scholarly journals Monetary policy and exchange rate regime in tourist islands

2020 ◽  
pp. 135481662095949
Author(s):  
Federico Inchausti-Sintes ◽  
Ubay Pérez-Granja
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic ◽  
Travel Industry

The broad impact of the travel industry on economies has been comprehensively analysed in the tourism literature. Despite this, its consequences for monetary policy have remained unaddressed. This article aims at providing a first approach in this line for the case of three small tourist islands such as Cabo Verde, Mauritius and Seychelles. The research is based on a Bayesian estimation using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model (DSGE), and the optimal response to a tourism demand shock of four monetary policies is analysed. According to the results, both a conventional peg and an inflation-targeting policies achieve better economic performance. More precisely, the inflation is lower in the former. However, the rise in consumption and the gain in the external competitiveness are sharper in the latter. Finally, the other two policies, an inflation-targeting with managed exchange rate policy and an imported-inflation targeting policies, generate higher consumption and external competitiveness, but, also higher inflation and interest rate.

Exchange Rate Regimes and Economic Stability

2010 ◽  
pp. 29-43
Author(s):  
S. Smirnov
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Economic Stability ◽  
Exogenous Shocks ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Managed Floating

The Bank of Russia intends to introduce inflation targeting policy and exchange rate free floating regime in three years. Exogenous shocks absorption which stabilizes the real sector of economy is usually considered to be one of the advantages of free floating exchange rate policy. However, our research based on the analysis of 25 world largest economies exchange rates and industrial production during the crisis of 2008-2009 does not confirm this hypothesis. The article also analyzes additional risks associated with free floating exchange rate regime in Russia and presents some arguments in favor of managed floating exchange rate regime.

On the Exchange Rate Policy

2010 ◽  
pp. 21-28
Author(s):  
K. Yudaeva
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Institutional Changes ◽  
Crisis Period ◽  
Local Currency ◽  
High Inflation ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
The Exchange Rate

The level of trust in the local currency in Russia is very low largely because of relatively high inflation. As a result, Bank of Russia during crisis times can not afford monetary policy loosening and has to fight devaluation expectations. To change the situation in the post-crisis period Russia needs to live through a continuous period of low inflation. Modified inflation targeting can help achieve such a result. However, it should be amended with institutional changes, particularly development of hedging instruments.

Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy in Fragile States

2021 ◽  
pp. 367-405
Author(s):  
Christopher Adam ◽  
James Wilson
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Balance Of Power ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Fragile States ◽  
Policy Choices ◽  
Structural Fragility ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Proximate Causes

This chapter charts monetary and exchange rate policy aspects of countries’ descent into, and exit from, economic fragility and draws out some key normative policy lessons for fragile countries and their external partners. Choices around exchange rate regime and the conduct of monetary policy in fragile states will rarely be fundamental drivers of deep structural fragility, even though they may present as proximate causes. Nor are they likely to be decisive in driving the recovery from extreme fragility. However, monetary and exchange rate policy choices can and do play an important role in affecting movements into fragility as well as shaping potential exit paths. Moreover, choices in these domains affect the likely distribution of rents, including those generated by policy distortions themselves. In doing so, they alter the balance of power and can decisively shift the points of influence for policy, including by outside agents.

THE CASE FOR AN INTERMEDIATE EXCHANGE RATE REGIME

2007 ◽  
Vol 52 (03) ◽  
pp. 295-307 ◽  
Author(s):  
JOHN WILLIAMSON
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Advantages And Disadvantages ◽  
Economics Profession ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate Changes ◽  
Floating Rates

The argument that any exchange rate regimes other than firmly fixed and freely floating rates were infeasible — the so-called bipolarity thesis — acquired great popularity in the wake of the Asian crisis of a decade ago, but it has almost vanished today. One reason is surely the unkind empirical evidence, which shows that intermediate regimes — measured as those where both reserve and exchange rate changes lie in an intermediate range — are not in fact tending to disappear (Levy Yeyati and Sturzenegger, 2002). Another reason is the recognition that exchange rate policy should have other objectives besides avoiding crises, and that in the world we live in today it is reasonable to give these other objectives a significant priority. And perhaps a third factor is growing recognition that it is possible to design or operate intermediate regimes in ways that avoid exposing them to the dangers that were focused on by the disciples of bipolarity. This article starts by distinguishing the options that countries face in choosing an exchange rate regime. It examines the advantages and disadvantages of each of them, finally suggesting that for most countries the real choice lies between freely floating rates, floating rates disciplined by a reference rate system, and an ill-defined managed floating with the management undefined. Three issues may influence the choice between those alternatives: transparency; perceived consistency with that pillar of current macroeconomic thinking, inflation targeting; and the theory of what determines exchange rates. In the latter context, it is argued that the current conventional wisdom of the economics profession is wrong, and that a more convincing diagnosis of the process of exchange rate determination lends support to the proposal for a reference rate system.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy Analysis in Serbia

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 147-180 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vesna Martin
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
National Bank ◽  
Main Regulator

Abstract The paper focuses on analysing monetary policy in Serbia. The National Bank of Serbia chose inflation targeting, which sets price stability as the main objective of monetary policy. To achieve this goal, the central bank uses different monetary policy instruments which analysis can provide us with the understanding of the main directions of their actions but also of the limitations of its application. Only through improvement of both instruments and monetary policy the central bank will create a better foundation for achieving monetary stability. In addition, the implementation of exchange rate policy is entrusted to the National Bank of Serbia, as the main regulator of the financial system. A mere use of managed floating exchange rate, as the chosen exchange rate regime, is an appropriate solution in the current economic circumstances and in accordance with the desired objective of monetary policy.

scholarly journals SINGAPORE'S EXCHANGE RATE POLICY: SOME IMPLEMENTATION ISSUES

2007 ◽  
Vol 52 (03) ◽  
pp. 445-458 ◽  
Author(s):  
HWEE-KWAN CHOW
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Policy Instrument ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Policy Framework ◽  
Successful Operation ◽  
Foreign Exchange Intervention ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
The Exchange Rate

Reflecting the small open nature of its economy, Singapore has adopted an exchange rate-centered monetary policy framework since 1981. The exchange rate regime in Singapore is an intermediate regime that follows the basket-band-crawl system. With this managed float system, the MAS has successfully deterred speculators from attacking the domestic currency for most of the past three decades. At the same time, the flexibility accorded by the managed float system aided Singapore in escaping from the 1997–1998 Asian crisis relatively unscathed. In order to advance our understanding of the hitherto successful operation of Singapore's exchange rate policy, we examine the following three aspects of its implementation: (i) the use of the exchange rate instead of the interest rate as the key monetary policy instrument; (ii) the management of the currency basket in terms of foreign exchange intervention operations; and (iii) regulating the level of domestic liquidity alongside exchange rate policy. This paper also provides some insights on the challenges ahead that potentially face policymakers when implementing Singapore's exchange rate policy.

Counterfactual Inflation Targeting in Nepal

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 97-117
Author(s):  
Tomoya Suzuki
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Business Cycles ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium ◽  
Welfare Cost ◽  
Risk Averse ◽  
Interest Rate Volatility ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic

The Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) pegs the Nepalese rupee to the Indian rupee, meaning that the NRB effectively transfers control over the country’s monetary policy to India. It is therefore argued that Indian inflation causes Nepalese inflation. This study investigates whether the NRB should have instead floated the Nepalese rupee and targeted inflation. For this purpose, a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model under a fixed exchange rate regime is estimated using Nepalese data during the 1993–2016 period. The estimated model is used for simulations under counterfactual scenarios for which the NRB floated the Nepalese rupee and followed a rule to target inflation during the study period. Findings show that inflation targeting would have significantly increased the welfare cost associated with business cycles to risk-averse household, owing to interest-rate volatility. The volatilities of consumption and labour services would have become larger. JEL Classification: E31, E32, E52, F41, F45

A RE-STATEMENT OF SINGAPORE'S EXCHANGE RATE AND MONETARY POLICIES

2003 ◽  
Vol 48 (02) ◽  
pp. 201-212 ◽  
Author(s):  
PAUL S. L. YIP
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Band System ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Currency Board ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Rate Level ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate Level

This policy note, which focuses on Singapore's monetary and exchange rate policies, has a number of objectives. First, it highlights the fact that the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) is equipped with a powerful tool to target the exchange rate level it desires (within limits). Second, it reviews Singapore's exchange rate policy since 1980 and explains that the de facto policy is far more complicated and flexible than the simplistic but oft-noted description of the MAS pursuing a "strong Singapore dollar" policy. Specifically, the paper argues that Singapore's exchange rate regime is an ideal example of the monitoring band system favoured by John Williamson. Third, the paper contrasts the Singapore currency regime with the relatively more inflexible currency board arrangement (CBA) operated in Hong Kong. The relative advantages of Singapore's flexible monitoring band arrangement over Hong Kong's rigidly fixed CBA are highlighted.

scholarly journals Notes on the Brazilian Crisis of 1997-99

2003 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 376-404
Author(s):  
FRANCISCO L. LOPES
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Capital Controls ◽  
Critical Issue ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
The Real ◽  
Diagonal Band ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
The Exchange Rate

ABSTRACT This paper deals with the Brazilian crisis of 1997-98 that lead to the exchange rate floating of January 1999. It starts by showing how exchange rate policy evolved since the Real Plan of 1994 and how the exchange rate regime became a critical issue when the crisis started in 1997. It discusses monetary policy during the crisis, the IMF program, the endogenous diagonal band and the decision to float as an alternative to capital controls and default. This five-year drama ended surprisingly well with a benign float, but it is useful to know its details, with the usual mix of economic de- bate, personality clashes and historical fatality.

Beijing will move cautiously on exchange rate

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Unintended Consequence ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Capital Flight ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Rate Policy

Subject China's exchange rate policy. Significance The fallout from the recent currency and stock market volatility has heightened fears that China's monetary policy decisions are reactive and uncoordinated. In response to the threat of capital flight, monetary policy has tended towards control, but these controls are increasingly costly, both in monetary and welfare terms. In assessing these costs, however, distinction must be made between using reserves to defend the renminbi's value, legitimate policy-supported outward investment and capital flight. Impacts Even without devaluation, exported deflation will be an unintended consequence of China's current monetary policies. Officials are well aware of the dangers posed by a substantial once-off Plaza Accord-style devaluation. A large devaluation would damage the renminbi's prospects as an international reserve and settlement currency. Devaluation would have a significant impact on the monetary policy of other countries, most notably Japan.

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