scholarly journals A Prediction Method for the RUL of Equipment for Missing Data

Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Chen Wenbai ◽  
Liu Chang ◽  
Chen Weizhao ◽  
Liu Huixiang ◽  
Chen Qili ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Missing Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Score Function ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Binary Matrix ◽  
Sample Distribution ◽  
Engineering Environment ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

We present a prediction framework to estimate the remaining useful life (RUL) of equipment based on the generative adversarial imputation net (GAIN) and multiscale deep convolutional neural network and long short-term memory (MSDCNN-LSTM). The method we proposed addresses the problem of missing data caused by sensor failures in engineering applications. First, a binary matrix is used to adjust the proportion of “0” to simulate the number of missing data in the engineering environment. Then, the GAIN model is used to impute the missing data and approximate the true sample distribution. Finally, the MSDCNN-LSTM model is used for RUL prediction. Experiments are carried out on the commercial modular aero-propulsion system simulation (C-MAPSS) dataset to validate the proposed method. The prediction results show that the proposed method outperforms other methods when packet loss occurs, showing significant improvements in the root mean square error (RMSE) and the score function value.

scholarly journals Long Short-Term Memory Approach to Estimate Battery Remaining Useful Life Using Partial Data

IEEE Access ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. 165419-165431
Author(s):  
Benvolence Chinomona ◽  
Chunhui Chung ◽  
Lien-Kai Chang ◽  
Wei-Chih Su ◽  
Mi-Ching Tsai
Keyword(s):  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Partial Data ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Short-term prediction of remaining life for lithium-ion battery based on adaptive hybrid model with Long Short-Term Memory neural network and optimized particle filter

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-36
Author(s):  
Ning He ◽  
Cheng Qian ◽  
Lile He
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Life Prediction ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Lithium Ion ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Abstract As an important energy storage device, lithium-ion batteries have vast applications in daily production and life. Therefore, the remaining useful life prediction of such batteries is of great significance, which can maintain the efficacy and reliability of the system powered by lithium-ion batteries. For predicting remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries accurately, an adaptive hybrid battery model and an improved particle filter are developed. Firstly, the adaptive hybrid model is constructed, which is a combination of empirical model and long-short term memory neural network model such that it could characterize battery capacity degradation trend more effectively. In addition, the adaptive adjustment of the parameters for hybrid model is realized via optimization technique. Then, the beetle antennae search based particle filter is applied to update the battery states offline constructed by the proposed adaptive hybrid model, which can improve the estimation accuracy. Finally, remaining useful life short-term prediction is realized online based on long short-term memory neural network rolling prediction combined historical capacity with online measurements and latest offline states and model parameters. The battery data set published by NASA is used to verify the effectiveness of proposed strategy. The experimental results indicate that the proposed adaptive hybrid model can well represent the battery degradation characteristics, and have a higher accuracy compared with other models. The short-term remaining useful life prediction results have good performance with the errors of 1 cycle, 3 cycles, and 1 cycle, above results indicate proposed scheme has a good performance on short-term remaining useful life prediction.

Prognostics and RUL Estimations of SAC305, SAC105 and SnAg Solders Under Temperature and Vibration Using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Deep Learning

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pradeep Lall ◽  
Tony Thomas ◽  
Ken Blecker
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Rectangular Pattern ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Abstract Prognostics and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimations of complex systems are essential to operational safety, increased efficiency, and help to schedule maintenance proactively. Modeling the remaining useful life of a system with many complexities is possible with the rapid development in the field of deep learning as a computational technique for failure prediction. Deep learning can adapt to multivariate parameters complex and nonlinear behavior, which is difficult using traditional time-series models for forecasting and prediction purposes. In this paper, a deep learning approach based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network is used to predict the remaining useful life of the PCB at different conditions of temperature and vibration. This technique can identify the different underlying patterns in the time series that can predict the RUL. This study involves feature vector identification and RUL estimations for SAC305, SAC105, and Tin Lead solder PCBs under different vibration levels and temperature conditions. The acceleration levels of vibration are fixed at 5g and 10g, while the temperature levels are 55°C and 100°C. The test board is a multilayer FR4 configuration with JEDEC standard dimensions consists of twelve packages arranged in a rectangular pattern. Strain signals are acquired from the backside of the PCB at symmetric locations to identify the failure of all the packages during vibration. The strain signals are resistance values that are acquired simultaneously during the experiment until the failure of most of the packages on the board. The feature vectors are identified from statistical analysis on the strain signals frequency and instantaneous frequency components. The principal component analysis is used as a data reduction technique to identify the different patterns produced from the four strain signals with failures of the packages during vibration. LSTM deep learning method is used to model the RUL of the packages at different individual operating conditions of vibration for all three solder materials involved in this study. A combined model for RUL prediction for a material that can take care of the changes in the operating conditions is also modeled for each material.

scholarly journals Predicting remaining useful life of rolling bearings based on deep feature representation and long short-term memory neural network

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 168781401881718 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wentao Mao ◽  
Jianliang He ◽  
Jiamei Tang ◽  
Yuan Li
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Life Prediction ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Degradation Process ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Feature Representation ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

For bearing remaining useful life prediction problem, the traditional machine-learning-based methods are generally short of feature representation ability and incapable of adaptive feature extraction. Although deep-learning-based remaining useful life prediction methods proposed in recent years can effectively extract discriminative features for bearing fault, these methods tend to less consider temporal information of fault degradation process. To solve this problem, a new remaining useful life prediction approach based on deep feature representation and long short-term memory neural network is proposed in this article. First, a new criterion, named support vector data normalized correlation coefficient, is proposed to automatically divide the whole bearing life as normal state and fast degradation state. Second, deep features of bearing fault with good representation ability can be obtained from convolutional neural network by means of the marginal spectrum in Hilbert–Huang transform of raw vibration signals and health state label. Finally, by considering the temporal information of degradation process, these features are fed into a long short-term memory neural network to construct a remaining useful life prediction model. Experiments are conducted on bearing data sets of IEEE PHM Challenge 2012. The results show the significance of performance improvement of the proposed method in terms of predictive accuracy and numerical stability.

scholarly journals Stacked Ensemble of Recurrent Neural Networks for Predicting Turbocharger Remaining Useful Life

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peyman Sheikholharam Mashhadi ◽  
Sławomir Nowaczyk ◽  
Sepideh Pashami
Keyword(s):  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Diagnostic Models ◽  
History Of ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Low Performance ◽  
Limited Sensing

Predictive Maintenance (PM) is a proactive maintenance strategy that tries to minimize a system’s downtime by predicting failures before they happen. It uses data from sensors to measure the component’s state of health and make forecasts about its future degradation. However, existing PM methods typically focus on individual measurements. While it is natural to assume that a history of measurements carries more information than a single one. This paper aims at incorporating such information into PM models. In practice, especially in the automotive domain, diagnostic models have low performance, due to a large amount of noise in the data and limited sensing capability. To address this issue, this paper proposes to use a specific type of ensemble learning known as Stacked Ensemble. The idea is to aggregate predictions of multiple models—consisting of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Convolutional-LSTM—via a meta model, in order to boost performance. Stacked Ensemble model performs well when its base models are as diverse as possible. To this end, each such model is trained using a specific combination of the following three aspects: feature subsets, past dependency horizon, and model architectures. Experimental results demonstrate benefits of the proposed approach on a case study of heavy-duty truck turbochargers.

scholarly journals Developing Deep Survival Model for Remaining Useful Life Estimation Based on Convolutional and Long Short-Term Memory Neural Networks

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Chia-Hua Chu ◽  
Chia-Jung Lee ◽  
Hsiang-Yuan Yeh
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Survival Model ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Prediction Approach

The application of mechanical equipment in manufacturing is becoming more and more complicated with technology development and adoption. In order to keep the high reliability and stability of the production line, reducing the downtime to repair and the frequency of routine maintenance is necessary. Since machine and components’ degradations are inevitable, accurately estimating the remaining useful life of them is crucial. We propose an integrated deep learning approach with convolutional neural networks and long short-term memory networks to learn the latent features and estimate remaining useful life value with deep survival model based on the discrete Weibull distribution. We conduct the turbofan engine degradation simulation dataset from Commercial Modular Aero-Propulsion System Simulation dataset provided by NASA to validate our approach. The improved results have proven that our proposed model can capture the degradation trend of a fault and has superior performance under complex conditions compared with existing state-of-the-art methods. Our study provides an efficient feature extraction scheme and offers a promising prediction approach to make better maintenance strategies.

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