Factors Affecting the Yields of Emerging Market Issuers in International Bond Markets: Evidence from Thailand

2003 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan A. Batten ◽  
Thomas A. Fetherston ◽  
Pongsak Hoontrakul
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Market ◽  
Bond Markets ◽  
Factors Affecting

Extreme price moves: an INGARCH approach to model coexceedances in commodity markets

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernardina Algieri ◽  
Arturo Leccadito
Keyword(s):  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Commodity Markets ◽  
Credit Spread ◽  
Market Demand ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Monday Effect ◽  
Tail Events ◽  
Weather Anomalies

Abstract This study presents a set of integer-valued generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models to identify possible transmission channels of joint extreme price moves (coexceedances) across a group of agricultural commodities. These models are very useful to identify factors affecting joint tail events and they are superior in terms of goodness of fit to models without autoregressive components. Emerging market demand, crude oil, exchange rate, stock market conditions and credit spread explain extreme joint returns. Psychological factors and the Monday effect play a role in affecting extreme events, while weather anomalies (El Niño and La Niña episodes) do not have explanatory power.

scholarly journals Financial Factors Affecting Earnings Management and Earnings Quality: New Evidence from an Emerging Market

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 198-216
Author(s):  
Isam Saleh ◽  
Malik Abu Afifa ◽  
Fadi Haniah
Keyword(s):  
Earnings Management ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Earnings Quality ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Insurance Companies ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Financial Factors ◽  
Study Population ◽  
New Evidence

The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of financial factors on earnings management and earnings quality. Moreover, the study examines the role of earnings management as a mediator in the effect of the financial factors on earnings quality. It provides some empirical evidences from an emerging market, especially from the Jordanian market. The study uses a panel data analysis method over a ten-year period (2009-2018). The study population includes all Jordanian insurance companies listed in Jordanian market at the end of the year 2019, and the study sample consists of 20 Jordanian insurance companies (a complete population), giving a total of 200 observations for each variable. The results indicate that all financial factors in the model combined affect the earnings management and earnings quality. In addition, earnings management negatively affects earnings quality, and earnings management fully mediates the effect of financial factors on earnings quality. The study advises that policy makers ought to follow good legislation to curb the company's earnings management activities. Hence, the policy makers need to apply regulations which enrich the company’s effectiveness and efficiency whilst protecting the investors and other interested parties from risk.

scholarly journals Guidance Note For Developing Government Local Currency Bond Markets

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (001) ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Keyword(s):  
Technical Assistance ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
World Bank Group ◽  
Bond Markets ◽  
Sector Reform ◽  
Local Currency ◽  
Guidance Note ◽  
Financial Sector Reform ◽  
Bank Group

This guidance note was prepared by International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank Group staff under a project undertaken with the support of grants from the Financial Sector Reform and Strengthening Initiative, (FIRST).The aim of the project was to deliver a report that provides emerging market and developing economies with guidance and a roadmap in developing their local currency bond markets (LCBMs). This note will also inform technical assistance missions in advising authorities on the formulation of policies to deepen LCBMs.

scholarly journals Comparative analysis between global sukuk and bond indices: value-at-risk approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1245-1256
Author(s):  
Rubaiyat Ahsan Bhuiyan ◽  
Maya Puspa ◽  
Buerhan Saiti ◽  
Gairuzazmi Mat Ghani
Keyword(s):  
At Risk ◽  
Value At Risk ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Management Tool ◽  
Bond Markets ◽  
Investment Portfolio ◽  
Financial Contracts ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Risk Approach ◽  
Bond Indices

Purpose Sukuk is an innovative financial instrument with a flexible structure based on Islamic financial contracts, unlike a bond which is based on the structure of a loan imposed with interest. With the notion that sukuk differs considerably from the conventional bonds in terms of risks related to investment, this study aims to examine whether the sukuk market is different from conventional bond markets based on the value-at-risk (VaR) approach. Design/methodology/approach The VaR of a portfolio consists of sukuk and bond indices and is undertaken to determine whether there is any reduction in the VaR amount through the inclusion of the sukuk index in the portfolio. The analysis is undertaken based on the developed and emerging market bond and sukuk indices from January 2010 to December 2015. Findings This paper examines whether the VaR of sukuk market differs from conventional bond markets by using fundamental techniques. It was observed that the VaR amount of sukuk indices is comparatively much lower than the VaR of bond indices in all the cases. Including the sukuk index with each bond index can reduce the VaR of the portfolio by around 30 to 50 per cent for all the developed and emerging market bond indices. Research limitations/implications This research is limited to covering six years of data. Nonetheless, it is able to provide findings which are believed to be useful for the market players. Practical implications This study unveils attractive opportunities in terms of diversification benefits of sukuk indices for international fixed-income portfolios. Originality/value The VaR method is a useful risk management tool. This study uses this method to emphasise the significant reduction of risks and diversification benefits that sukuk investment could offer by including it in the investment portfolio.

ECB's QE will buoy EM bond markets

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Capital Inflows ◽  
Bond Markets ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Large Current

Subject Opposite forces are shaping investor sentiment towards EM assets. Significance Investor sentiment towards emerging market (EM) assets is being shaped by the conflicting forces of a strong dollar and the launch of a sovereign quantitative easing (QE) programme by the ECB. While the latter is likely to encourage investment into higher-yielding assets, such as EM debt, the former will keep the currencies of developing economies under strain, particularly those most sensitive to a rise in US interest rates due to heavier reliance on capital inflows to finance large current account deficits, such as Turkey and South Africa. Impacts EM bonds will benefit from ECB-related inflows, while the strength of the dollar will keep local currencies under strain. Higher-yielding EMs will benefit the most from the ECB's bond-buying scheme since they provide the greatest scope for 'carry trades'. The collapse in oil prices is forcing EM central banks to turn increasingly dovish, putting further strain on local currencies.

Central European local investors will hold on to bonds

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Market ◽  
Bond Markets ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Local Currency ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
The Us ◽  
Debt Market ◽  
Us Presidential Election ◽  
To Come

Significance The lira’s collapse is fuelling outflows from Turkey’s local currency government debt market, as foreign investors reduce their purchases of emerging market (EM) domestic debt amid a sharp sell-off in bond markets following Donald Trump’s upset victory in the US presidential election. Both Hungary and Poland -- hitherto two of the most resilient EMs -- suffered net outflows last year and are likely to come under further pressure as the ECB starts to scale back, or ‘taper’, its programme of quantitative easing (QE) in April. Impacts The dollar’s rise against a basket of other currencies since the US election will put severe strain on EM assets. The surging price of Brent crude is improving the inflation and growth outlook. Higher international oil prices will also reduce the scope for further easing of monetary policy in developing and developed economies.

Emerging market assets cushioned by growth outlook

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Market ◽  
The United States ◽  
Bond Markets ◽  
Investor Attention ◽  
Private Debt ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Sovereign Bond ◽  
Political Risks ◽  
Relative Attractiveness ◽  
Sovereign Bond Markets

Subject The sharp fall in global sovereign bond markets since late September is putting emerging market assets under pressure. Significance Global sovereign bond markets suffered their sharpest monthly loss in October since the 'taper tantrum' of May 2013. Emerging market (EM) assets had rallied strongly as investors sought higher yields amid ultra-low or negative yields in advanced economies. However, fears of higher inflation in the United States and the United Kingdom, coupled with growing concerns about the efficacy of ultra-loose monetary policies, have pushed up the yields on benchmark UK and US ten-year bonds, reducing the relative attractiveness of EM yields. Impacts Investors will continue to favour EMs with strong fundamentals and lower political risks. EMs are likely to lead the eventual recovery of global trade, keeping their assets in the limelight for investor attention. The EM rally not only reflects a search for yield in a low-rate universe but also improved EM economic fundamentals. The surge in EM private debt remains a concern, particularly corporate debt which has risen rapidly since 2008.

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