International Financial Crisis: Expectation Transmission and Policy Synchronisation

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guofeng Sun ◽  
Wenzhe Li ◽  
Qiong Liu ◽  
Chunyi Zhang ◽  
Jingxuan Song
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
International Financial Crisis

The COVID-19 and bond spreads

2020 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Esteves ◽  
Nathan Sussman
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Financial Stress ◽  
International Financial Crisis ◽  
Bond Spreads

AbstractFinancial markets reacted with a vengeance to the COVID-19 pandemic. We argue that while the spread of the pandemic is statistically significant in explaining changes to bond spreads, it has little additional explanatory power over variables that capture financial stress. Financial markets reacted as in any international financial crisis by penalizing emerging economies exposing existing vulnerabilities. This finding highlights the need for credible, but flexible, sovereign currencies and the need to build up liquidity reserves.

Determinants of Spot and Forward Interest Rates in Brazil in an International Liquidity Scenario: An Econometric Analysis for the Period 2007-2019

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 19
Author(s):  
Pedro Raffy Vartanian ◽  
Sérgio Gozzi Citro ◽  
Paulo Rogério Scarano
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
International Liquidity ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
International Financial Crises ◽  
International Financial Crisis ◽  
Level Of Activity ◽  
Systemic Crisis ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Over the last 25 years, Brazil has been among the countries with the highest interest rates globally. High interest rates have been necessary during several recent times, such as in the period from 1997 to 1999, due to the repeated international financial crises that have plagued the country. From 1999, a sustained path of interest rate reduction begun. With the outbreak of the 2008 international financial crisis, the Brazilian monetary authorities promoted a new round of falling domestic interest rates in response to the recessive effects and the threat of a systemic crisis that could hang over the national financial system. In 2012, a set of interventionist nature policies led to a decrease in the Selic rate. Thus, looking at the last 25 years, it appears that many factors have started to influence the trajectory of Brazilian interest rates. In this context, the present work aims to identify, based on empirical research, the determinants of spot and future interest rates. As a methodology, the research uses a multivariate econometric vector autoregressive model (VAR) with error correction (VEC). The analysis covers the years 2017 to 2019, corresponding to the period in the aftermath of the global financial crisis of 2008. The results evidence that both the spot rate and the DI future can be determined by the fluctuations in the level of inflation and by the level of activity and the real exchange rate, in addition to the effects of the lagged variables themselves.

scholarly journals Volatility behaviour of BRIC capital markets in the 2008 international financial crisis

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 373-381 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pimenta Junior Tabajara ◽  
Guasti Lima Fabiano ◽  
Eduardo Gaio Luiz
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Capital Markets ◽  
International Financial Crisis
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