scholarly journals Pacific Decadal Oscillation: Tropical Pacific Forcing versus Internal Variability

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (20) ◽  
pp. 8265-8279 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Shang-Ping Xie ◽  
Yu Kosaka ◽  
Jun-Chao Yang
Keyword(s):  
Energy Conversion ◽  
Pacific Decadal Oscillation ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Internal Variability ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Barotropic Energy Conversion ◽  
The North Pacific ◽  
Sst Anomalies

The Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) is the leading mode of sea surface temperature (SST) variability over the North Pacific (north of 20°N). Its South Pacific counterpart (south of 20°S) is the South Pacific decadal oscillation (SPDO). The effects of tropical eastern Pacific (TEP) SST forcing and internal atmospheric variability are investigated for both the PDO and SPDO using a 10-member ensemble tropical Pacific pacemaker experiment. Each member is forced by the historical radiative forcing and observed SST anomalies in the TEP region. Outside the TEP region, the ocean and atmosphere are fully coupled and freely evolve. The TEP-forced PDO (54% variance) and SPDO (46% variance) are correlated in time and exhibit a symmetric structure about the equator, driven by the Pacific–North American (PNA) and Pacific–South American teleconnections, respectively. The internal PDO resembles the TEP-forced component but is related to internal Aleutian low (AL) variability associated with the Northern Hemisphere annular mode and PNA pattern. The internal variability is locally enhanced by barotropic energy conversion in the westerly jet exit region around the Aleutians. By contrast, barotropic energy conversion is weak associated with the internal SPDO, resulting in weak geographical preference of sea level pressure variability. Therefore, the internal SPDO differs from the TEP-forced component, featuring SST anomalies along ~60°S in association with the Southern Hemisphere annular mode. The limitations on isolating the internal component from observations are discussed. Specifically, internal PDO variability appears to contribute significantly to the North Pacific regime shift in the 1940s.

scholarly journals Seasonal Evolutions of Atmospheric Response to Decadal SST Anomalies in the North Pacific Subarctic Frontal Zone: Observations and a Coupled Model Simulation

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 111-139 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bunmei Taguchi ◽  
Hisashi Nakamura ◽  
Masami Nonaka ◽  
Nobumasa Komori ◽  
Akira Kuwano-Yoshida ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Frontal Zone ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Decadal Scale ◽  
Anomaly Pattern ◽  
Subarctic Frontal Zone ◽  
The North Pacific ◽  
Sst Anomalies

Abstract Potential impacts of pronounced decadal-scale variations in the North Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) that tend to be confined to the subarctic frontal zone (SAFZ) upon seasonally varying atmospheric states are investigated, by using 48-yr observational data and a 120-yr simulation with an ocean–atmosphere coupled general circulation model (CGCM). SST fields based on in situ observations and the ocean component of the CGCM have horizontal resolutions of 2.0° and 0.5°, respectively, which can reasonably resolve frontal SST gradient across the SAFZ. Both the observations and CGCM simulation provide a consistent picture between SST anomalies in the SAFZ yielded by its decadal-scale meridional displacement and their association with atmospheric anomalies. Correlated with SST anomalies persistent in the SAFZ from fall to winter, a coherent decadal-scale signal in the wintertime atmospheric circulation over the North Pacific starts emerging in November and develops into an equivalent barotropic anomaly pattern similar to the Pacific–North American (PNA) pattern. The PNA-like signal with the weakened (enhanced) surface Aleutian low correlated with positive (negative) SST anomalies in the SAFZ becomes strongest and most robust in January, under the feedback forcing from synoptic-scale disturbances migrating along the Pacific storm track that shifts northward (southward) in accord with the oceanic SAFZ. This PNA-like signal, however, breaks down in February, which is suggestive of a particular sensitivity of that anomaly pattern to subtle differences in the background climatological-mean state. Despite its collapse in February, the PNA-like signal recurs the next January. This subseasonal evolution of the signal suggests that the PNA-like anomaly pattern may develop as a response to the persistent SST anomalies that are maintained mainly through ocean dynamics.

scholarly journals Trends and decadal oscillations of oxygen and nutrients at 50 to 300 m depth in the equatorial and North Pacific

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 813-831
Author(s):  
Lothar Stramma ◽  
Sunke Schmidtko ◽  
Steven J. Bograd ◽  
Tsuneo Ono ◽  
Tetjana Ross ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Ocean Warming ◽  
Eastern Pacific ◽  
Nutrient Distribution ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Major Mode ◽  
The North Pacific

Abstract. A strong oxygen-deficient layer is located in the upper layers of the tropical Pacific Ocean and deeper in the North Pacific. Processes related to climate change (upper-ocean warming, reduced ventilation) are expected to change ocean oxygen and nutrient inventories. In most ocean basins, a decrease in oxygen (“deoxygenation”) and an increase in nutrients have been observed in subsurface layers. Deoxygenation trends are not linear and there could be multiple influences on oxygen and nutrient trends and variability. Here oxygen and nutrient time series since 1950 in the Pacific Ocean were investigated at 50 to 300 m depth, as this layer provides critical pelagic habitat for biological communities. In addition to trends related to ocean warming the oxygen and nutrient trends show a strong influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) in the tropical and the eastern Pacific, and the North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) in particular in the North Pacific. In the Oyashio Region the PDO, the NPGO, the North Pacific Index (NPI) and an 18.6-year nodal tidal cycle overlay the long-term trend. In most eastern Pacific regions oxygen increases and nutrients decrease in the 50 to 300 m layer during the negative PDO phase, with opposite trends during the positive PDO phase. The PDO index encapsulates the major mode of sea surface temperature variability in the Pacific, and oxygen and nutrients trends throughout the basin can be described in the context of the PDO phases. El Niño and La Niña years often influence the oxygen and nutrient distribution during the event in the eastern tropical Pacific but do not have a multi-year influence on the trends.

Interannual Variation of Annual Subduction Rate in the North Pacific Estimated from a Gridded Argo Product

2015 ◽  
Vol 45 (9) ◽  
pp. 2276-2293 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katsuya Toyama ◽  
Aiko Iwasaki ◽  
Toshio Suga
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Decadal Oscillation ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Mode Water ◽  
Subtropical Mode Water ◽  
The North ◽  
Central Mode Water ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Central Mode ◽  
Subduction Rate ◽  
The North Pacific

AbstractSpatiotemporal variability of the subduction rate in the North Pacific from 2005 to 2012 is examined based on the Argo observational data. The subduction rate in the subtropical North Pacific varies significantly from year to year between 25 and 50 Sverdrups (Sv; 1 Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1), and it is well correlated with the Pacific decadal oscillation. The temporal change of the subduction rate is largely determined by that of the late winter mixed layer depth through the lateral induction term. The increase (decrease) in the subduction rate in the subtropical mode water areas accompanies densification (lightening) of the mode density class of the subducted water. The subduction rate variability in the central mode water and eastern subtropical mode water regions is anticorrelated as found in the previous study using the output from an ocean GCM. The subduction rate in the central mode water density range changes dramatically, which is very large in 2005 and 2010 but almost disappears in 2009. The subduction rate variability in the western subtropical mode water regions seems to be correlated with the Pacific decadal oscillation with a lag of a few years.

Decadal Relationship between the Stratospheric Arctic Vortex and Pacific Decadal Oscillation

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (9) ◽  
pp. 3371-3386 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dingzhu Hu ◽  
Zhaoyong Guan
Keyword(s):  
Time Scales ◽  
Pacific Decadal Oscillation ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Phase Relationship ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
The North ◽  
Sst Cooling ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Tropospheric Circulation ◽  
The North Pacific

Abstract Using reanalysis datasets and numerical simulations, the relationship between the stratospheric Arctic vortex (SAV) and the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) on decadal time scales was investigated. A significant in-phase relationship between the PDO and SAV on decadal time scales during 1950–2014 is found, that is, the North Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) cooling (warming) associated with the positive (negative) PDO phases is closely related to the strengthening (weakening) of the SAV. This decadal relationship between the North Pacific SST and SAV is different from their relationship on subdecadal time scales. Observational and modeling results both demonstrate that the decadal variation in the SAV is strongly affected by the North Pacific SSTs related to the PDO via modifying the upward propagation of planetary wavenumber-1 waves from the troposphere to the stratosphere. The decreased SSTs over the North Pacific tend to result in a deepened Aleutian low along with a strengthened jet stream over the North Pacific, which excites a weakened western Pacific pattern and a strengthened Pacific–North American pattern. These tropospheric circulation anomalies are in accordance with the decreased refractive index (RI) at middle and high latitudes in the northern stratosphere during the positive PDO phase. The increased RI at high latitudes in the upper troposphere impedes the planetary wavenumber-1 wave from propagating into the stratosphere, and in turn strengthens the SAV. The responses of the RI to the PDO are mainly contributions of the changes in the meridional gradient of the zonal-mean potential vorticity via alteration of the baroclinic term .

scholarly journals Distinguishing the Quasi-Decadal and Multidecadal Sea Level and Climate Variations in the Pacific: Implications for the ENSO-Like Low-Frequency Variability

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (13) ◽  
pp. 5097-5117 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kewei Lyu ◽  
Xuebin Zhang ◽  
John A. Church ◽  
Jianyu Hu ◽  
Jin-Yi Yu
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Time Scales ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Low Frequency Variability ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies ◽  
The North Pacific

Low-frequency sea level variations with periods longer than interannual time scales have been receiving much attention recently, with the aim of distinguishing the anthropogenic regional sea level change signal from the natural fluctuations. Based on the available sea level products, this study finds that the dominant low-frequency sea level mode in the Pacific basin has both quasi-decadal variations and a multidecadal trend reversal in the early 1990s. The dominant sea level modes on these two time scales have different tropical structures: a west–east seesaw in the tropical Pacific on the multidecadal time scale and a dipole between the western and central tropical Pacific on the quasi-decadal time scale. These two sea level modes in the Pacific basin are closely related to the ENSO-like low-frequency climate variability on respective time scales but feature distinct surface wind forcing patterns and subbasin climate processes. The multidecadal sea level mode is associated with the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) and Aleutian low variations in the North Pacific and tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies toward the eastern basin, while the quasi-decadal sea level mode is accompanied by tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies centered in the central basin along with the North Pacific part, which resembles the North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) and its oceanic expressions [i.e., the North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) and the Victoria mode]. The authors further conclude that the ENSO-like low-frequency variability, which has dominant influences on the Pacific sea level and climate, comprises at least two distinct modes with different spatial structures on quasi-decadal and multidecadal time scales, respectively.

scholarly journals Atlantic multidecadal oscillation drives interdecadal Pacific variability via tropical atmospheric bridge

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-46
Author(s):  
Xiaohe An ◽  
Bo Wu ◽  
Tianjun Zhou ◽  
Bo Liu
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Convective Heating ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Pacific ◽  
Sst Anomalies ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

AbstractInterdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), two leading modes of decadal climate variability, are not independent. It was proposed that ENSO-like sea surface temperature (SST) variations play a central role in the Pacific responses to the AMO forcing. However, observational analyses indicate that the AMO-related SST anomalies in the tropical Pacific are far weaker than those in the extratropical North Pacific. Here, we show that SST in the North Pacific is tied to the AMO forcing by convective heating associated with precipitation over the tropical Pacific, instead of by SST there, based on an ensemble of pacemaker experiments with North Atlantic SST restored to the observation in a coupled general circulation model. The AMO modulates precipitation over the equatorial and tropical southwestern Pacific through exciting an anomalous zonal circulation and an interhemispheric asymmetry of net moist static energy input into the atmosphere. The convective heating associated with the precipitation anomalies drive SST variations in the North Pacific through a teleconnection, but remarkably weaken the ENSO-like SST anomalies through a thermocline damping effect. This study has implications that the IPO is a combined mode generated by both AMO forcing and local air-sea interactions, but the IPO-related global-warming acceleration/slowdown is independent of the AMO.

scholarly journals Pacific Decadal Variability: Paced by Rossby Basin Modes?

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 1445-1456 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wilbert Weijer ◽  
Ernesto Muñoz ◽  
Niklas Schneider ◽  
François Primeau
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
Time Scales ◽  
Pacific Decadal Oscillation ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Pressure Field ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Climate System Model ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
The North Pacific

Abstract A systematic study is presented of decadal climate variability in the North Pacific. In particular, the hypothesis is addressed that oceanic Rossby basin modes are responsible for enhanced energy at decadal and bidecadal time scales. To this end, a series of statistical analyses are performed on a 500-yr control integration of the Community Climate System Model, version 3 (CCSM3). In particular, a principal oscillation pattern (POP) analysis is performed to identify modal behavior in the subsurface pressure field. It is found that the dominant energy of sea surface temperature (SST) variability at 25 yr (the model equivalent of the Pacific decadal oscillation) cannot be explained by the resonant excitation of an oceanic basin mode. However, significant energy in the subsurface pressure field at time scales of 17 and 10 yr appears to be related to internal ocean oscillations. However, these oscillations lack the characteristics of the classical basin modes, and must either be deformed beyond recognition by the background circulation and inhomogeneous stratification or have another dynamical origin altogether. The 17-yr oscillation projects onto the Pacific decadal oscillation and, if present in the real ocean, has the potential to enhance the predictability of low-frequency climate variability in the North Pacific.

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