Inter-basin interactions between the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans depending on the phase of Pacific decadal Oscillation and Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation

The authors investigated the inter-basin interactions between the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans depending on the phase relationship of Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO)/Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation (AMO) based on observations and idealized model experiments. When the AMO and the PDO are in-phase (i.e., +PDO/+AMO or −PDO/-AMO), the Pacific Ocean regulates the SST anomalies in the equatorial Atlantic Ocean with altering a Walker circulation. During this period, there is a negative SST-precipitation relationship in the equatorial Atlantic Ocean where the atmosphere forces the ocean. In contrast, when they are out-of-phase (i.e., either +PDO/-AMO or −PDO/+AMO), the Atlantic Ocean influences the equatorial Pacific Ocean by modifying Walker circulation, resulting in a westward shift of a center of convective forcing in the equatorial Pacific Ocean compared to that during an inphase relationship of PDO/AMO. During this period, a positive SST-precipitation relationship is dominant in the equatorial Atlantic Ocean where the ocean forces the atmosphere. To verify this result, we conducted pacemaker experiments using the Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Earth System Model version 3 (NESM3). Model results supported our findings obtained from the observations. We infer that the characteristics of the Pacific-Atlantic inter-basin interactions depend on whether the PDO and AMO phases are either in-phase or out of phase.

Linking the atmospheric Pacific-South American mode with oceanic variability and predictability

While Pacific climate variability is largely understood based on El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the North Pacific focused Pacific decadal oscillation and the basin-wide interdecadal Pacific oscillation, the role of the South Pacific, including atmospheric drivers and cross-scale interactions, has received less attention. Using reanalysis data and model outputs, here we propose a paradigm for South Pacific climate variability whereby the atmospheric Pacific-South American (PSA) mode acts to excite multiscale spatiotemporal responses in the upper South Pacific Ocean. We find the second mid-troposphere PSA pattern is fundamental to stochastically generate a mid-latitude sea surface temperature quadrupole pattern that represents the optimal precursor for the predictability and evolution of both the South Pacific decadal oscillation and ENSO several seasons in advance. We find that the PSA mode is the key driver of oceanic variability in the South Pacific subtropics that generates a potentially predictable climate signal linked to the tropics.