IS CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP SPREAD A LEADING INDICATOR OF BANK DEFAULT RISK : Evidence of Indian banks during the COVID -19 Pandemic

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Vikas Srivastava
Keyword(s):  
Default Risk ◽  
Credit Default Swap ◽  
Leading Indicator ◽  
Credit Default ◽  
Default Swap ◽  
Credit Default Swap Spread ◽  
Indian Banks

scholarly journals What Drives the Commonality between Credit Default Swap Spread Changes?

2017 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
pp. 243-275 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mike Anderson
Keyword(s):  
Default Risk ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Credit Default Swap ◽  
Counterparty Risk ◽  
Credit Default ◽  
Default Swap ◽  
Credit Default Swap Spread ◽  
Fundamental Values

This paper documents an increase in the comovement between credit default swap (CDS) spread changes during the 2007–2009 crisis and investigates the source of that increase. One possible explanation is that comovement increased because fundamental values became more correlated. However, I find that changes in fundamentals account for only 23% of the increase in covariance. The remaining increase is attributed to changes in liquidity and the market price of default risk. In contrast, counterparty risk played an insignificant role. Although both contributed, the increase in covariance was driven more by variation in exposures than factor variance–covariance.

scholarly journals The Determinants of Credit Default Swap Premia

2009 ◽  
Vol 44 (1) ◽  
pp. 109-132 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Ericsson ◽  
Kris Jacobs ◽  
Rodolfo Oviedo
Keyword(s):  
Default Risk ◽  
Common Factor ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Empirical Work ◽  
Credit Default Swap ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Corporate Bond ◽  
Credit Default ◽  
Default Swap ◽  
Swap Spreads

AbstractVariables that in theory determine credit spreads have limited explanatory power in existing empirical work on corporate bond data. We investigate the linear relationship between theoretical determinants of default risk and default swap spreads. We find that estimated coefficients for a minimal set of theoretical determinants of default risk are consistent with theory and are significant statistically and economically. Volatility and leverage have substantial explanatory power in univariate and multivariate regressions. A principal component analysis of residuals and spreads indicates limited evidence for a residual common factor, confirming that the theoretical variables explain a significant amount of the variation in the data.

Credit default swap spread and succession events

2007 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 450-463
Author(s):  
Halit Gonenc ◽  
Floris Schorer ◽  
Willem P.F. Appel
Keyword(s):  
Credit Default Swap ◽  
Credit Default ◽  
Default Swap ◽  
Credit Default Swap Spread ◽  
Succession Events

scholarly journals The Impact of Earnings on the Pricing of Credit Default Swaps

2009 ◽  
Vol 84 (5) ◽  
pp. 1363-1394 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffrey L. Callen ◽  
Joshua Livnat ◽  
Dan Segal
Keyword(s):  
Default Risk ◽  
Credit Default Swap ◽  
Credit Default Swaps ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Earnings Surprises ◽  
Credit Default ◽  
Percent Increase ◽  
Default Swap ◽  
Highly Correlated ◽  
The Impact

ABSTRACT: This study evaluates the impact of earnings on credit risk in the Credit Default Swap (CDS) market using levels, changes, and event study analyses. We find that earnings (cash flows, accruals) of reference firms are negatively and significantly correlated with the level of CDS premia, consistent with earnings (cash flows, accruals) conveying information about default risk. Based on the changes analysis, a 1 percent increase in ROA decreases CDS rates significantly by about 5 percent. We also find that (1) CDS premia are more highly correlated with below-median earnings than with above-median earnings and (2) CDS premia are more highly correlated with earnings of low-rated firms than with earnings of high-rated firms. Evidence indicates further that short-window earnings surprises are negatively and significantly correlated with CDS premia changes in the three-day window surrounding the preliminary earnings announcement, although the impact is concentrated in the shorter maturities.

Eurozone Crisis and Banks’ Creditworthiness: What is New for Credit Default Swap Spread Determinants?

2020 ◽  
pp. 097215091988617
Author(s):  
Alessandra Ortolano ◽  
Eliana Angelini
Keyword(s):  
Banking Sector ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Credit Default Swap ◽  
Generalized Least Squares ◽  
Additional Contribution ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Credit Default ◽  
Default Swap ◽  
Credit Default Swap Spread

The article analyses banks’ credit default swap (CDS) spread determinants, in light of the Eurozone debt crisis. The attention to this aspect is due to the very linkage between banking and sovereign sectors particularly evident during the aforementioned crisis. The study is conducted on a sample of Eurozone banks over the period 2009–2014 through a feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) linear panel data regression. The variables adopted are both balance sheet ratios and macroeconomic factors. The main results confirm the attention pointed at the influence of public conditions to the banking sector, as proved by the significance of variables like the 10-year bond yields or the long-term sovereign rating. It is also interesting to observe the output dealing with public debt, which may suggest opportunities not only of investment but also of speculation for banks on the debt itself. Balance sheet ratios, instead, are not significant. Our study is an additional contribution to the strand of literature that analyses the strong interconnections between the riskiness of banks and the public sector and it is a suggestion to proceed the research with a deeper analysis on systemic risk and its impact on banking CDS spread.

scholarly journals Pricing Financial Derivatives Subject to Multilateral Credit Risk and Collateralization

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Default Risk ◽  
Credit Default Swap ◽  
Financial Derivatives ◽  
Counterparty Risk ◽  
Financial Contracts ◽  
Credit Default ◽  
Default Swap

This article presents a new model for valuing financial contracts subject to credit risk and collateralization. Examples include the valuation of a credit default swap (CDS) contract that is affected by the trilateral credit risk of the buyer, seller and reference entity. We show that default dependency has a significant impact on asset pricing. In fact, correlated default risk is one of the most pervasive threats in financial markets. We also show that a fully collateralized CDS is not equivalent to a risk-free one. In other words, full collateralization cannot eliminate counterparty risk completely in the CDS market.

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