Vote Transfers, Thwarted Voters and Newcomers in the 2009 Presidential Runoff in Romania

Abstract This article investigates the role of thwarted voters and newcomers in setting the result of the December 6th, 2009 presidential runoff in Romania. For this purpose it employs panel survey data from the Romanian Election Studies, collected across three waves: pre-election, between the two rounds, post-election. Initially, it draws a picture of the main evolutions in turnout and vote between the first and the second round, with a special emphasis on vote transfers and risks associated to turnout and pro-winner overreporting. Then it analyzes the thwarted voters and their rationalities of making second-order electoral choices in the presidential runoff. The influence of campaign developments and long-term party/candidate preferences is assessed. Finally, the article investigates the profile of newcomers (people only voting in the runoff) and the mechanisms of political mobilisation in their case. A special attention is given to how newcomers make the electoral choice in the presidential runoff and to the influence of the campaign developments on that choice.

Download Full-text

Fueling civil disobedience in democracy: WhatsApp news use, political knowledge, and illegal political protest

New Media & Society ◽

10.1177/14614448211047850 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 146144482110478

Author(s):

Homero Gil de Zúñiga ◽

Manuel Goyanes

Keyword(s):

Social Media ◽

Survey Data ◽

Civil Disobedience ◽

Political Knowledge ◽

Political Protest ◽

Panel Survey ◽

Negatively Associated ◽

Panel Survey Data ◽

News Use

Prior scholarship has consistently shown that informed citizens tend to better understand government actions, expectations, and priorities, potentially mitigating radicalism such as partaking in illegal protest. However, the role of social media may prove this relationship to be challenging, with an increasingly pervasive use of applications such as WhatsApp for information and mobilization. Findings from a two-wave US panel survey data show that WhatsApp news is negatively associated to political knowledge and positively associated to illegal protest. Less politically knowledgeable citizens also tend to engage in illegal protest more frequently. Results also suggest an influential role of political knowledge in mediating the effects of WhatsApp news over illegal protests. Those who consume more news on WhatsApp tend to know less about politics which, in turn, positively relates to unlawful political protest activities. This study suggests that WhatsApp affordances provide fertile paths to nurture illegal political protest participation.

Download Full-text

An Evaluation of Adherence Using Panel Survey Data From Patients With Multiple Sclerosis Treated With Subcutaneous Interferon β-1a or Dimethyl Fumarate

10.26226/morressier.59a3edacd462b8028d895802 ◽

2017 ◽

Author(s):

Amy Perrin Ross

Keyword(s):

Multiple Sclerosis ◽

Survey Data ◽

Dimethyl Fumarate ◽

Panel Survey ◽

Interferon Β ◽

Panel Survey Data

Download Full-text

TV Debates in Media Contexts: How and When Do TV Debates Have an Effect on Learning Processes?

10.1093/oso/9780198792130.003.0004 ◽

2017 ◽

Author(s):

Aiko Wagner ◽

Elena Werner

Keyword(s):

Survey Data ◽

Learning Effect ◽

Political Knowledge ◽

Learning Processes ◽

Media Content ◽

Panel Survey ◽

Opposition Party ◽

Content Analyses ◽

The Media ◽

Panel Survey Data

This chapter examines the effect of TV debates on political knowledge conditioned by the media context. We argue that TV debates take place in a wider media context and the extent of citizens’ learning processes about issue positions depends also on the informational context in general. We test four hypotheses: while the first three hypotheses concern the conditional impact of media issue coverage and debate content, the last hypothesis addresses the differences between incumbent and challenger. Using media content analyses and panel survey data, our results confirm the hypotheses that (1) when an issue is addressed in a TV debate, viewers tend to develop a perception of the parties’ positions on this issue, but (2) only if this issue has not been addressed extensively in the media beforehand. This learning effect about parties’ positions is bigger for the opposition party.

Download Full-text

A general approach for estimating scale score reliability for panel survey data.

Psychological Methods ◽

10.1037/a0016618 ◽

2009 ◽

Vol 14 (4) ◽

pp. 400-412 ◽

Cited By ~ 15

Author(s):

Paul P. Biemer ◽

Sharon L. Christ ◽

Christopher A. Wiesen

Keyword(s):

Survey Data ◽

Scale Score ◽

Panel Survey ◽

Score Reliability ◽

Panel Survey Data

Download Full-text

Viewing presidential televised debates and civic engagement in Korea

International Area Studies Review ◽

10.1177/2233865917726438 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 20 (4) ◽

pp. 334-348

Author(s):

Hansoo Lee ◽

Jae-Mook Lee

Keyword(s):

Civic Engagement ◽

Survey Data ◽

Presidential Election ◽

Political Engagement ◽

Panel Survey ◽

Political Issues ◽

Panel Survey Data ◽

Search For Information ◽

Televised Debates

This study examines the effects of viewing televised debates on political engagement. Voters consume information while viewing television debates, which can affect political engagement in a positive manner. Examining the effects of debates on political engagement, we analyze panel survey data from the 2012 Korean presidential election. According to the results, voters who view more televised debates are more likely to search for information and discuss political issues with others. The results provide evidence that viewing televised debates tends to enhance civic engagement.

Download Full-text