Estimation of Monthly Probability of Conception based on Lindley Conditional Risk of Intercourse

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 109-119
2014 ◽  
Vol 57 (8) ◽  
pp. 1753-1764 ◽  
Author(s):  
TieXin Guo ◽  
ShiEn Zhao ◽  
XiaoLin Zeng

Asset Pricing ◽  
2003 ◽  
pp. 217-237 ◽  
Author(s):  
JIANPING (J.P.) MEI ◽  
JIAWEI HU

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (8) ◽  
Author(s):  
Cameron J Gettel ◽  
Arjun K Venkatesh ◽  
Linda S Leo-Summers ◽  
Terrence E Murphy ◽  
Evelyne A Gahbauer ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Hospitalizations for ambulatory care sensitive conditions (ACSCs) are considered potentially preventable. With little known about the functional outcomes of older persons after ACSC-related hospitalizations, our objectives were to describe: (1) the 6-month course of postdischarge functional disability, (2) the cumulative monthly probability of functional recovery, and (3) the cumulative monthly probability of incident nursing home (NH) admission. METHODS: The analytic sample included 251 ACSC-related hospitalizations from a cohort of 754 nondisabled, community-living persons aged 70 years and older who were interviewed monthly for up to 19 years. Patient-reported disability scores in basic, instrumental, and mobility activities ranged from 0 to 13. Functional recovery was defined as returning within 6 months of discharge to a total disability score less than or equal to that immediately preceding hospitalization. RESULTS: The mean age was 85.1 years, and the mean disability score was 5.4 in the month prior to the ACSC-related hospitalization. After the ACSC-related hospitalization, total disability scores peaked at month 1 and improved modestly over the next 5 months, but remained greater than the pre-hospitalization score. Functional recovery was achieved by 70% of patients, and incident NH admission was experienced by 50% within 6 months after the 251 ACSC-related hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: During the 6 months after an ACSC-related hospitalization, older persons exhibited total disability scores that were higher than those immediately preceding hospitalization, with 3 of 10 not achieving functional recovery and half experiencing incident NH admission. These findings provide evidence that older persons experience clinically meaningful adverse patient-reported outcomes after ACSC-related hospitalizations.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document