Special Issue on Strong Ground Motion Prediction and Seismic Hazard Assessment

2013 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 847-847
Author(s):  
Hiroyuki Fujiwara
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Strong Ground Motion ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
Special Issue ◽  
Strong Ground Motion Prediction ◽  
Large Earthquakes ◽  
Strong Ground

We have been conducting seismic hazard assessment for Japan under the guidance of the Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion of Japan since the 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu Earthquake, and have made National Seismic Hazard Maps for Japan for use in estimating strong ground motion caused by future earthquakes. This special issue reviews the results of these efforts. Such work includes the development of seismic hazard assessment methodology for Japan, highly accurate prediction techniques for strong seismic ground motion and modeling underground structures for evaluating strong ground motion. Related research on utilization initiatives and risk assessment based on hazard information has also been conducted. An open Web system – the Japan Seismic Hazard Information Station (J-SHIS) – has even been developed to provide information interactively. The 2011 Mw9.0 Great East Japan Earthquake was the largest such event recorded in the history of Japan. This megathrust earthquake was not considered in National Seismic Hazard Maps for Japan. But efforts toward revising seismic hazard assessment in Japan are progressing based on lessons learned from this earthquake. Hazard assessment is currently being reviewed in relation to the large earthquakes anticipated to occur in the near future based in the Sagami Trough and the Nankai Trough in the waters of offshore Japan. This assessment, which considers earthquakes larger than those assumed to have occurred in the past, is being reviewed as of this writing. In light of these pressing circumstances, studies are now being implemented to evaluate the long-period ground motion accompanying these large earthquakes. The knowledge that has been cultivated in Japan in terms of seismic hazard assessment has reached a high level, and it is important to expand such knowledge both internationally and domestically. This is just one of the reasons that efforts here in Japan are being made to help improve the level of seismic hazard assessment in the Asian region and throughout the entire world. It is expected that this special issue will help contribute to the further development of strong ground motion prediction and seismic hazard assessment now and in the future. Finally, I extend our sincere thanks to all of the contributors and reviewers involved with these articles.

A BASIC INTRODUCTION TO QUANTITATIVE SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT

2007 ◽  
Vol 01 (02) ◽  
pp. 99-118 ◽  
Author(s):  
JEROEN TROMP
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Strong Ground Motion ◽  
Region Of Interest ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Engineering Models ◽  
Engineered Structures ◽  
End To End ◽  
Strong Ground

We provide an overview of some of the issues that need to be considered in the context of quantitative seismic hazard assessment. To begin with, one needs to inventory and characterize the major faults that could produce earthquakes that would impact the region of interest. Next, one needs a seismographic network that continually records ground motion throughout the region. Data from this network may be used to assess and locate seismicity, calibrate ground motion simulations, and to conduct seismic early-warning experiments. To assess the response of engineered structures to strong ground motion, seismographs should also be installed at various locations within such engineered structures, e.g., on bridges, overpasses, dams and in tall buildings. The ultimate goal would be to perform 'end-to-end' simulations, starting with the rupture on an earthquake fault, followed by the propagation of the resulting seismic waves from the fault to an engineered structure of interest, and concluding with an assessment of the response of this structure to the imposed ground motion. To facilitate accurate ground motion and end-to-end simulations, one needs to construct a detailed three-dimensional (3D) seismic model of the region of interest. In particular, one needs to assess the slowest shear-wave speeds within the sediments underlying the metropolitan area. Geological information, and, in particular, seismic reaction and refraction surveys are critical in this regard. In the context of end-to-end simulations, detailed numerical models of engineered structures of interest need to be constructed as well. Data recorded by the seismographic network and in engineered structures after small to moderate earthquakes may be used to assess and calibrate the seismic and engineering models based upon numerical simulations. Once the seismic and engineering models produce synthetic ground motion that match the observed ground motion reasonably well, one can perform simulations of hypothetical large earthquakes to assess anticipated strong ground motion and potential damage. Throughout this article we will use the Los Angeles and Taipei metropolitan areas as examples of how to approach quantitative seismic hazard assessment.

Seismic Hazard Assessment of Hengshui Area by the Modified Stochastic Finite Fault Modeling

2015 ◽  
Vol 744-746 ◽  
pp. 894-897
Author(s):  
Bo Yan Liu ◽  
Wen Hao Shen ◽  
Bao Ping Shi
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Strong Ground Motion ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Peak Ground Velocity ◽  
Finite Fault ◽  
Scenario Earthquakes ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Strong Ground

In recent years, numerical simulation of strong ground motion has been well developed with the progress of earthquake science, and it has become an important approach to estimate strong ground motion. In this research, we improve the original program of EXSIM and the modified program named MEXSIM to calculate the Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) and Peak Ground Velocity (PGV) which is essential for seismic hazard assessment of Hengshui area. Considering the impact of V30(the average shear-velocity down to 30 m) we calculate the impact of two scenario earthquakes from the rupture processes of Hengshui fault and Qianmotou fault. Comparing to Qianmotou scenario earthquake, if the instability fault is Hengshui fault, the PGA and PGV could be 200-360gal and 20-35cm/s respectively in Hengshui city.

scholarly journals Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment of Corsica-Sardinia block

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enrico Brandmayr ◽  
Franco Vaccari ◽  
Giuliano Francesco Panza
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Earthquake Ground Motion ◽  
Earthquake Catalog ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
Source Information ◽  
Deterministic Seismic Hazard ◽  
Seismogenic Nodes

AbstractThe Corsica-Sardinia lithospheric block is commonly considered as a region of very low seismicity and the scarce reported seismicity for the area has till now precluded the reliable assessment of its seismic hazard. The time-honored assumption has been recently questioned and the historical seismicity of Sardinia has been reevaluated. Even more, several seismogenic nodes capable of M5 + have been recognized in the Corsica-Sardinia block exploiting the morphostructural zonation technique, calibrated to earlier results obtained for the Iberian peninsula, which has structural lithospheric affinities with the Corsica-Sardinia block. All this allows now for the computation of reliable earthquake hazard maps at bedrock conditions exploiting the power of Neo Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA) evaluation. NDSHA relies upon the fundamental physics of wave generation and propagation in complex geologic structures and generates realistic time series from which several earthquake ground motion parameters can be readily extracted. NDSHA exploits in an optimized way all the available knowledge about lithospheric mechanical parameters, seismic history, seismogenic zones and nodes. In accordance with continuum mechanics, the tensor nature of earthquake ground motion is preserved computing realistic signals using structural models obtained by tomographic inversion and earthquake source information readily available in literature. The way to this approach has been open by studies focused on continental Italy and Sicily, where the agreement between hazard maps obtained using seismogenic zones, informed by earthquake catalog data, and the maps obtained using only seismogenic nodes are very good.

scholarly journals Strong ground motion prediction for southwestern China from small earthquake records

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (9) ◽  
pp. 5297-5323
Author(s):  
Z. R. Tao ◽  
X. X. Tao ◽  
A. P. Cui
Keyword(s):  
Ground Motion ◽  
Strong Ground Motion ◽  
Near Field ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Southwestern China ◽  
Small Earthquake ◽  
Earthquake Records ◽  
Strong Ground Motion Prediction ◽  
Ground Motion Records ◽  
Strong Ground

Abstract. For regions lack of strong ground motion records, a method is developed to predict strong ground motion by small earthquake records from local broadband digital earthquake networks. Sichuan and Yunnan regions, located in southwestern China, are selected as the targets. Five regional source and crustal medium parameters are inversed by micro-Genetic Algorithm. These parameters are adopted to predict strong ground motion for moment magnitude (Mw) 5.0, 6.0 and 7.0. Strong ground motion data are compared with the results, most of the result pass through ideally the data point plexus, except the case of Mw 7.0 in Sichuan region, which shows an obvious slow attenuation. For further application, this result is adopted in probability seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) and near-field strong ground motion synthesis of the Wenchuan Earthquake.

scholarly journals Evaluation of strong ground motion for Yogyakarta depression area, Indonesia

2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Myo Thant ◽  
Subagyo Pramumijoyo ◽  
Heru Hendrayana ◽  
Hiroshi Kawase ◽  
Agus Darmawan Adi
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Peak Ground Acceleration ◽  
Strong Ground Motion ◽  
Seismic Source ◽  
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Seismic Hazard Maps ◽  
Strong Ground

The probabilistic seismic hazard maps are developed for Yogyakarta depression area. The earthquake catalog of ANSS (1970-2007) is taken into account with the complement of NEIC (USGS, 1973-2007) and the records of BMG (2000-2004). On the basis of seismicity of the area, tectonics and geological information, the seismic source zones are characterized for this area. The seismicity parameters of each seismic source are determined by applying the classical Gutenberg-Richter recurrence model, regarding the historical records. The attenuation relation for Yogyakarta depression area cannot be evaluated since the sufficient strong ground motion records are not available for this region. Therefore the attenuation relations which were developed for other territories as Europe and Japan are used for the present hazard calculation by validating, using the aftershocks records, modeling the peak ground acceleration maps for the recent event, 27 May, 2006, Yogyakarta earthquake inserting the damage area distribution pattern. The probabilistic seismic hazard maps are finally developed by using the McGuire (1976) EQRISK computer program by modifying for the present purpose. The seismic hazard maps expressed in term of peak ground acceleration are developed for the recurrence intervals of 10, 50, 100, 200 and 500 years

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