scholarly journals Solar and Wind Power Forecasting with Optimal ARIMA Parameters

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (1.8) ◽  
pp. 201
Author(s):  
M Veda Swaroop ◽  
P Linga Reddy

The solar and wind renewable energy sources are gaining popularity to encourage green energy into the power system. The cost of generation of solar and wind energy sources are decreasing and competing with conventional coal-based generation. Therefore, it is very important to integrate these renewable sources into the power system. Integrating Solar and wind energy sources require to solve the uncertainty problem. Both the solar and wind energy generation is uncertain and not controllable. In this paper, sliding window optimal ARIMA forecasting algorithm is proposed to solve the uncertainty associated with solar and wind sources. The proposed forecasting method is used on the data collected from National Renewable Energy Laboratory website.  

2021 ◽  
Vol 2096 (1) ◽  
pp. 012133
Author(s):  
V Chelukhin ◽  
A Vasiliev ◽  
Pyae Zone Aung

Abstract Recently, more and more attention is paid to renewable energy. Recently, green energy or renewable energy is increasingly beginning to squeeze traditional energy based on the combustion of fossil fuels: coal, oil, and so on. Basically, the development of renewable energy sources comes from wind energy and solar energy. However, as recent situations in Germany, the United States and others have shown, wind energy has its drawbacks. This is, first of all, the instability of the power supply, as well as the difficulty of converting variable wind energy into direct alternating current for industrial use. Solar energy also has its drawbacks. This is the need for large areas, the need for just such sunny areas and the cleaning of solar panels from snow, dust and other precipitation. Today, there is a search for renewable energy sources in all directions, the most insignificant options are being considered, such as, for example, at the junction of fresh water, salt water, some kind of energy is released. The paper considers a method of obtaining energy using the temperature difference between day and night. At any point in the world, the temperature is always higher during the day, and always lower at night. This so-called temperature drop can be from 3 to 12.15 and more degrees, for example, in Urengoy in winter it can reach 60 degrees. It’s the same on the planets: on the moon, especially on Mars. There, the temperature difference between day and night is about 60-80 degrees, since Mars has no atmosphere.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 30-33
Author(s):  
Orisa F. Ebube ◽  
Etim E. Akan

The increasing demand for energy threatens the earth with climate change due to emission of greenhouse gases from the burning of fossil fuels. This has been the major driver for green energy. Renewable energy has the potential to reduce the negative effects of energy production on the environment at a global scale. However, the technology to harness the energy from renewable sources have only been well developed for the electricity market. Expanding the scope to supply other markets and sectors would lead to increase in demand on rare earth minerals which will reciprocally create negative environmental and socio-economic impacts.  In order to mitigate such impacts, strong regulatory policies will be required to control different aspects of renewable energy sources, the scale of production and footprint on the environment. Recycling renewable energy technology is a step in the right direction. However, the cost of recycling is found to be 5 times the cost of mining. This would affect the price of energy generated from renewable energy sources on a long run. A shift from fossil fuel would imply at least 20 trillion dollars in stranded assets which would trigger a financial collapse. This collapse would possibly lead to the complete loss of the oil, gas and coal industries, power producers, insurance companies and banks that hold loans for these industries.


Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 373 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehdi Bagheri ◽  
Venera Nurmanova ◽  
Oveis Abedinia ◽  
Mohammad Salay Naderi ◽  
Noradin Ghadimi ◽  
...  

In this study, the influence of using acid batteries as part of green energy sources, such as wind and solar electric power generators, is investigated. First, the power system is simulated in the presence of a lead–acid battery, with an independent solar system and wind power generator. In the next step, in order to estimate the output power of the solar and wind resources, a novel forecast model is proposed. Then, the forecasting task is carried out considering the conditions related to the state of charge (SOC) of the batteries. The optimization algorithm used in this model is honey bee mating optimization (HBMO), which operates based on selecting the best candidates and optimization of the prediction problem. Using this algorithm, the SOC of the batteries will be in an appropriate range, and the number of on-or-off switching’s of the wind turbines and photovoltaic (PV) modules will be reduced. In the proposed method, the appropriate capacity for the SOC of the batteries is chosen, and the number of battery on/off switches connected to the renewable energy sources is reduced. Finally, in order to validate the proposed method, the results are compared with several other methods.


Green ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdeen Mustafa Omer

AbstractSudan is an agricultural country with fertile soil and ample water resources, as well as livestock and forestry resources, and agricultural residues. Energy is one of the key factors in the development of Sudan's national economy. We present an overview of the energy situation in Sudan, with reference to its end uses and its regional distribution. We separate energy sources into two main types: conventional energy (biomass, petroleum products, and electricity) and non-conventional energy (solar power, wind energy, hydro-electric, etc.). Sudan has a relatively high abundance of sunshine and solar radiation, and has moderate biomass, hydro-electric and wind energy resources. Exploiting the available new and renewable energy sources to provide part of the local energy demand, as alternatives to conventional fossil energy, has become a major issue in Sudan's strategic planning of future energy policies. Sudan presents an important case study with respect to renewable energy, as it has a long history of meeting its energy needs by use of renewable sources; Sudan's portfolio is broad and diverse, due in part to the country's wide range of climates and landscapes. Like many African frontrunners in the utilisation of renewable energy, Sudan has a well-defined commitment to continue research, development, and implementation of new technologies. Sustainable low-carbon energy scenarios in the new century emphasize the importance of exploiting the untapped potential of renewable resources. Sudan's rural areas in particular, can benefit from this transition. The increased availability of reliable and efficient energy services will stimulate the development of new alternatives. We conclude that using renewable, environmentally friendly energy must be encouraged, promoted, implemented, and demonstrated by full-scale energy plants or collection devices, in particular for use in remote rural areas.


Sources of energy for conventional power generation are limited and depleting ceaselessly owing to rising demand of power because of the social modernization, rising industrial growth, quick rate of infrastructure development and also technological innovation. Several developed countries have started the employment of renewable energy sources considerably to attenuate the greenhouse gases effects within the atmosphere and harmful emission. The rising demand of the power without any harmful and damaging issue, forces the eye of researchers towards renewable sources (like wind and solar) of energy. Therefore, it's minimum impact on the atmosphere. Renewable Energy sources are becoming the key contributors in the present society due to the increasing cost of oil products and decrease in the price of RES. By using natural resources energy sources like Solar and wind are providing green energy. Renewable Energy penetration is increasing worldwide day by day. Renewable power generation will introduce noticeable power quality challenges when integrated to power grid. From the aspect of RES, renewable energy generation is intermittent and non-dispatchable because of varied nature of RES. The most common PQ challenges on RE integration are frequency and voltage fluctuations in the power system caused by noncontrollable atmospheric condition and Harmonics that are introduced because of power electronic converters used in RE power generation. This paper presents an intensive literature review, conducted on emerging PQ issues owing to Solar and Wind energy systems integration and existing mitigation methods.


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