The Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in a Term-Structure Model with Unspanned Macro Risks

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcelo Ferman
2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Suriani Suriani ◽  
M. Shabri Abd. Majid ◽  
Raja Masbar ◽  
Nazaruddin A. Wahid ◽  
Abdul Ghafar Ismail

Purpose The purpose of this study is to empirically analyze the role of sukuk in the monetary policy transmission mechanism through the asset price and exchange rate channels in the Indonesian economy. Design/methodology/approach Using the monthly data from January 2003 to November 2017, this study uses a multivariate vector error correction model causality framework. To examine the role of sukuk in the monetary policy transmission mechanism through the asset price channel, this study uses the variables of consumption, inflation, interest rates, economic growth and the composite stock price index. Meanwhile, to examine the role of sukuk in the monetary policy transmission mechanism through the exchange rate channel, this study used variables of inflation, interest rates, economic growth, foreign investment and exchange rate. Findings This study documented that sukuk has no causal relationship with inflation through asset price and exchange rate channels. Nevertheless, sukuk has a bidirectional causal relationship with economic growth through asset price and exchange rate channels. Sukuk is also documented to have a causal relationship with monetary policy variables of interest rate and stock prices through asset price and exchange rate channels. Finally, a unidirectional causality is recorded running from the exchange rate to sukuk in the exchange rate channel. Research limitations/implications The finding of independence of the sukuk market from interest rates provides evidence that the trading of the sukuk in Indonesia has been in harmony with the Islamic tenets. Practical implications The relevant Indonesian authorities need to enhance both domestic and global sukuk markets as part of efforts to promote the sustainability of Islamic capital market development in Indonesia. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is among the first attempts to empirically investigate the role of sukuk in monetary policy transmission through asset price and exchange rate channels in the context of the Indonesian economy.


This chapter aims to provide additional empirical evidence on monetary policy transmission mechanism in Romania over the period 2001 to 2012 based on a BVAR analysis with a KoKo Minnesota/Litterman prior. The importance of the central bank is rising in Romania considering its main attribution to control the interest rate in accordance with its objectives. The empirical evidence provides a significant contribution to literature taking into account the characteristics of the selected emerging country, i.e. Romania, a former communist country in Central and Eastern Europe.


2019 ◽  
Vol 06 (02) ◽  
pp. 1950019
Author(s):  
Zia Abbas ◽  
Syed Faizan Iftikhar ◽  
Shaista Alam

The objective of this study is to investigate the impact of bank capital on monetary policy transmission mechanism during the period from 2010 to 2016 for 20 Emerging Market Economics (EMEs) by using the two-step system generalized method of moments (GMM). The coefficient of excess capital in low-asset countries is found to be negative which reveals the importance of excess capital for the effectiveness of monetary transmission. However, the study could not find the significance of excess capital for high-asset countries as they may afford the risky way to generate their income by increasing the loan supply.


Media Ekonomi ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Martin Simanjuntak ◽  
Budi Santosa

<em>This result discusses the effectiveness of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy by comparing the interest rate channel with the exchange rate channel towards the final inflation taget. </em><em>This study using regression method Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). In the study of this monetary policy transmission mechanism using secondary data based on monthly time series, namely from January 2011 to December 2015. The data is obtained from Bank Indonesia Financial Economic Statistics (SEKI).</em> <em>From the results of this research, the transmission mechanism of monetary policy exchange rate channel is more effective than monetary policy transmission mechanism interest rate channel; it is proven through the test impulse responses and variance decomposition test. In the exchange rate channel time lag until reach the final target of monetary policy (inflation) is 4 months while for the interest rate channel time lag until reach the final target of monetary policy is 5 months. RPUAB very suitable for use as an operational target in the monetary policy transmission mechanism cause rapid and strong response from RPUAB in responding the shock of monetary policy. RPUAB is the biggest variable that dominates the formation of inflation.</em>


2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Farah Fauziyah

This study aimed to analyze the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in   control the inflation in Indonesia, both in terms of sharia and conventional. The analytical  tools that used  in this research  is  the Autoregessive  Vector (VAR). This VAR research results conducted by Test Impulse Response Function (IRF)  and  the  Test  of  Forecast  Error  Variance  Decomposition  (FEVD).  IRF showed  that the yield on the conventional side (Model I) is variable SBI had a negative impact and bonds provide a positive impact on inflation, while on the sharia (Model II) have a positive impact in terms of reducing inflation. Fluctuation on Islamic monetary transmission mechanism more stable than the conventional monetary policy transmission mechanism. FEVD the model I give a negative contribution in raising inflation about 43.86%, while the second model of a positive contribution in the sense of lowering inflation about to 25.77%. Therefore we can conclude sharia monetary policy transmission mechanism is better than conventional transmission mechanism of monetary policyDOI: 10.15408/sjie.v4i1.2295


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