scholarly journals Regime Switching and Monetary Policy Measurement

Author(s):  
Michael T. Owyang ◽  
Garey Ramey

2004 ◽  
Vol 51 (8) ◽  
pp. 1577-1597 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael T. Owyang ◽  
Garey Ramey


2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 1069-1107 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fumio Hayashi ◽  
Junko Koeda

We propose an empirical framework for analyzing the macroeconomic effects of quantitative easing (QE) and apply it to Japan. The framework is a regime‐switching structural vector autoregression in which the monetary policy regime, chosen by the central bank responding to economic conditions, is endogenous and observable. QE is modeled as one of the regimes. The model incorporates an exit condition for terminating QE. We find that higher reserves at the effective lower bound raise inflation and output, and that terminating QE may be contractionary or expansionary, depending on the state of the economy at the point of exit.



2005 ◽  
Vol 37 (3) ◽  
pp. 307-326 ◽  
Author(s):  
Munehisa Kasuya


2010 ◽  
Vol 100 (1) ◽  
pp. 618-624 ◽  
Author(s):  
Troy Davig ◽  
Eric M Leeper

Farmer, Waggoner, and Zha (2009) (FWZ) show that a new Keynesian model with regime-switching monetary policy can support multiple solutions, appearing to contradict findings in Davig and Leeper (2007) (DL). The explanation is straightforward: FWZ derive solutions using a model that differs from the one to which the DL conditions apply. The FWZ solutions also require that the exogenous driving process is a function of private and policy parameters. This undermines the sharp distinctions among “deep parameters” typical of optimizing models and makes it difficult to ascribe economic interpretations to FWZ's additional solutions. (E12, E31, E43, E52)



2016 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 132-135
Author(s):  
Xu Zhang ◽  
Xiaoxing Liu ◽  
Jianqin Hang ◽  
Dengbao Yao


2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Takeshi Kimura ◽  
Jouchi Nakajima

AbstractThis paper proposes a new estimation framework for identifying monetary policy shocks in both conventional and unconventional policy regimes using a structural VAR model. Exploiting a latent threshold modeling strategy that induces time-varying shrinkage of the parameters, we explore a recursive identification switching with a time-varying overidentification for the interest rate zero lower bound. We empirically analyze Japan’s monetary policy to illustrate the proposed approach for modeling regime-switching between conventional and unconventional monetary policy periods, and find that the proposed model is preferred over a nested standard time-varying parameter VAR model. The estimation results show that increasing bank reserves lowers long-term interest rates in the unconventional policy periods, and that the impulse responses of inflation and the output gap to a bank reserve shock appear to be positive but highly uncertain.



2017 ◽  
Vol 32 ◽  
pp. 97-112 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ioannis Chatziantoniou ◽  
George Filis ◽  
Christos Floros


2012 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-59 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tingguo ZHENG ◽  
Xia WANG ◽  
Huiming GUO


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