scholarly journals PENGARUH PARITAS DAYA BELI DAN PARITAS SUKU BUNGA, TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLLAR AMERIKA SERIKAT

IQTISHODUNA ◽  
2018 ◽  
pp. 55-70
Author(s):  
Robiatul Adhawiyah ◽  
Maretha Ika Prajawati ◽  
Rieza Firdian

The exchange rate will react against change of inflation and interest rate, at least there are three theories that explain the relationship between inflation, interest rate, and exchange rate, namely purchasing power parity, interest rate parity, and international fisher effect. The purpose of this study was to determine the influence of purchasing power parity, interest rate parity, and international fisher effect on the Rupiah exchange rate against US Dollar. The populations in this research included inflation time series data, nominal interest rate, real interest rate, and Rupiah exchange rate. The data used in is secondary data form the inflation report, nominal interest rate, real interest rate, and Rupiah exchange rate quarterly. The independent variable used purchasing power parity, interest rate parity, and international fisher effect,the dependent variable used the Rupiah exchange rate against US Dollar. The result of this study indicated that the purchasing power parity, interest rate parity simultaneously had a significant influence on the exchange rate of Rupiah/US Dollar.

2002 ◽  
Vol 05 (02) ◽  
pp. 195-218 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mao-Wei Hung ◽  
Yin-Ching Jan

This study is an attempt to examine whether the deviations of purchasing power parity and uncover interest rate parity Granger-cause the 1997 Asian financial crisis by using vector autoregression and Granger causality tests. The results show that the purchasing power parity and uncover interest rate parity do not hold for most Asian markets. We find weak evidence to support that the deviations of purchasing power parity and uncover interest rate parity have the power to explicate the origin of the financial crisis.


2011 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 62
Author(s):  
Russ Ray

This paper tests the contemporary currency futures market for interest-rate parity, purchasing-power parity, market efficiency, and hedging effectiveness. The study finds that the currency futures markets is a highly efficient, hedging-effective market exhibiting significant degrees of interest-rate parity and (longer-term) purchasing-power parity. Finally, the study infers from such findings some practicable policy tools for international cash management, multi-country capital budgeting, currency forecasting, and the risk management of foreign exchange exposure.


Author(s):  
Kofi A. Amoateng

This pedagogical paper demonstrates how “the Gut check approach” uses a made-simple technique for international corporate finance and economics students to forecast exchange rates using parity relationships. The “Gut-check approach” uses two simple steps. First, check out if the spot exchange rate is either direct or indirect. Second, review the parity relationships (purchasing power parity or interest rate parity) for the two currencies in question to find out which currency appreciate or depreciates. To this end, the paper provides historical review of the standard technique by many textbook authors. The “Amoateng Gut-check technique” yields similar but more precise foreign exchange rate forecasting results than the standard approach. Moreover, it provides international corporate finance and economics students who may not recognize foreign and home countries an easy way of exchange rate forecast.


Author(s):  
Bahram Adrangi ◽  
Mary Allender ◽  
Kambiz Raffiee

This paper tests the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory in a partial equilibrium framework. Statistical tests are employed to test the PPP theory for floating exchange rates of the Australian and Canadian dollars, Swiss frank and the British pound. The study period spans the fourth quarter of 1974 through the fourth quarter of 2006. The Johansen and Juselieus test of cointegration supports a long-run relationship between inflation and exchange rate predicted by the PPP theory only for the bilateral exchange rates of the pound and the Australian dollar. This evidence suggests that the PPP in its strict theoretical sense in the case of the bilateral exchange rate of the US dollar and Australian dollar is rejected but not for the case of the exchange rate of the pound and US dollar. However, the Granger causality test further supports the findings of the cointegration test. It shows that in the short-run, the money supply and GDP ratios Granger cause the movements of this exchange rate.


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