve more accurate energy generation forecasting results for the PV systems. Difficulties exist for the traditional PV energy generation forecasting method considering external feature variables, such as the seasonality. In this study, we propose a hybrid deep learning method that combines the clustering techniques, convolutional neural network (CNN), long short-term memory (LSTM), and attention mechanism with the wireless sensor network to overcome the existing difficulties of the PV energy generation forecasting problem. The overall proposed method is divided into three stages, namely, clustering, training, and forecasting. In the clustering stage, correlation analysis and self-organizing mapping are employed to select the highest relevant factors in historical data. In the training stage, a convolutional neural network, long short-term memory neural network, and attention mechanism are combined to construct a hybrid deep learning model to perform the forecasting task. In the testing stage, the most appropriate training model is selected based on the month of the testing data. The experimental results showed significantly higher prediction accuracy rates for all time intervals compared to existing methods, including traditional artificial neural networks, long short-term memory neural networks, and an algorithm combining long short-term memory neural network and attention mechanism.

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