Can the dual-rating regulation improve the rating quality of Chinese corporate bonds?

We developed a dual-reputational rating shopping model to introduce public and institutional reputations. Investor’s and regulator’s penalty rates are described as public and institutional reputations, respectively. We achieved the available conditions of single-rating and dual-rating regulations to prevent rating inflation in this model. To examine the regulatory effects of different types of regulations on Chinese corporate bond ratings, we utilize panel ordered logit models. Theoretical analysis and empirical tests show that, when the reputation effect is low, the single-rating regulation is better at improving rating quality, and when the reputation effect is high, the dual-rating regulation induces rating agencies to provide more accurate ratings. Compared to the regulatory effects of the single-rating and the multi-rating regulations, the dual-rating regulation most effectively improves the rating quality of corporate bonds and prevents rating inflation.

Brazilian Monetary Policy’s Influence on Investment Funds’ Allocation in Corporate Bonds

The aim of this paper is to understand how monetary policy influence investment funds’ allocation in corporate bonds. This assumption is in line with the perspective that several factors influence funds’ allocation process, especially changes in a country's economic scenario. The sample of this study is comprised of 352 equity funds and 1,085 multimarket funds, during the period from December 2009 to July 2020. I used multivariate regression with panel data for hypotheses testing. I noted a small percentage of funds’ investment in corporate bonds, in other words, only about 1.3% of total net of asset. In addition, multimarket funds used to invest more in debentures than equity funds. Concerning the regression model, the interest rate (Selic) had a positive association with funds’ amount allocated in corporate bonds. It is a result of Brazilian context, whose corporate bonds are indexed according to DI rate. As expected, I observed a positive relationship between inflation rate and funds’ investment in debentures, which reveals that the fear of deflation causes investors to increase the percentages invested in corporate debt securities. As respects funds’ features, time and minimum balance, do not guarantee more investment in corporate bonds. Thus, this paper contributes to the literature for bringing monetary policy closer to capital market and discussing an emerging country’s funds industry. In this way, it is relevant because it involves an important source of credit for companies, based on data from institutional investors.

Zombies at Large? Corporate Debt Overhang and the Macroeconomy

What are the macroeconomic consequences of business credit booms? Are they as dangerous as household credit booms? If not, why not? We answer these questions by collecting data on nonfinancial business liabilities (primarily bank loans and corporate bonds) for 17 advanced economies over the past 150 years. Unlike household credit, business credit booms are rarely followed by macroeconomic hangovers. Data on debt renegotiation costs—instrumented by a country’s legal tradition—show that frictions to debt resolution make recessions deeper and longer—an important factor in explaining the differences with household credit booms.

POSSIBILITY OF RUSSIAN BONDSPOTFOLIO DIVERSIFICATION THROUGH THE USE OF ISLAMIC BONDS DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC

Диверсификация - один из важнейших элементов в инвестиционной деятельности. Инвесторы пытаются найти баланс при формировании портфеля и его реструктуризации, стремясь одновременно максимизировать доходность и минимизировать риски. Целью данной работы является оценка возможности диверсификации портфеля облигаций российского рынка с помощью включения альтернативной традиционным облигациям формы - сукук в условиях пандемии COVID-19. Представленный в статье анализ такой возможности составляет определенный элемент новизны. В качестве наиболее подходящей модели для корреляционного анализ выбрана «DCC-MGARCH» модель (динамическая модель авторегрессионной условной гетероскедастичности). Результаты исследования показывают, что инвесторы, предпочитающие долговые суверенные ценные бумаги России и корпоративные облигации российских компаний, имеют возможность диверсифицировать портфель путем включения исламских облигаций. Данный вывод объясняется наличием отрицательной корреляционной связи между индексом сукук и индексами российских облигаций, как корпоративных, так и суверенных. Diversification is one of key elements in investment management. Investors strive to find a balance in the formation of a portfolio and its restructuring, simultaneously maximizing profitability and minimizing risks. The purpose of this work is to assess the possibility of diversification of the Russian bonds portfolioby including an alternative to traditional bonds-sukuk. The DCC-MGARCH model (Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Model) was chosen as the most suitable model for correlation analysis. The results of the study show that investors who prefer Russian sovereign debt securities or corporate bonds of Russian companies couldeffectively diversify their portfolio by including Islamic bonds during the COVID-19 pandemic. This conclusion is explained by the presence of a negative correlation between the Dow Jones Sukuk Index as a proxy for sukuk market and the indices of Russian bonds, both corporate and sovereign.