Evaluating changes in “good safety monitoring” for cancer clinical trial participants during the COVID-19 pandemic.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (28_suppl) ◽  
pp. 217-217
Author(s):  
Meera Vimala Ragavan ◽  
Alyssa LaLanne ◽  
Andrea Skafel ◽  
Julian C. Hong ◽  
Anobel Y. Odisho ◽  
...  

217 Background: Comprehensive and frequent safety monitoring is an essential component of clinical trial conduct to accurately characterize potential toxicities of a study drug and to minimize potential harm to study participants. The COVID-19 pandemic substantially impacted the delivery of cancer care with reduced frequency of overall and in-person visits. We hypothesized that reporting of serious adverse events (SAEs) occurring on clinical trials may have been impacted by these care delivery changes. The current study evaluated pandemic-related changes in the frequency of safety monitoring for cancer patients (pts) enrolled on a clinical trial and identified predictors of SAE reporting before and during the pandemic. Methods: This study included all adult cancer pts enrolled in interventional therapeutic clinical trials at an academic cancer center between 1/1/2019 and 12/30/2020. In this analysis, the "pre-pandemic" period was defined as the time between 1/1/19 and 3/14/20, and the pandemic period between 3/15/20 and the data cutoff date of 12/30/2020. SAE was defined as a grade 3 or grade 4 adverse event (AE) as reported by the trial. Demographic characteristics of pts, visit type (virtual vs in-person), and frequency of SAE reporting were summarized pre-pandemic and during the pandemic. A multivariate logistic regression model was employed to identify predictors of SAE reporting, with the outcome defined as report of at least one SAE from the time pts went on study until the data cutoff date. Covariates included age, gender, race (white vs. non-white), having at least one virtual visit, and enrollment on a trial before versus during the pandemic. Results: This study included 190 pts; 138 (73%) enrolled on trial pre-pandemic and 52 (27%) enrolled during the pandemic. During-pandemic participants were more likely to be older than pts enrolled pre-pandemic, but otherwise the groups were similar in terms of race and gender. Overall, 78 pts (41%) reported an SAE. Among pre-pandemic enrollees, 50% reported at least one SAE, compared to 17% among during-pandemic enrollees. In the multivariate logistic regression model, only enrolling on trial pre-pandemic was associated with a higher likelihood of reporting at least one SAE. Visit type (virtual vs. in-person) was not recorded in over half of during-pandemic patient encounters. Conclusions: There was a significant decline in frequency of SAE reporting during the COVID-19 pandemic. While having at least one virtual visit was not a significant predictor of SAE reporting in the multivariate regression model, our analysis may underrepresent the association of virtual visits and SAE reporting. As the number of virtual visits is expected to stay high post-pandemic, further work is needed to characterize the association of virtual visits and SAE reporting to ensure ongoing adequate safety monitoring for clinical trial patients.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 441-441
Author(s):  
Marie Alt ◽  
Carlos Stecca ◽  
Shaum Kabadi ◽  
Benga Kazeem ◽  
Srikala S. Sridhar

441 Background: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) have changed the landscape of mUC, yet outcomes are variable as some patients (pts) do not respond to treatment while others have a durable response. To optimally select pts who may derive benefit from ICIs, predictive factors are required. This retrospective, post-hoc analysis evaluated pt characteristics to determine differences between short and long-term survivors among pts with mUC who received D (anti–PD-L1) with or without T (anti–CTLA-4) in two clinical studies. Methods: Pts with platinum-refractory mUC who received D monotherapy in the phase I/II study 1108 (10 mg/kg Q2W, up to 12 mo) or D+T in the phase I study 10 (D at 20 mg/kg + T at 1 mg/kg Q4W for 4 mo, then D at 10 mg/kg Q2W for 12 mo) were included. Pt characteristics, tumor characteristics, radiological assessments, and biological assessments were collected. The primary outcome measure was long-term overall survival (OS). Pts were categorized as OS ≥2 yrs (from 1st dose of study drug) or OS <2 yrs. A univariate analysis was conducted on each baseline characteristic to assess independent associations with long-term OS; a multivariate logistic regression model was employed including each variable with a p-value ≤0.1 as factors or covariates. Results: A total of 367 pts with mUC were included in the analysis: 88 (24.0%) had OS ≥2 yrs (range: 2.09–4.99) and 279 (76.0%) had OS <2 yrs (range: 0.03–1.98). Pts with OS ≥2 yrs had a significantly higher objective response rates than those with OS <2 yrs (71.6% vs 5.7%; p<0.0001) and a significantly longer duration of response (median 2.3 yrs vs 0.39 yrs; p<0.0001). The characteristics included in the multivariate logistic regression model are listed in the Table. Long-term OS was significantly associated with ECOG PS, PD-L1 status, baseline hemoglobin level, and baseline absolute neutrophils count. Conclusions: Our analyses show that several characteristics, including tumor response to treatment, are associated with long-term OS for pts with mUC treated with D or D+T. Further investigation into these and other characteristics may provide additional insights into long-term survival outcomes with ICIs. [Table: see text]


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. e001314
Author(s):  
Chao Liu ◽  
Li Li ◽  
Kehan Song ◽  
Zhi-Ying Zhan ◽  
Yi Yao ◽  
...  

BackgroundIndividualized prediction of mortality risk can inform the treatment strategy for patients with COVID-19 and solid tumors and potentially improve patient outcomes. We aimed to develop a nomogram for predicting in-hospital mortality of patients with COVID-19 with solid tumors.MethodsWe enrolled patients with COVID-19 with solid tumors admitted to 32 hospitals in China between December 17, 2020, and March 18, 2020. A multivariate logistic regression model was constructed via stepwise regression analysis, and a nomogram was subsequently developed based on the fitted multivariate logistic regression model. Discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were evaluated by estimating the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) for the model and by bootstrap resampling, a Hosmer-Lemeshow test, and visual inspection of the calibration curve.ResultsThere were 216 patients with COVID-19 with solid tumors included in the present study, of whom 37 (17%) died and the other 179 all recovered from COVID-19 and were discharged. The median age of the enrolled patients was 63.0 years and 113 (52.3%) were men. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that increasing age (OR=1.08, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.16), receipt of antitumor treatment within 3 months before COVID-19 (OR=28.65, 95% CI 3.54 to 231.97), peripheral white blood cell (WBC) count ≥6.93 ×109/L (OR=14.52, 95% CI 2.45 to 86.14), derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR; neutrophil count/(WBC count minus neutrophil count)) ≥4.19 (OR=18.99, 95% CI 3.58 to 100.65), and dyspnea on admission (OR=20.38, 95% CI 3.55 to 117.02) were associated with elevated mortality risk. The performance of the established nomogram was satisfactory, with an AUC of 0.953 (95% CI 0.908 to 0.997) for the model, non-significant findings on the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, and rough agreement between predicted and observed probabilities as suggested in calibration curves. The sensitivity and specificity of the model were 86.4% and 92.5%.ConclusionIncreasing age, receipt of antitumor treatment within 3 months before COVID-19 diagnosis, elevated WBC count and dNLR, and having dyspnea on admission were independent risk factors for mortality among patients with COVID-19 and solid tumors. The nomogram based on these factors accurately predicted mortality risk for individual patients.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiqiang Liang ◽  
Qinyu Zhao ◽  
Xin Xu ◽  
Yu Zhou ◽  
Man Huang

Abstract Background The prevention and control of carbapenem-resistance gram-negative bacteria (CR-GNB) is the difficulty and focus for clinicians in the intensive care unit (ICU). This study construct a CR-GNB carriage prediction model in order to predict the CR-GNB incidence in one week. Methods The database is comprised of nearly 10,000 patients. the model is constructed by the multivariate logistic regression model and three machine learning algorithms. Then we choose the optimal model and verify the accuracy by daily predicted and recorded the occurrence of CR-GNB of all patients admitted for 4 months. Results There are 1385 patients with positive CR-GNB cultures and 1535 negative patients in this study. Forty-five variables have statistical significant differences. We include the 17 variables in the multivariate logistic regression model and build three machine learning models for all variables. In terms of accuracy and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve, the random forest is better than XGBoost and multivariate logistic regression model, and better than decision tree model (accuracy: 84% >82%>81%>72%), (AUROC: 0.9089 > 0.8947 ≈ 0.8987 > 0.7845). In the 4-month prospective study, 81 cases were predicted to be positive in CR-GNB culture within 7 days, 146 cases were predicted to be negative, 86 cases were positive, and 120 cases were negative, with an overall accuracy of 84% and AUROC of 91.98%. Conclusions Prediction models by machine learning can predict the occurrence of CR-GNB colonization or infection within a week period, and can real-time predict and guide medical staff to identify high-risk groups more accurately.


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