Combining Rapid Antigen Testing and Syndromic Surveillance Improves Community-Based COVID-19 Detection in Low-to-Middle-Income Countries
Abstract Diagnostics for COVID-19 detection are limited in many settings. Syndromic surveillance is often the only means to identify cases, but lacks specificity. Rapid antigen testing is inexpensive and easy-to-deploy but concerns remain about sensitivity. We examine how combining these approaches can improve surveillance for guiding interventions in low-income communities in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Rapid-antigen-tests and PCR validation was performed on 1172 symptomatically-identified individuals at home. Statistical models were fit to predict PCR status using rapid-antigen-test results, syndromic data, and their combination. Model predictive and classification performance was examined under contrasting epidemiological scenarios to evaluate their potential for improving diagnoses. Models combining rapid-antigen-test and syndromic data yielded equal-to-better performance to rapid-antigen-test-only models across all scenarios. These results show that drawing on complementary strengths across two rapid diagnostics, improves COVID-19 detection, and reduces false-positive and -negative diagnoses to match local requirements; improvements achievable without additional expense, or changes for patients or practitioners.