scholarly journals Mortgage volume and macroeconomic factors: Evidence from Turkey

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 1504-1520
Author(s):  
Tuğba Güneş ◽  
Ayşen Apaydın
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
House Prices ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Mortgage Loan ◽  
Response Analysis ◽  
Mortgage Loans ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Mortgage Interest ◽  
Mortgage Interest Rates ◽  
Turkish Lira

This paper investigates the impacts of several macroeconomic variables on Turkey's volume of mortgage loans. Johansen cointegration test, vector error correction model, Granger causality tests, variance decomposition, and impulse-response analysis is employed for the econometric analysis to show short and long-run relationships between the variables using time series monthly data from January 2010 to March 2020. Paper results demonstrate that growth of housing credit size negatively correlates with mortgage interest rates, US Dollar/Turkish Lira exchange rate and level of real estate supply. At the same time, there is a positive correlation with house prices. Causal relationships between mortgage volume and macroeconomic indicators are bidirectional for all variables, except for mortgage interest rates. There is a one-way causality relationship from mortgage rates to mortgage loan volume. Econometric analyses show that the recent steep depreciation in the Turkish Lira hurts the Turkish mortgage market. In conclusion, a stable economic environment is essential to build a robust mortgage market.

scholarly journals DETERMINANTS OF MORTGAGE LOAN REPAYMENT IN GHANA

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 75-89
Author(s):  
Justice Agyei Ampofo ◽  
Isaac Mantey
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Low Income ◽  
Occupational Status ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Mortgage Loan ◽  
Primary Data ◽  
Mortgage Loans ◽  
Loan Repayment ◽  
Mortgage Industry ◽  
The Government

The housing deficit in Ghana is an issue of concern for all. This study sought to analyse the determinants of the repayment of mortgage loans in Ghana. The study used both secondary and primary data. The mixed-method approach was used for the study. The data collection instruments were interviews, focus group discussions and questionnaires. The study revealed that socio-demographic characteristics of respondents, sex distribution of respondents, educational level of respondents, marital status of respondents, occupational status of respondents, household size of respondents, the income of respondents are some of the factors that affect the repayment of mortgage loans in Ghana. The study revealed that borrowers who earned higher income had a better repayment performance as compared to low income earning borrowers. In addition, higher household sizes have lower repayment capacity and lower household sizes have higher repayment capacity. The study recommends that the government of Ghana should institute state bodies responsible for providing liquidity to mortgages and mortgage properties and buying mortgages during periods of rising interest rates is a way of creating a secondary mortgage market for the Ghanaian mortgage industry. Keywords:  Determinants, Mortgage, Repayment, Ghana.

Deed Types, House Prices and Mortgage Interest Rates

2008 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 587-610 ◽  
Author(s):  
David M. Brasington ◽  
Robert F. Sarama
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
House Prices ◽  
Mortgage Interest ◽  
Mortgage Interest Rates

scholarly journals The Covid-19 Effect on Security Mortgage Valuation

2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-26
Author(s):  
Giovanna Di Lorenzo ◽  
◽  
Massimiliano Politano ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
House Prices ◽  
Gompertz Model ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Elderly Persons ◽  
Home Equity ◽  
Reverse Mortgage ◽  
Mortgage Loans ◽  
Alternative Source ◽  
Cir Process

The reverse mortgage market has been expanding rapidly in developed economies in recent years. Reverse mortgages provide an alternative source of funding for retirement income and health care costs. We often hear the phrase “house rich and cash poor” to refer the increasing number of elderly persons who hold a substantial proportion of their assets in home equity. Reverse mortgage contracts involve a range of risks from the insurer’s perspective. When the outstanding balance exceeds the housing value before the loan is settled, the insurer suffers an exposure to crossover risk induced by three risk factors: interest rates, house prices, and mortality rates. In this context, Covid-19 has occurred and the insurer is faced with this additional source of risk. We analyse the combined impact of these risks on the pricing and the risk profile of reverse mortgage loans. We consider a CIR process for the evolution of the interest rate, a Black & Scholes model for the dynamics of house prices and the Gompertz model for the trend in mortality Our results show that the decrease in the mortality curve due to Covid exposes the insurer to higher risks once the shock is reabsorbed. The risk is higher the higher the age of entry. Only a significant reduction of the shock adjustment coefficient will return the situation to normality.

scholarly journals HOUSE PRICES, RENTAL COSTS, AND MORTGAGE INTEREST RATES

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Che-Chun Lin ◽  
I-Chun Tsai
Keyword(s):  
Los Angeles ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
House Prices ◽  
The United States ◽  
Housing Tenure ◽  
Tenure Choice ◽  
User Cost ◽  
Mortgage Interest ◽  
Housing Tenure Choice ◽  
Mortgage Interest Rates

Studies have typically adopted the price-rent ratio to determine whether housing exuberance exists and the periods of imbalance between house prices and rental costs. Using the price-rent ratio to conduct tests without considering the effects of mortgage interest rates on user costs may overestimate episodes of exuberance. This study uses data of the overall housing market and those of 10 major metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) in the United States from 1979Q1 to 2018Q1 to evaluate whether housing exuberance exists in the markets; the results indicate that all the MSAs experienced episodes of exuberance at different times and the overall housing U.S. market was overheated from 1998Q2 to 2007Q3. By considering mortgage rates and using the user-cost-rent ratio, we further determine that short-term housing exuberance emerged in only two MSAs, Los Angeles and Miami, in 2006Q2, which was followed by immediate corrections. Thus, the research results of this study signify that only use the price-rent ratio to determine whether or not rational housing tenure choice made by traders exists is not sufficient. This study provides evidence showing that the method incorporating mortgage interest rates tends to obtain an equilibrium relationship between the rental and housing markets, indicating interest rates play an important role in housing tenure choice.

scholarly journals Housing Wealth or Collateral: How Home Value Shocks Drive Home Equity Extraction and Spending

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Henrik Yde Andersen ◽  
Søren Leth-Petersen
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Housing Wealth ◽  
Home Equity ◽  
Fixed Rate ◽  
Mortgage Loans ◽  
Mortgage Debt ◽  
Individual Level ◽  
Home Value ◽  
Home Values

Abstract We examine whether unanticipated changes in home values drive spending and mortgage-based equity extraction. To do this, we use longitudinal survey data with subjective information about current and expected future home values to calculate unanticipated home value changes. We link this information at the individual level to high quality administrative records containing information about mortgage borrowing as well as savings in various financial instruments. We find that the marginal propensity to increase mortgage debt is 3%–5% of unanticipated home value gains. We find no adjustment to other components of the portfolio, and we find that mortgage extraction leads to an increase in spending. The effect is driven by young households with high loan-to-value ratios, which is consistent with the effect being driven by collateral constraints. Further, we find that the effect is driven by home owners who actively take out a new mortgage. The price effect is magnified among fixed rate mortgage (FRM) borrowers who have an incentive to refinance their loans to lock in a lower market rate. These results point to the importance of the mortgage market in transforming price increases into spending and suggest that monetary policy can play an important role in transforming housing wealth gains into spending by affecting interest rates on mortgage loans.

Forecast and Development Prospects of the Russian Mortgage Market

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 57-66
Author(s):  
D. Stepanova ◽  
D. Mironova
Keyword(s):  
Factor Analysis ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Market Analysis ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Mortgage Loans ◽  
Current State ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
Further Development ◽  
Development Prospects ◽  
Credit Institutions

The study discusses the current state of the mortgage market in Russia, identifies its main trends and trends of further development based on the results of market analysis for 2018-2020. The dynamics of the volume of issued housing mortgage loans in Russia as a whole and in the context of federal districts, the dynamics of interest rates for various types of mortgages are presented, the trend of reduction of credit institutions providing mortgage loans is analyzed, and the rating of Russian banks in terms of the volume of mortgage loans is presented. A factor analysis of the volume dynamics of housing mortgage loans is carried out, and the preconditions for the growth of the Russian mortgage market are identified.

Racial Discrepancy in Mortgage Interest Rates

2014 ◽  
Vol 51 (1) ◽  
pp. 101-120 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ping Cheng ◽  
Zhenguo Lin ◽  
Yingchun Liu
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Mortgage Interest ◽  
Mortgage Interest Rates
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