An Alternative Approach for Presenting the Return/Risk-Profile of the Real Estate Market, due to Difficulties in Constructing Long Term Total Return Benchmark Indices

2005 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guo Jianhua ◽  
Long Huidian

As two important constituents of China’s macro economy, there are a variety of relationships among China’s stock market, real estate market and its macro economy. In order to investigate these relationships, in this paper, especially with the Macroeconomic Boom Index reflecting China’s macro economy, we use cointegration theory and Granger analysis to demonstrate that there are long-term equilibrium relationship and bidirectional causality between the macro economy and the securities business, also between the macro economy and the real estate market, however, this kind of long-term Equilibrium relationship and bidirectional causality appears very weak.


2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 101-113
Author(s):  
Mirosław Bełej ◽  
Sławomir Kulesza

Abstract Real estate market can be thought of as an open, dynamic system. It means that it is able to exchange stimuli with other open systems, and that its state evolves in a way that might be described mathematically. It turns out that two main processes contribute to the overall evolution of the real estate market: long-term, predictable evolution, interrupted by sharp changes of catastrophic origin. In this picture, national housing funds play an important role in supporting the housing finance: on one hand they could either stimulate or suppress the real estate market influencing the availability of the mortgage credit, but on the other hand, they could also help to stabilize prices. In this study, an attempt was made to determine the degree of relationship between the volume of mortgage financing from national housing funds and the dynamics of real estate prices.


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