scholarly journals Development and Validation of Prediction Model for High Ovarian Response in In Vitro Fertilization-Embryo Transfer: A Longitudinal Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Xinsha Tan ◽  
Honglin Xi ◽  
Jing Yang ◽  
Wenfeng Wang

Objective. To develop and validate a prediction model for high ovarian response in in vitro fertilization-embryo transfer (IVF-ET) cycles. Methods. Totally, 480 eligible outpatients with infertility who underwent IVF-ET were selected and randomly divided into the training set for developing the prediction model and the testing set for validating the model. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were carried out to explore the predictive factors of high ovarian response, and then, the prediction model was constructed. Nomogram was plotted for visualizing the model. Area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curve were used to evaluate the performance of the prediction model. Results. Antral follicle count (AFC), anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) at menstrual cycle day 3 (MC3), and progesterone (P) level on human chorionic gonadotropin (HCG) day were identified as the independent predictors of high ovarian response. The value of area under the curve (AUC) for our multivariate model reached 0.958 (95% CI: 0.936-0.981) with the sensitivity of 0.916 (95% CI: 0.863-0.953) and the specificity of 0.911 (95% CI: 0.858-0.949), suggesting the good discrimination of the prediction model. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test and the calibration curve both suggested model’s good calibration. Conclusion. The developed prediction model had good discrimination and accuracy via internal validation, which could help clinicians efficiently identify patients with high ovarian response, thereby improving the pregnancy rates and clinical outcomes in IVF-ET cycles. However, the conclusion needs to be confirmed by more related studies.

1990 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 351 ◽  
Author(s):  
YF Wong ◽  
EP Loong ◽  
KR Mao ◽  
PP Tam ◽  
NS Panesar ◽  
...  

Salivary oestradiol (E2) and progesterone (P) levels have been shown to reflect the biologically active fractions in the serum. The luteal-phase status of stimulated cycles was investigated after in vitro fertilization and embryo transfer (IVF-ET). Thirty patients were randomly allocated to one of three luteal therapy groups: group A had no support, group B had intramuscular P and group C had intramuscular P and human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG). One pregnancy was achieved in group A, two in group B and three in group C. Significant correlations between salivary and serum levels of E2 and of P in matched samples during luteal phase were found. Salivary E2 levels from luteal day 8 through day 14 and P levels from day 3 through day 14 were significantly higher in the pregnant than in the nonpregnant cycles. Among the nonpregnant cycles, salivary E2 and P levels were significantly higher in group C than in group A or B. These findings suggest that, in stimulated cycles for IVF-ET, determination of salivary E2 and P levels may be used as reliable alternatives to serum concentrations for assessing the luteal phase. Also, the additional hCG has an enhanced luteotrophic effect, as reflected by the higher salivary E2 and P levels, which may lead to a better pregnancy rate.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weihai Xu ◽  
Lin Zhang ◽  
Ling Zhang ◽  
Shishi Li ◽  
Jing Shu

Abstract Background: In this study, we compared the in vitro embryo development, embryo transfer outcome and the offspring outcome in the in vitro fertilization-embryo transfer (IVF-ET) between dry culture (DC) and humid culture (HC). Methods: Our study was divided into two parts. Firstly, we determined the fertilization rate, cleavage rate and high-quality embryo rate from 21 cycles in the DC group (N=262 oocytes) and HC group (N=263 oocytes). Secondly, we determined the embryo transfer outcome and the offspring outcome in DC group (N=184 cycles) and HC group (N=136 cycles). Results: Compared with the HC group, significant increase was observed in the high-quality embryo rate (66.1.2% vs. 55.3%, p=0.037) and implantation rate (49.8% vs. 40.6%, p=0.027) in the DC group. No statistical differences were observed in the pregnant outcome and birth defect of the offspring (p>0.05). Compared with HC, DC was associated with a higher high-quality embryo rate and a higher implantation rate after embryo transfer. Conclusions: No statistical differences were noticed in the offspring conditions between the two culture modes. Taken together, DC may serve as a promising method for IVF-ET.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chun-Xiao Wei ◽  
liang zhang ◽  
Cong-Hui Pang ◽  
Ying-Hua qi ◽  
Jian-Wei Zhang

Abstract BackgroundThe outcome of in vitro fertilization-embryo transfer is often determined according to follicles and estradiol levels following gonadotropin stimulation. However, there is no accurate indicator to predict pregnancy outcome, and it has not been determined how to choose subsequent drugs and dosage based on the ovarian response. This study aimed to make timely adjustments to follow-up medication to improve clinical outcomes based on the potential value of estradiol growth rate. MethodsSerum estradiol levels were measured on the day of gonadotrophin treatment (Gn0), four days later (Gn4), seven days later (Gn7), and on the trigger day (HCG). The ratio was used to determine the increase in estradiol levels. According to the ratio of estradiol increase, the patients were divided into four groups: group A1 (Gn4/Gn0≤6.44), group A2 (6.44˂Gn4/Gn0≤10.62), group A3 (10.62˂Gn4/Gn0 ≤21.33), and group A4 (Gn4/Gn0>21.33); group B1 (Gn7/Gn4≤2.39), group B2 (2.39˂Gn7/Gn4≤3.03), group B3 (3.03˂Gn7/Gn4≤3.84), and group B4 (Gn7/Gn4>3.84). We analyzed and compared the relationship between data in each group and pregnancy outcome. ResultsIn the statistical analysis, the estradiol levels of Gn4 (P = 0.029, P = 0.042), Gn7 (P< 0.001, P = 0.001), and HCG (P< 0.001, P = 0.002), as well as the ratios of Gn4/Gn0 (P = 0.004, P = 0.006), Gn7/Gn4 (P = 0.001, P = 0.002), and HCG/Gn0 (P< 0.001, P< 0.001) both had clinical guiding significance, and the lower one significantly reduced the pregnancy rate. The outcomes were positively linked to groups A (P = 0.040, P = 0.041) and B (P = 0.015, P = 0.017). The logistical regression analysis revealed that group A1 (OR = 0.440 [0.223–0.865]; P = 0.017, OR = 0.368 [0.169–0.804]; P = 0.012) and B1 (OR = 0.261 [0.126–0.541]; P< 0.001, OR = 0.299 [0.142–0.629]; P = 0.001) had opposite influence on outcomes. ConclusionMaintaining a serum estradiol increase ratio at least above 2.39 on Gn7/Gn4 may result in a higher pregnancy rate. When estradiol growth is not ideal, gonadotrophin dosage should be adjusted appropriately to ensure the desired outcome.


2007 ◽  
Vol 88 ◽  
pp. S280
Author(s):  
S.J. Ahn ◽  
S.H. Kim ◽  
J.R. Lee ◽  
C.S. Suh ◽  
Y.M. Choi ◽  
...  

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