scholarly journals EXPLANATORY NOTE / NOTE EXPLICATIVE

1992 ◽  
pp. X-XIII
Keyword(s):  
Explanatory Note

Formal and Informal Aspects of Forecasting With an Econometric Model

1977 ◽  
Vol 81 ◽  
pp. 67-71 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.J.C. Surrey ◽  
P.A. Ormerod
Keyword(s):  
Econometric Model ◽  
Formal Model ◽  
Economic Forecast ◽  
Forecast Period ◽  
The Past ◽  
Explanatory Note ◽  
The Way

The construction of an economic forecast involves a blend of the use of a set of formal equations summarising to the best of the model-builders' ability the dominant characteristics of the past behaviour of the economy, together with a complex set of judgements about the way in which these equations have recently behaved and are likely to behave over the forecast period. We, in common with other forecasters, have published papers about the characteristics of our formal model and about particular equations, but little about the rather flexible way in which the model is actually used to produce a forecast. This Note is an attempt to redress the balance somewhat. It is also intended as an explanatory note to the table of residual adjustments which, beginning with this issue of the Review (see p. 19), we intend to publish regularly as part of the background to our quarterly forecasts.

"THE WHOLE KABARDA WILL GREET THIS ACT WITH A SENSE OF GREAT MORAL SATISFACTION...". ARTICLE OF G. BAYEV "ABOUT JOINING OF MINOR KABARDA TO THE GREAT KABARDA

Kavkazologiya ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 86-107
Author(s):  
D.N. PRASOLOV ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Deep Understanding ◽  
Cultural Development ◽  
Information Support ◽  
The Public ◽  
Economic Problems ◽  
Explanatory Note ◽  
History Of ◽  
Economic Modernization ◽  
Detailed Work

In publicist writings of G. Bayev were reflected many issues of socio-cultural development of the peoples of the Terek region in the second half of XIX – early XX centuries. Considerable attention Ossetian public figure paid to social and economic problems of peoples of Nalchik district. In particular they were treated in a context of functioning of their self-government – Congress of entrusted of the Great and Minor Kabarda and Five mountain societies. In January 1905, nine villages of Minor Kabarda concluded with G. Bayev an agreement to represent their interests in the petition to restore the unity of Great and Minor Kabarda within the Nalchik district. In the course of fulfilling of this task G. Bayev prepared an explanatory note and organised its information support. The basic positions of the petition's substantiation were stated in the article published in several issues of "Pyatigorskiy listok" at the beginning of June 1905. By its substantive qualities the material represented a detailed work on the history of the public self-government of Kabardians in the genre of zemstvo journalism. G. Bayev's systematic characterization of cultural and historical preconditions and administrative expediency of reunion of Great and Minor Kabarda convincingly testified to a deep understanding of socially significant tasks and the ways of their achievement necessary for socio-political and economic modernization of the territory. The result of his petition was the order of the viceroy of Caucasus I.I. Vorontsov-Dashkov of August 24, 1905 to incorporate the villages of Minor Kabarda to the Nalchik okrug. The publication of G. Bayev's article introduces into scientific circulation an informative source testifying to the formation of constructive skills of socio-state interaction in political culture of peoples of Terskaya oblast’ initiated by representatives of national intelligentsia of the region.

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