scholarly journals A Clinical Decision Support System for Prediction of Postpartum Hemorrhage in Vaginal Birth

Author(s):  
Jingxuan Yang ◽  
Peng Guo ◽  
Yingli Song ◽  
Lingli Han ◽  
Xiaoyu Yang ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective The morbidity and mortality caused by postpartum hemorrhage has been increased since 2016 in China, in addition, promoting vaginal delivery is an important task in China currently. This study aimed to develop a clinical decision support system (CDSS) to predict postpartum hemorrhage among vaginal delivery women. Design: A retrospective cohort study. Methods We performed a retrospective analysis of medical records among 1587 vaginal delivery women, who had visited the obstetrics clinic at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from 2018 to 2020, these women then were randomly divided into a training set (70%), a validation set (15%) and a test set (15%). We adopted a univariate logistic regression model to select the significant features (P < 0.01). Afterward, we trained several artificial neural networks and binary logistic regression to predict the postpartum hemorrhage, the neural networks included multi-layer perceptron (MLP), back propagation (BP) and radial basis function (RBF). In order to compare and identify the most accurate network, we used the confusion matrix and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. We finally developed a clinical decision support system based on the most accurate network. All statistical analyses were performed by IBM SPSS (version 20), and MATLAB 2013b software was applied to develop the clinical decision support system. Results Initially, 45 potential variables were addressed by the univariate logistic regression, 16 significant predictors were then selected to enter the binary logistic regression and neural networks (P-value < 0.01). After validation, the best performing model was the multi-layer perceptron network with the highest discriminative ability (AUC 0.862, 95% CI 0.838–0.887). Followed by the back propagation model (AUC 0.866; 95% CI 0.842–0.890), the logistic regression model (AUC 0.856; 95% CI 0.832–0.880). The radial basis function model (AUC 0.845; 95% CI 0.820–0.870) had lower discriminative ability. Conclusion In summary, in terms of predicting postpartum hemorrhage, the multi-layer perceptron network performed better than the back propagation network, logistic regression model, and radial basis function network. The developed clinical decision support system based on the multi-layer perceptron network is expected to promote early identification of postpartum hemorrhage in vaginal delivery women, thereby improve the quality of obstetric care and the maternal outcome.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junsang Yoo ◽  
Jeonghoon Lee ◽  
Poong-Lyul Rhee ◽  
Dong Kyung Chang ◽  
Mira Kang ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND Physicians’ alert overriding behavior is considered to be the most important factor leading to failure of computerized provider order entry (CPOE) combined with a clinical decision support system (CDSS) in achieving its potential adverse drug events prevention effect. Previous studies on this subject have focused on specific diseases or alert types for well-defined targets and particular settings. The emergency department is an optimal environment to examine physicians’ alert overriding behaviors from a broad perspective because patients have a wider range of severity, and many receive interdisciplinary care in this environment. However, less than one-tenth of related studies have targeted this physician behavior in an emergency department setting. OBJECTIVE The aim of this study was to describe alert override patterns with a commercial medication CDSS in an academic emergency department. METHODS This study was conducted at a tertiary urban academic hospital in the emergency department with an annual census of 80,000 visits. We analyzed data on the patients who visited the emergency department for 18 months and the medical staff who treated them, including the prescription and CPOE alert log. We also performed descriptive analysis and logistic regression for assessing the risk factors for alert overrides. RESULTS During the study period, 611 physicians cared for 71,546 patients with 101,186 visits. The emergency department physicians encountered 13.75 alerts during every 100 orders entered. Of the total 102,887 alerts, almost two-thirds (65,616, 63.77%) were overridden. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses identified 21 statistically significant risk factors for emergency department physicians’ alert override behavior. CONCLUSIONS In this retrospective study, we described the alert override patterns with a medication CDSS in an academic emergency department. We found relatively low overrides and assessed their contributing factors, including physicians’ designation and specialty, patients’ severity and chief complaints, and alert and medication type.


10.2196/23351 ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. e23351 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junsang Yoo ◽  
Jeonghoon Lee ◽  
Poong-Lyul Rhee ◽  
Dong Kyung Chang ◽  
Mira Kang ◽  
...  

Background Physicians’ alert overriding behavior is considered to be the most important factor leading to failure of computerized provider order entry (CPOE) combined with a clinical decision support system (CDSS) in achieving its potential adverse drug events prevention effect. Previous studies on this subject have focused on specific diseases or alert types for well-defined targets and particular settings. The emergency department is an optimal environment to examine physicians’ alert overriding behaviors from a broad perspective because patients have a wider range of severity, and many receive interdisciplinary care in this environment. However, less than one-tenth of related studies have targeted this physician behavior in an emergency department setting. Objective The aim of this study was to describe alert override patterns with a commercial medication CDSS in an academic emergency department. Methods This study was conducted at a tertiary urban academic hospital in the emergency department with an annual census of 80,000 visits. We analyzed data on the patients who visited the emergency department for 18 months and the medical staff who treated them, including the prescription and CPOE alert log. We also performed descriptive analysis and logistic regression for assessing the risk factors for alert overrides. Results During the study period, 611 physicians cared for 71,546 patients with 101,186 visits. The emergency department physicians encountered 13.75 alerts during every 100 orders entered. Of the total 102,887 alerts, almost two-thirds (65,616, 63.77%) were overridden. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses identified 21 statistically significant risk factors for emergency department physicians’ alert override behavior. Conclusions In this retrospective study, we described the alert override patterns with a medication CDSS in an academic emergency department. We found relatively low overrides and assessed their contributing factors, including physicians’ designation and specialty, patients’ severity and chief complaints, and alert and medication type.


Diabetes ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 68 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 1309-P
Author(s):  
JACQUELYN R. GIBBS ◽  
KIMBERLY BERGER ◽  
MERCEDES FALCIGLIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 262-269
Author(s):  
Tahere Talebi Azad Boni ◽  
Haleh Ayatollahi ◽  
Mostafa Langarizadeh

Background: One of the greatest challenges in the field of medicine is the increasing burden of chronic diseases, such as diabetes. Diabetes may cause several complications, such as kidney failure which is followed by hemodialysis and an increasing risk of cardiovascular diseases. Objective: The purpose of this research was to develop a clinical decision support system for assessing the risk of cardiovascular diseases in diabetic patients undergoing hemodialysis by using a fuzzy logic approach. Methods: This study was conducted in 2018. Initially, the views of physicians on the importance of assessment parameters were determined by using a questionnaire. The face and content validity of the questionnaire was approved by the experts in the field of medicine. The reliability of the questionnaire was calculated by using the test-retest method (r = 0.89). This system was designed and implemented by using MATLAB software. Then, it was evaluated by using the medical records of diabetic patients undergoing hemodialysis (n=208). Results: According to the physicians' point of view, the most important parameters for assessing the risk of cardiovascular diseases were glomerular filtration, duration of diabetes, age, blood pressure, type of diabetes, body mass index, smoking, and C reactive protein. The system was designed and the evaluation results showed that the values of sensitivity, accuracy, and validity were 85%, 92% and 90%, respectively. The K-value was 0.62. Conclusion: The results of the system were largely similar to the patients’ records and showed that the designed system can be used to help physicians to assess the risk of cardiovascular diseases and to improve the quality of care services for diabetic patients undergoing hemodialysis. By predicting the risk of the disease and classifying patients in different risk groups, it is possible to provide them with better care plans.


2021 ◽  
pp. 0310057X2097403
Author(s):  
Brenton J Sanderson ◽  
Jeremy D Field ◽  
Lise J Estcourt ◽  
Erica M Wood ◽  
Enrico W Coiera

Massive transfusions guided by massive transfusion protocols are commonly used to manage critical bleeding, when the patient is at significant risk of morbidity and mortality, and multiple timely decisions must be made by clinicians. Clinical decision support systems are increasingly used to provide patient-specific recommendations by comparing patient information to a knowledge base, and have been shown to improve patient outcomes. To investigate current massive transfusion practice and the experiences and attitudes of anaesthetists towards massive transfusion and clinical decision support systems, we anonymously surveyed 1000 anaesthetists and anaesthesia trainees across Australia and New Zealand. A total of 228 surveys (23.6%) were successfully completed and 227 were analysed for a 23.3% response rate. Most respondents were involved in massive transfusions infrequently (88.1% managed five or fewer massive transfusion protocols per year) and worked at hospitals which have massive transfusion protocols (89.4%). Massive transfusion management was predominantly limited by timely access to point-of-care coagulation assessment and by competition with other tasks, with trainees reporting more significant limitations compared to specialists. The majority of respondents reported that they were likely, or very likely, both to use (73.1%) and to trust (85%) a clinical decision support system for massive transfusions, with no significant difference between anaesthesia trainees and specialists ( P = 0.375 and P = 0.73, respectively). While the response rate to our survey was poor, there was still a wide range of massive transfusion experience among respondents, with multiple subjective factors identified limiting massive transfusion practice. We identified several potential design features and barriers to implementation to assist with the future development of a clinical decision support system for massive transfusion, and overall wide support for a clinical decision support system for massive transfusion among respondents.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (13) ◽  
pp. 5810
Author(s):  
Faisal Ahmed ◽  
Mohammad Shahadat Hossain ◽  
Raihan Ul Islam ◽  
Karl Andersson

Accurate and rapid identification of the severe and non-severe COVID-19 patients is necessary for reducing the risk of overloading the hospitals, effective hospital resource utilization, and minimizing the mortality rate in the pandemic. A conjunctive belief rule-based clinical decision support system is proposed in this paper to identify critical and non-critical COVID-19 patients in hospitals using only three blood test markers. The experts’ knowledge of COVID-19 is encoded in the form of belief rules in the proposed method. To fine-tune the initial belief rules provided by COVID-19 experts using the real patient’s data, a modified differential evolution algorithm that can solve the constraint optimization problem of the belief rule base is also proposed in this paper. Several experiments are performed using 485 COVID-19 patients’ data to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed system. Experimental result shows that, after optimization, the conjunctive belief rule-based system achieved the accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.954, 0.923, and 0.959, respectively, while for disjunctive belief rule base, they are 0.927, 0.769, and 0.948. Moreover, with a 98.85% AUC value, our proposed method shows superior performance than the four traditional machine learning algorithms: LR, SVM, DT, and ANN. All these results validate the effectiveness of our proposed method. The proposed system will help the hospital authorities to identify severe and non-severe COVID-19 patients and adopt optimal treatment plans in pandemic situations.


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