Extreme Surge Heights Incorporating Long-term Tidal Variation and Sea-level Rise

2020 ◽  
Vol 95 (sp1) ◽  
pp. 1542
Author(s):  
Seung-Won Suh ◽  
Hyeon-Jeong Kim
2020 ◽  
Vol 191 ◽  
pp. 103212 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bing Yuan ◽  
Jian Sun ◽  
Binliang Lin ◽  
Fanyi Zhang

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bing Yuan ◽  
Jian Sun ◽  
Binliang Lin ◽  
Fanyi Zhang

<p>Globally the riverine sediment supply to estuaries is decreasing and the mean sea level is rising, while the effects of these changes on the long-term estuarine morphodynamics have not been fully investigated. An idealized numerical model was used to explore the long-term morphodynamics of a large estuary subject to these changes. In the model, a funnel-shaped channel with fixed banks, constant riverine water and sediment fluxes, a single grain size and a semi-diurnal tide were used. A range of values of changes in the sediment supply (50-90% reduction) and sea level (1-5~mm/yr increase) were considered. Starting from an equilibrium state for an initial sediment supply, the estuary shifts to a new equilibrium for the considered changes on a timescale of millennia. Half of the bed level change occurs within several hundreds of years. A larger decrease in the sediment supply leads to a stronger bed erosion, while the corresponding adjustment time has minor changes in its range for the considered settings. When combined with sea level rise, the erosion is weakened and the adjustment time is shortened. The equilibrium state under sea level rise is characterized by a bed level keeping pace with the sea level and a significant amount of sediment being trapped in the estuary. Additional numerical experiments that use more realistic geometry and forcing of the Yangtze Estuary show that overall erosion of the estuary is expected for centuries.</p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 124 (12) ◽  
pp. 9235-9257 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryan P. Mulligan ◽  
David J. Mallinson ◽  
Gregory J. Clunies ◽  
Alexander Rey ◽  
Stephen J. Culver ◽  
...  

2013 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 585-594 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Delgado ◽  
P. F. Hensel ◽  
C. W. Swarth ◽  
M. Ceroni ◽  
R. Boumans

Author(s):  
Masayuki Banno ◽  
Yoshiaki Kuriyama

depend on the accurate knowledge of the beach response to sea level regime on multi-time scale. For the long-term beach response, Bruun (1962) suggested that the equilibrium beach profile would move to new equilibrium profile in response to a rising sea level. In this concept called as Bruun rule, the upper part of the beach profile is eroded due to the sea level rise, resulting in the shoreline retreat. It is widely used for the future shoreline prediction. However, the Bruun rule predicts just only the final beach state with a constant wave impinging for an infinite period after sea level rise. On the other hand, simultaneous function of wave and sea level is more important on interannual to decadal-scale beach response. El niño in 2015 and 2016 increased wave energy and sea level, corresponding to large beach erosion across the US west coast (Barnard et al., 2017). Sea level influences the response sensitivity to the wave forcing as a subordinate factor on the morphological change. High water level anomalies made the beach more eroded even if the wave condition was equal. Beach morphology in the swash zone often changes on a 1-year cycle due to seasonal wave conditions. The effect of sea level on the annual cyclic beach morphology in swash zone is still unclear because long-term beach observation data required for the analysis are difficult to obtain. In this study, we investigated the simultaneous effects of the wave and sea level on annual cyclic beach morphology in the swash zone with spectrum analysis for 25-year Hasaki beach observation data.


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