scholarly journals First-trimester maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein is not a good predictor for adverse pregnancy outcomes: a retrospective study of 3325 cases

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jilin Hu ◽  
Jinman Zhang ◽  
Guilin He ◽  
Shu Zhu ◽  
Xinhua Tang ◽  
...  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jilin Hu ◽  
Jinman Zhang ◽  
Guilin He ◽  
Shu Zhu ◽  
Xinhua Tang ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose: To investigate the predictive values of first-trimester maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (MS-AFP) to preterm birth, stillbirth, preeclampsia and small for gestational age (SGA). Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the data on the first-trimester MS-AFP levels and pregnancy outcomes of 3325 singleton pregnant women. The cutoff value of 2.5 multiple of the median (MoM) was used to evaluate the risks of adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs) regarding MS-AFP. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the predictive efficiencies of MS-AFP to these disorders. Results: A total of 181 pregnancies resulted in preterm birth, 32 in stillbirth, 81 in preeclampsia, and 362 in SGA. Compared to women with MS-AFP < 2.5MoM, those with MS-AFP ≥ 2.5MoM had increased risks (odds ratio, 95% confidence interval) of preterm birth (2.53, 1.65~3.88), preeclampsia (3.05, 1.71~5.43) and SGA (1.90, 1.34~2.69), and had an earlier distribution of gestational weeks at delivery (P = 0.004) and a lower distribution of neonatal birth weights (P = 0.000), but the actual between-group differences were minuscule. The areas under ROC curves were 0.572 (P = 0.001), 0.579 (P = 0.015) and 0.565 (P = 0.000) for preterm birth, preeclampsia and SGA, respectively. Subdivisions for the disorders did not obviously improve the performances of MS-AFP. Conclusion: Elevated first-trimester MS-AFP is associated with increased risk of preterm birth, preeclampsia and SGA. However, the predictive efficiencies were low and it is not a good predictor for these APOs.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jilin Hu ◽  
Jinman Zhang ◽  
Guilin He ◽  
Shu Zhu ◽  
Xinhua Tang ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose: To investigate the predictive values of first-trimester maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (MS-AFP) to preterm birth, stillbirth, preeclampsia and small for gestational age (SGA). Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the data on the first-trimester MS-AFP levels and pregnancy outcomes of 3325 singleton pregnant women. The cutoff value of 2.5 multiple of the median (MoM) was used to evaluate the risks of adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs) regarding MS-AFP. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the predictive efficiencies of MS-AFP to these disorders. Results: A total of 181 pregnancies resulted in preterm birth, 32 in stillbirth, 81 in preeclampsia, and 362 in SGA. Compared to women with MS-AFP < 2.5MoM, those with MS-AFP ≥ 2.5MoM had increased risks (odds ratio, 95% confidence interval) of preterm birth (2.53, 1.65~3.88), preeclampsia (3.05, 1.71~5.43) and SGA (1.90, 1.34~2.69), while the risk of stillbirth was not significantly increased (1.33, 0.40~4.41). The areas under ROC curves were 0.572 (P = 0.001), 0.597 (P = 0.060), 0.579 (P = 0.015) and 0.565 (P = 0.000) for preterm birth, stillbirth, preeclampsia and SGA, respectively. Women with MS-AFP ≥ 2.5MoM had an earlier distribution of gestational weeks at delivery (P = 0.004) and a lower distribution of neonatal birth weights (P = 0.000) compared to those with MS-AFP < 2.5MoM, but the actual between-group differences were minuscule. Conclusion: Elevated first-trimester MS-AFP is associated with increased risk of preterm birth, preeclampsia and SGA. However, the predictive efficiencies were low and it is not a good predictor for these APOs.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jilin Hu ◽  
Jinman Zhang ◽  
Guilin He ◽  
Shu Zhu ◽  
Xinhua Tang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: It is well known that second-trimester maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (MS-AFP) is a predictor for adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs), such as preterm birth, stillbirth, preeclampsia and small for gestational age (SGA). However, it is unknown whether first-trimester MS-AFP is also predictive of APOs. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the data on the first-trimester MS-AFP levels and pregnancy outcomes of 3325 singleton pregnant women. The cutoff value of 2.5 multiple of the median (MoM) was used to evaluate the risks of APOs regarding MS-AFP. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the predictive efficiencies of MS-AFP to these disorders. Results: A total of 181 pregnancies resulted in preterm birth, 32 in stillbirth, 81 in preeclampsia, and 362 in SGA. Compared to women with MS-AFP < 2.5MoM, those with MS-AFP ≥ 2.5MoM had increased risks (odds ratio, 95% confidence interval) of preterm birth (2.53, 1.65~3.88), preeclampsia (3.05, 1.71~5.43) and SGA (1.90, 1.34~2.69), and had an earlier distribution of gestational weeks at delivery (P = 0.004) and a lower distribution of neonatal birth weights (P = 0.000), but the actual between-group differences were minuscule. The areas under ROC curves were 0.572 (P = 0.001), 0.579 (P = 0.015) and 0.565 (P = 0.000) for preterm birth, preeclampsia and SGA, respectively. Subdivisions for the disorders did not obviously improve the performances of MS-AFP. Conclusions: Elevated first-trimester MS-AFP is associated with increased risk of preterm birth, preeclampsia and SGA. However, the predictive efficiencies were low and it is not a good predictor for these APOs.


2019 ◽  
Vol 133 (1) ◽  
pp. 136S-137S
Author(s):  
Cheryl Dinglas ◽  
Nur Afsar ◽  
Jay Davis ◽  
Sara Kim ◽  
Kimberly Herrera ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Urmila Karya ◽  
Sweta Kumari ◽  
Anupam Rani ◽  
Shakun Singh

Background: Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is the major serum protein in the embryonic stage and in the early fetal stage. The aim of this study was to measure maternal serum AFP levels in second trimester between 15-20 weeks of gestation and to determine whether unexplained elevated MSAFP levels is an effective predictor of adverse pregnancy outcome among Indian population.Methods: This study was a prospective observational study, carried out on 400 pregnant women. Maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (MSAFP) was measured between 15 and 20 weeks of gestation after excluding congenital malformation or birth defects. MSAFP level was determined by using a radio-immunoassay technique. Women with MSAFP level >2.0 MoM was considered as abnormal while MSAFP level≤ 2.0 MoM was considered as normal. All women were followed up till delivery and pregnancy outcomes were noted and compared between two groups.Results: Women with elevated MSAFP had significantly higher adverse pregnancy outcomes (75.4%) compared to women with MSAFP ≤2.0 MoM (26.1%) (p<0.0001 with relative risk of 2.89, 95% confidence interval 2.276 -3.667).Conclusions: Unexplained elevated MSAFP has high sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value in predicting adverse pregnancy outcomes. It would, therefore be worthwhile screening pregnant women in second trimester for maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein levels as it would help to identify high risk pregnancies and allow close antenatal survillence for better pregnancy outcome.


Author(s):  
Gokhan Gonen ◽  
Yasam Kemal Akpak ◽  
Murat Muhcu

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to investigate the association between first-trimester screening maternal serum markers (free human chorionic gonadotropin-beta (β-hCG), pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A, and adverse pregnancy outcomes (gestational hypertension, preeclampsia, preterm delivery, intrauterine growth restriction, oligohydramnios, intrauterine ex-fetus, abruptio placentae, and gestational diabetes mellitus). STUDY DESIGN: This was a retrospective cohort study including 1516 women who delivered a singleton pregnancy at GATA Haydarpasa Education Hospital from 2006 to 2009. Patients with multiple pregnancies, chromosome aberrations, or fetal anomalies were excluded. Extreme values of corrected- pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A and free β-hCG, and their association with adverse pregnancy outcomes were analyzed. RESULTS: Adverse pregnancy outcomes at the cutoff level of ≤0.25 c-pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A MOM values positive likelihood ratio (+LR) was 7.5 (95%CI 2.426-19.836) and had a significant correlation (r=0.108, p<0.01). It was also a significant correlation with adverse pregnancy outcomes (r=0.189, p<0.01) at the cut-off level of ≤0.50 corrected-pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A MOM values and the +LR was 2.388 (95%CI 1.889-2.991). Association between low corrected-pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A MOM values and adverse pregnancy outcomes were statistically significant and had a poor association (AUC, 0.630 95%CI 0.596-0.663, p<0.01). Preeclampsia was statistically significant, however had a fair association (AUC, 0.74 95% CI 0.690-0.802, p<0.01). Preterm birth was statistically significant but had a poor association (AUC, 0.568 95% CI 0.512-0.624, p<0.05). CONCLUSION: First-trimester maternal serum low pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A values are significantly associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes. It may be a useful tool to predictive not only chromosome anomalies but also adverse pregnancy outcomes.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document