Study on the traffic prediction of Dezhou-yu’e province boundaries highway

2014 ◽  
pp. 417-419
Author(s):  
Minglei Li ◽  
Hongbin Liu
Keyword(s):  
Author(s):  
Irina Strelkovskay ◽  
Irina Solovskaya ◽  
Anastasija Makoganjuk ◽  
Nikolaj Severin

The problem of forecasting self-similar traffic, which is characterized by a considerable number of ripples and the property of long-term dependence, is considered. It is proposed to use the method of spline extrapolation using linear and cubic splines. The results of self-similar traffic prediction were obtained, which will allow to predict the necessary size of the buffer devices of the network nodes in order to avoid congestion in the network and exceed the normative values ​​of QoS quality characteristics. The solution of the problem of self-similar traffic forecasting obtained with the Simulink software package in Matlab environment is considered. A method of extrapolation based on spline functions is developed. The proposed method has several advantages over the known methods, first of all, it is sufficient ease of implementation, low resource intensity and accuracy of prediction, which can be enhanced by the use of quadratic or cubic interpolation spline functions. Using the method of spline extrapolation, the results of self-similar traffic prediction were obtained, which will allow to predict the required volume of buffer devices, thereby avoiding network congestion and exceeding the normative values ​​of QoS quality characteristics. Given that self-similar traffic is characterized by the presence of "bursts" and a long-term dependence between the moments of receipt of applications in this study, given predetermined data to improve the prediction accuracy, it is possible to use extrapolation based on wavelet functions, the so-called wavelet-extrapolation method. Based on the results of traffic forecasting, taking into account the maximum values ​​of network node traffic, you can give practical guidance on how traffic is redistributed across the network. This will balance the load of network objects and increase the efficiency of network equipment.


2011 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 901-903
Author(s):  
Yong SUN ◽  
Guang-wei BAI ◽  
Lu ZHAO

Author(s):  
Thulitha Senevirathna ◽  
Bathiya Thennakoon ◽  
Tharindu Sankalpa ◽  
Chatura Seneviratne ◽  
Samad Ali ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 124 ◽  
pp. 102977
Author(s):  
Junyi Li ◽  
Fangce Guo ◽  
Aruna Sivakumar ◽  
Yanjie Dong ◽  
Rajesh Krishnan

Author(s):  
Qingtian Zeng ◽  
Qiang Sun ◽  
Geng Chen ◽  
Hua Duan

AbstractWireless cellular traffic prediction is a critical issue for researchers and practitioners in the 5G/B5G field. However, it is very challenging since the wireless cellular traffic usually shows high nonlinearities and complex patterns. Most existing wireless cellular traffic prediction methods lack the abilities of modeling the dynamic spatial–temporal correlations of wireless cellular traffic data, thus cannot yield satisfactory prediction results. In order to improve the accuracy of 5G/B5G cellular network traffic prediction, an attention-based multi-component spatiotemporal cross-domain neural network model (att-MCSTCNet) is proposed, which uses Conv-LSTM or Conv-GRU for neighbor data, daily cycle data, and weekly cycle data modeling, and then assigns different weights to the three kinds of feature data through the attention layer, improves their feature extraction ability, and suppresses the feature information that interferes with the prediction time. Finally, the model is combined with timestamp feature embedding, multiple cross-domain data fusion, and jointly with other models to assist the model in traffic prediction. Experimental results show that compared with the existing models, the prediction performance of the proposed model is better. Among them, the RMSE performance of the att-MCSTCNet (Conv-LSTM) model on Sms, Call, and Internet datasets is improved by 13.70 ~ 54.96%, 10.50 ~ 28.15%, and 35.85 ~ 100.23%, respectively, compared with other existing models. The RMSE performance of the att-MCSTCNet (Conv-GRU) model on Sms, Call, and Internet datasets is about 14.56 ~ 55.82%, 12.24 ~ 29.89%, and 38.79 ~ 103.17% higher than other existing models, respectively.


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