scholarly journals Sample Size in Receiver-Operating Characteristic (ROC) Curve Analysis

2012 ◽  
Vol 76 (3) ◽  
pp. 768 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomoyuki Kawada
Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (6) ◽  
pp. 593 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gareth Hughes

The predictive receiver operating characteristic (PROC) curve is a diagrammatic format with application in the statistical evaluation of probabilistic disease forecasts. The PROC curve differs from the more well-known receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve in that it provides a basis for evaluation using metrics defined conditionally on the outcome of the forecast rather than metrics defined conditionally on the actual disease status. Starting from the binormal ROC curve formulation, an overview of some previously published binormal PROC curves is presented in order to place the PROC curve in the context of other methods used in statistical evaluation of probabilistic disease forecasts based on the analysis of predictive values; in particular, the index of separation (PSEP) and the leaf plot. An information theoretic perspective on evaluation is also outlined. Five straightforward recommendations are made with a view to aiding understanding and interpretation of the sometimes-complex patterns generated by PROC curve analysis. The PROC curve and related analyses augment the perspective provided by traditional ROC curve analysis. Here, the binormal ROC model provides the exemplar for investigation of the PROC curve, but potential application extends to analysis based on other distributional models as well as to empirical analysis.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Niklas von Spreckelsen ◽  
Natalie Waldt ◽  
Marco Timmer ◽  
Lukas Goertz ◽  
David Reinecke ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose: Meningioma is the most common primary brain tumor in adults. In recent years, several non-NF2 mutations, i.e. AKT1, SMO, TRAF7, and KLF4 mutations, specific for meningioma have been identified. This study aims to analyze the clinical impact and imaging characteristics of the KLF4K409Q mutation in meningioma. Methods: Clinical, neuropathological, and imaging data of 170 patients who underwent meningioma resection between 2013 and 2018 were retrospectively collected and tumors were analyzed for the presence of the KLF4K409Q mutation. We collected imaging characteristics, performed semiautomatic volumetric analysis of tumor size and peritumoral edema (PTBE), and calculated the edema index (EI, i.e. ratio of PTBE to tumor volume). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to identify cut-off EI values to predict the mutational status of KLF4.Results: Eighteen (10.6%) of the meningiomas carried the KLF4K409Qmutation; these were significantly associated with a secretory subtype (p<0.001) and sphenoid wing location (p=0.029). Small tumor size (p=0.007), an increased PTBE (p=0.012), and an increased EI (p=0.001) proved to be significantly associated with the KLF4K409Q mutation. In receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, EI predicted the KLF4K409Q mutation with an AUC of 0.728 (p=0.0016). Conclusion: The KLF4K409Q mutation is associated with a distinct small tumor subtype, prone to substantial PTBE. EI is a reliable parameter to predict the KLF4K409Q mutation in meningioma, thus providing a tool for improvement of pre- and perioperative medical management.


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