Corporate Bond Price Reversals

Author(s):  
Alexey Ivashchenko
Keyword(s):  

2017 ◽  
pp. 11-25
Author(s):  
Donalson Silalahi

lndonesia corporate bond market development can he done from various aspects, among others, through the stability and improvement of macroeconomic indicators, improving the quality of financial infrastructure, and improving the quality of the corporate bond market. This study aimed to describe the quality Indonesian corporate bond market based transaction costs approach. Therefore, the quality of the corporate bond market in this study manifested by transaction costs and decomposition of transaction costs (information friction and real friction). Based on the estimation of transaction costs and decomposition of transaction costs, regulators and market managers can create a variety of policies to improve the quality of the corporate bond market. To achieve these goals, the data used were corporate bond registered and transacted in the bond market and the sources of data from Securities Division reported OTC-FIS (Over the counter – Fixed Income Service). The research samples were 2336 observations using the purposive sampling technique to gather samples. The data were analyzed using the multiple regression equation. The research indicates that: First, transaction costs ty’ corporate bond is 0-798 with t-statistic is 31.964. Second, the contribution of information friction againts transaction cost is 45.1 percent with t-statistic is 18.20. "third, the contriliution real friction againts transaction cost is 14.2 percent with t-statistic is 5.71. Fourth, the information friction have the greater contribution to transaction cost with or without the classification of sample. Fifth, in the change of bond price segmentation, the contribution of information friction increases with the increase of the change of bond price. With reference to the research results, the quality of the corporate bond market can he improved by lowering the transaction costs in trade mechanism. Transaction costs can be reduced through increased transparency and improved the trading niechanisni of corporate bond market. Furthermore, the result if this research can be used by investors in creating portfolios and holding periods and for bond emitters in issuing bonds.



1986 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 197 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenneth P. Nunn ◽  
Joanne Hill ◽  
Thomas Schneeweis


2009 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 293-322
Author(s):  
Denny Permatasari ◽  
Nur Iriawan

Bond is one of commercial instrument that influence economic sector in Indonesia. Bond transaction can't be made in the market directly, but it has been traded through securities. On average, there are only few bond transactions with the various market prices. Benchmarking is, therefore, needed to be created to determining bond price through yield curve. Through yield curve, the relation between yield of bond with same credit risk (rating) and different time to maturity can be seen. This research is conducted by employing time to maturity to model the yield of some selected corporate bonds with rating of AA and A. Two methods, Nelson Siegel Svensson (NSS) method couple with Levenberg-Marquardt optimization and Cubic Spline Smoothing (CSS) are employed here. These two methods have been applied to data from Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) ranging September to November 2008. The results show that CSS give smallest RMSE and MAE. In contrast, Nelson Siegel Svensson reports a model which more parsimony, more easily to be explained, and more adaptable to keep upfoward maturity than CSS. This research takes into account that NSS is better to be to model corporate bonds yield curve than CSS. Another importance conclusion that can be gather is that corporate bonds (with rating of AA and A) yield are hang about under IGSYC in certain period. Its means, that corporate bond market in Indonesia is not good for investment comparing to government bond.



2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 25
Author(s):  
Di Asih I Maruddani ◽  
Abdul Hoyyi

Macaulay duration has often been used as a measure of the bond prices sensitivity to changes in interest rates. For a small change in interest rates, the duration provides a good approximation of the actual change in price. As the change in interest rates gets larger, the duration approximation has larger errors. The convexity of bond prices change is often used as a way to improve the accuracy of the approximation. Several authors have pointed out that the natural logarithm of bond price is a better measure of percentage changes in bond prices as interest rates change. Based on this idea, this paper derives an accurate method of estimating percentage bond price changes in response to changes in interest rates, which is called exponential duration. This paper gives new estimation of bond prices using exponential duration with convexity approach. It will be shown that the new estimation bond prices is always more accurate than by Macaulay duration with convexity approach. For empirical study, it is used corporate bond data, which is published by Indonesian Bond Pricing Agency in 2015. The result support the theory that error value of Macaulay duration with convexity is more than the error value of exponential duration with convexity.Keywords:Bond Price, Convexity, Exponential Duration, Macaulay Duration, Modified Duration



Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 2033
Author(s):  
Zhehao Huang ◽  
Zhenghui Li ◽  
Zhenzhen Wang

Credit risk modeling by debt pricing has been a popular theme in both academia and practice since the subprime crisis. In this paper, we devote our study to the indifferent price of a corporate bond with credit risk involving both default risk and credit rating migration risk in an incomplete market. The firm’s stock and a financial index on the market as tradable assets are introduced to hedge the credit risk, and the bond price is determined by the indifference of investors’ utilities with and without holding the bond. The models are established under the structural framework and result in Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) systems regarding utilities subject to default boundary and multiple migration boundaries. According to dynamic programming theory, closed-form solutions for pricing formulas are derived by implementing an inverted iteration program to overcome the joint effect of default and multiple credit rating migration. Therefore, with the derived explicit pricing formulas for the corporate bond, the models can be easily applied in practice, and investors can generate their strategies of hedging the credit risk by easily analyzing the impacts of the parameters on the bond price.



2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoting Wei ◽  
Cameron Truong ◽  
Viet Minh Do




2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (23) ◽  
pp. 13123
Author(s):  
Hong Zhao ◽  
Wei Du ◽  
Hao Shen ◽  
Xinting Zhen

Bondholders are arm’s-length lenders with limited insider information. In this paper, we explore whether corporate social responsibility (CSR) activities could work as an information channel for bondholders to better understand the riskiness of bond-issuing firms. We find a significant negative relation between CSR scores and corporate bond yield spread, especially for firms which invest heavily in diversity and community relations, suggesting that CSR firms are less risky. The result is robust to different model specifications and endogeneity issues. In addition, the negative relation between the CSR score and bond yield spread is significant only if a firm has a strong internal governance mechanism.



Author(s):  
Agung Mulyono

Cash management is  one of treasury’s main functions in which has a potential financial risk. A potential financial risk emerges when State Treasurer manages cash surplus and or/ shortages in order to maintain optimum liquidity. By applying Vector Autoregression (VAR) system on empirical data provided by Bank Indonesia and the Ministry of Finance of Indonesia, we found that currency value  flunctuation is a significant factor for repayment value of foreign loan. Interest rates and amount of government’s bond held by foreign investors are also variables impacted on government’s bond price movement in secondary market. Currency value  flunctuation and price of government’s bond in secondary market are the key factors that have to be considered by State Treasurer (BUN) in managing state’s money. Hedging strategy by using derivatif product is possible to be utilized by State Treasurer (BUN) due to it’s flexibility for short-term operation.   Abstrak Pengelolaan kas negara merupakan salah satu fungsi pokok perbendaharaan yang dalam proses pelaksanaannya menyimpan potensi berbagai risiko keuangan. Risiko keuangan, khususnya dalam investasi berpotensi muncul ketika Bendahara Umum Negara (BUN) melakukan kegiatan pengelolaan kelebihan dan/ kekurangan kas dalam rangka menjamin ketersediaan dan optimalisasi kas. Dengan menggunakan analisis Vector Autoregression (VAR) atas data empiris yang diperoleh dari Bank Indonesia dan Kementerian Keuangan Indonesia, penulis menemukan bahwa fluktuasi nilai tukar mata uang merupakan faktor yang signifikan terhadap besaran pembayaran utang luar negeri pemerintah. Tingkat suku bunga acuan dan pergerakan besaran kepemilikan SUN oleh investor asing juga merupakan variabel yang berpengaruh terhadap pergerakan harga SUN di pasar sekunder. Fluktuasi nilai tukar mata uang dan pergerakan harga SUN di pasar sekunder menjadi faktor penting dalam pelaksanaan investasi yang dilakukan BUN dalam rangka pengelolaan kelebihan dan/ kekurangan kas. Berdasarkan hasil tersebut, strategi pengelolaan risiko atau hedging dengan menggunakan produk-produk derivatif dalam pengelolaan kelebihan dan/ kekurangan kas jangka pendek – menengah sangat dimungkinkan karena sifat instrumen derivatif yang fleksibel.



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