Time to sputum culture conversion and its predictors among patients with multidrug resistant tuberculosis in Hangzhou, China: a retrospective cohort study
Abstract Background To investigate the time to initial sputum culture conversion (SCC) and its predictors among multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) patients in Hangzhou, China.Methods A retrospective cohort study was conducted among patients initiating treatment for MDR-TB from 2011-2015 in Hangzhou, China. Time to initial SCC was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify predictors of SCC.Results Among 384 patients enrolled with MDR-TB, 359 (93.5%) successfully achieved initial SCC after a median of 85 days (inter-quartile range, 40-112 days). A higher rate of SCC was observed in participants with successful treatment outcomes than those with poor treatment outcomes (P<0.01). Multivariate analysis showed that age 25-64 years (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 0.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.5-0.9; P<0.01), age ≥65 years (AOR, 0.5; 95%CI, 0.3-0.8; P<0.01) and household registration in Hangzhou (AOR, 1.3; 95%CI, 1.0-1.5; P<0.05) were found to be associated with SCC.Conclusions Although high SCC and treatment success rates were observed among MDR-TB patients in Hangzhou, the prolonged duration to initial SCC underscores the importance of emphasizing measures for infection control. A new policy of shifting outpatient treatment to inpatient treatment in China may reduce the risk of transmission from patients in the time window prior to SCC.